Perspectives on DAVIDN College Football Picks

Gents

I interacted with COVERS.com poster DAVIDN back in 2019 when he went on his 11 week winning run ATS and Sides.   He has since set up his own football picks weekly site.  The picks are distributed via text.  I believe there are no more than 2 to 3 picks  based on 1 to 4 stars per week.  I am considering purchasing his college football season package for $499 to supplement my already extensive research.    My interactions with DAVIDN on covers back in 2019 were professional and positive.  The guy seemed humble.   He did not come across like the typical "in your face" tout with push exaggerated metrics while trying to sell you a pick.   These touts annoy me and I avoid them like the plague.   Call me naive, but I believe that DAVIDN is different, that his weekly picks are the best of the best that he can research and that he is expanding his business via word of mouth, based on making good picks sustainably during the season.  

I would like to get honest and non-hateful perspectives on DAVIDN's service.   Please note I am not touting DAVIDN's service.  I am just doing my due diligence prior to purchase.  Thank you in advance.  Less than 2 months until the best time of the year arrives.  Cheers!   Hook em' Horns!  and Go Hoosiers! 

LHH

I don't know how he has done in his service picks but he was very good here. Was a class act as well.

He posted this last Dec 6th reponding to critics;

"Now 13-11 +5.15 Units

I heard he’s only up 5.15 units this year and only up +150.2 Units the last 8 years.

This is crazy, you would think we’re going through a pandemic or something..."

He (they) had 28 plays through the 2019 season, 39 plays in the 2018 season. Of course everybody remembers the 13-0 3-unit plays in 2019. Great run, mostly Overs I believe. His 2019 1 & 2 unit plays were 7-8. 

In 2018, his 1&2 unit plays were 21-11, 3-unit plays 3-3 and 1-0 for 4-unit plays. 

He lists 212-149, +145.05 units in last 7 years 2019 and prior.  

I included the word "they" above because he often responded with "we are....." implying more than just him.

Pretty solid numbers for several years. If he gave out a minimum of 25 picks that's only $20 a pop. 

He was one of the decent folk on here, great board member - but if I'm not mistaken, his capping is/was mostly centered on trend betting?

If so, I'd be wary of paying for such picks. The human brain is a pattern-recognition machine: it filters everything we see/hear into clusters and patterns, and it loves to find order in random noise, even if it has to get creative in its sample-sizes to find it loves finding significance in results (ie. "Team-X won in Situation-Y 13 of the last 18 times Element-Z was present").

There's nothing wrong with betting trends, but it'd be a mistake (in my opinion) to pay for trend capping, because there's no actual edge derived through that method. 

Of course, if I've remembered wrong and he's not a trend bettor at all, then ignore everything I just said 

Wish him all the best either way, as he was good people on here.

He was one of the decent folk on here, great board member - but if I'm not mistaken, his capping is/was mostly centered on trend betting?

If so, I'd be wary of paying for such picks. The human brain is a pattern-recognition machine: it filters everything we see/hear into clusters and patterns, and it loves to find order in random noise, even if it has to get creative in its sample-sizes to find it (ie. "Team-X won in Situation-Y 13 of the last 18 times Element-Z was present").

There's nothing wrong with betting trends, but it'd be a mistake (in my opinion) to pay for trend capping, because there's no actual edge derived through that method. 

Of course, if I've remembered wrong and he's not a trend bettor at all, then ignore everything I just said 

Wish him all the best either way, as he was good people on here.

I was happy and profitable last season and plan on doing it again this year. $500 is a small investment to me and last year has paid for this year, so I can't say anything bad about him or the picks, except if I remember correct, he was on OH st, not Bama in the final game, which made no sense to me. Take his plays and cap for yourself, which I assume you would do anyway, and then decide if you'll play them or not. GL this season

That's great advice.  I cap on my own and I have my own methodology.   Sometimes a guy like this (DavidN) that many respect can help facilitate out of the box thinking, or perhaps get you off a pick where your biases and tunnel vision can lead to a betting loss.    And at about $35 per week, there is value there if he can help you during at a minimum one to two weeks.    Like all of us, DavidN is not perfect, but I think I have enough perspectives, and a plan to incorporate DavidN's insight to make it worth while for 2021.   GL to you on the football season.   47 days out, I like @UCLA -14 over Hawaii in week 0 and in Week 1, I like Oklahoma -24 over @Tulane...Nothing booked yet, just strong leans...Cheers! 

Overall 2020 , he was plus 11.15 units . I played them all and made money. Good Luck.

I have subscribed since the start. His totals are absolutely fire. I get excited when he sends a total. Unfortunately, last season they were not as perfect. But I can honestly say I think it was pandemic related. No fans and last minute players scratched. I got them again for 2021.

I love his take on the games.  Is he perfect......No of course not.  Is anyone........No of course not.  As you stated the cost per week is pretty slim.  I started with him last year and have already paid up for this year.   He still did better than I did last year and my picks vs his picks and that's after the small fee

Well worth the money sir! He hasn’t let any disciplined bettor down yet!

lmfao so bad and doing service yicksss i hit over 75% every season and no i dont sell picks i dont need u clowns to even see how it works

best system are ones no one know about 

@flatron123

i have never heard of you…

I don't pay for picks

Good dude DavidN but I stick to my research and that of a friend of 18 years who I'd put up against anyone on football

@LonghornHoosier

 I rode DN’s coattails on here when he posted- built up a nice sum when he was +60% on games. Last season I joined up via subscription and broke even with his record like everyone else. My memory serves me that he picked a lot of full game O/Us in the Big 10. Just speaking for last year his heavier weighted games didn’t seem to win more often than his 1-2 star picks. I am probably going to join up again this season since he’s put me easily in plus money from when I started following him. He has a pretty disciplined approach, usually find out most of the picks a couple days in advance and he won’t chase on losing days.

Have to concur about trend betting.  It goes in streaks. Not reliable over the long haul, but can get lucky in any given season

If I'm not mistaken, it was in the 2018 or 2017 season when he ended the season
of university football in negative -25u.

Be careful not to get frustrated, because the guy doesn't always match the
expectations.

@GriLo

 You are absolutely wrong my friend! You must be confused 

Posted by DAVIDN on Jan. 19th, 2020

2018 NCAAF  

Final record last 7 seasons  

Posted Dec 12th, 2018 by DAVIDN;

Coming off a solid season...Posted plays 22-12 +18.40 Units

I had posted a record in post #20 from 2018 and then deleted it as it was not a record, it was a trend. So, if anyone saw it that's why it's removed.

@UNIMAN

 I think Grilo is trolling. 

…he’s trolling…forget him…

Can someone please send me the name of DavidN’s website? Im running searches and can’t seem to find his site. 

+1