All Forums | Website Promotions

WEEK 9 - NFL Breakdown Sheets

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 74575
Posts: 282
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2006
Posts: 793
Posted: #176
Si1ly,

You say you're passing on the Pitt/NY game due to the intangibles affecting both teams. Respect your judgement [and all the input you provide, by the way], but I prefer to view this a different way. Have stepped out on Pitt moneyline for this one. In a tossup situation, you take the odds [ +160 in this case]. I understand it may be a more aggressive approach that doesn't suit everyone though. Also, I don't know how the Giants can even thing about concentrating on football following this awful disaster.  This versus a Pitt team with a minor travel bump.  Finally, I wish the best to all affected by this terrible storm. GL to all.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 12061
Posted: #177
damonte, I see your point.  if you take the underdog on the moneyline in all situations similar to this - its hard to imagine it won't be profitable in the long run.  I'm way down on Pitt this year and I think that bias is making it easier for me to turn my back against them.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 12061
Posted: #178
Quote Originally Posted by juniorafe13:

Also as far as fantasy football..what 3 rb to play this weekend chris johnson, ellis green, matt forte, or doug martin? Big game against first place


good lineup.. I'd sit either Green or Martin
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 12061
Posted: #179
I like Chicago and Denver equally.. they're both tough bets to take at -3.5 on the road though
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 36
Posted: #180
Thank you. One large bet on denver. Much appreciated. Going with the line movement
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2009
Posts: 2275
Posted: #181
Good luck all !!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2012
Posts: 26
Posted: #182
Bengals
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2011
Posts: 174
Posted: #183
Hey does anyone have problems with opening the documents off google? I have a MAC and everytime I try to open its blank. -thanks
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2012
Posts: 404
Posted: #184
Quote Originally Posted by bgbg22:

Hey does anyone have problems with opening the documents off google? I have a MAC and everytime I try to open its blank. -thanks



Not here.  I have MAC as well. 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2012
Posts: 404
Posted: #185
Thanks for sharing, Si1ly! 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2007
Posts: 1502
Posted: #186

people forgetting the Steeler team thaty lost at Oak.......

no troy... no rb's.... not same D...

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2010
Posts: 807
Posted: #187
Pitt my bet
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2012
Posts: 83
Posted: #188
Thanks for all the hard work and insight every week Silly!!!

Agree with you on the dogs cashing at 61% but then throw in the away dogs and it goes up to 64%...vegas wont let that stay that high and look for that to change the second half of the season so I will stay away from the Giants-Steelers game....dont trust Pitt on the road this year....only team they beat was Cinn and Manning is no Dalton!!
New York will be ready to play for the people affected by Sandy....just ask the Knicks and Nets!!!
Good Luck and will be joining ya on the Denver pick!!! Keep up the great work!!!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2012
Posts: 3
Posted: #189
Quote Originally Posted by damonte:

Si1ly,

You say you're passing on the Pitt/NY game due to the intangibles affecting both teams. Respect your judgement [and all the input you provide, by the way], but I prefer to view this a different way. Have stepped out on Pitt moneyline for this one. In a tossup situation, you take the odds [ +160 in this case]. I understand it may be a more aggressive approach that doesn't suit everyone though. Also, I don't know how the Giants can even thing about concentrating on football following this awful disaster.  This versus a Pitt team with a minor travel bump.  Finally, I wish the best to all affected by this terrible storm. GL to all.


The Giants handle adversity better than most teams.  In fact, they seem to thrive in adverse situations.  If the Giants had a losing record I would be throwing down a big bet on them in this one.  But the situation being what it is, I think Si1ly has it right, the best bet is not bet.  Although your reasoning for taking Pitt money line is sound and Pitt certainly needs the win more.
On a different note, vegas and the betting public think TB will not be able to overcome traveling cross country to play the inferior raiders.  While I do think Denarius Moore has a big fantasy day, I really don't think Oakland can win without getting DMC going.  And TB is good vs. the run.  Do you guys agree with the betting public that home field advantage and not being affected by Sandy is enough for Oakland to win this game?  I've already  bet TB, just getting nervous the line is going in the wrong direction.. Also, anyone know why the Detroit line has jumped from -3.5 to -5.5 despite news that Calvin Johnson is going to be playing limited (3rd downs only is the rumor).  I know the Jags are not a great team but the line was stable at -3.5 for a few days and seems to have jumped after news that Calvin's injury will seriously limit him this weekend.. Is the world just betting against the East Coast this weekend???
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2012
Posts: 3
Posted: #190
Quote Originally Posted by juniorafe13:

Also as far as fantasy football..what 3 rb to play this weekend chris johnson, ellis green, matt forte, or doug martin? Big game against first place


Fantasy Football is my bread n butter.  Unfortunately you will need some miracles to beat a top team this week, especially if you are not in a ppr league.  CJ is a must start in that group but vs the bears you really need him to bust a 60+ yarder for a score. He won't get 100 yards rushing the hard way vs. the bears. Titans will use CJ in a lot of ways trying to alleviate pass rush pressure.  His touches and big play ability make him a must start despite the matchup.  Forte is your best start but isn't getting into th eendzone much this year due to Bush, Marshall and even Kellen Davis being more likely goal line options for the Bears.  Martin just had the game of his life but being a rookie on the road will make it difficult for him to repeat.  But with Martin being a feature back who should even be getting the goal line carries now, and a threat in the pass game, he is a better start than BJGE.  BJGE just sucks.  He is a feature back and possibly the most likely to get a TD but the least likely to break 100 yards or get anything from the receiving game.  Playing a top team in your league you have to play the guys with the best chance to put up a 20 or better for you. Sit BJGE.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2012
Posts: 7
Posted: #191
415 denver -3.5
418 GB -500
420 indianapolis +2.5 
421 Baltimore -200/Browns +3.5 
424 Texans -500 /bills +10 
426 Redskins -165/+145 (425)Carolina+4 
427 Detroit-240/ det -5 
429 Chicago -180/430 titans +4 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2007
Posts: 408
Posted: #192

Si1ly great work gl....having a hard time selecting Denver or Chicago ML

Damonte: The New York Knicks handled the adversity well....ask the Heat and.....Motivation is high here.....for both teams.

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2012
Posts: 344
Posted: #193
A lot of broadcasters and media have been asking the Steelers all week about the travel problems, and most players prefer to travel day of game like the Steelers are this week. They like the fact they've gotten to practice and be home all week away from the flood scene and drama in NYC, they like coming in, having their pre-game meeting, playing, and getting out of there the same day, and all teams do this during their pre-season anyway. Add this to the fact that the Giants are not a great home team and have been distracted all week with the hurricane, I'm on Pittsburgh.
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 8640
Posted: #194
Quote Originally Posted by damonte:

Si1ly,

You say you're passing on the Pitt/NY game due to the intangibles affecting both teams. Respect your judgement [and all the input you provide, by the way], but I prefer to view this a different way. Have stepped out on Pitt moneyline for this one. In a tossup situation, you take the odds [ +160 in this case]. I understand it may be a more aggressive approach that doesn't suit everyone though. Also, I don't know how the Giants can even thing about concentrating on football following this awful disaster.  This versus a Pitt team with a minor travel bump.  Finally, I wish the best to all affected by this terrible storm. GL to all.


Just like the Knicks concentrated on their job against the Heat two days ago: https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/boxscore?gid=2012110218
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 12061
Posted: #195
don't you all see that you're just guessing on the Pitt/NYG?  the truth is, we don't know how either team will respond to the unusual situations surrounding this game.  no play is the right play.  plenty of other games to try and make a buck on today.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2005
Posts: 2271
Posted: #196
Nicely stated si1ly... smart betting.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 888
Posted: #197
What are your strongest leans silly...
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2006
Posts: 258
Posted: #198
Thank-you, so much, for all your hard work. Your efforts have been very profitable for me this season.

Got the courage to play a 3 team parlay this week and bought some points (so I don't stress too much)

Bears -3
Broncos -3
Texans -9.5
pays +351

Best of luck to everyone today
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2011
Posts: 9543
Posted: #199
haven't seen anything resembling "sharp action" this week 

GL today bud.  I'm riding your picks, no questions asked today  
 
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 12061
Posted: #200
Quote Originally Posted by 5t4r5align:

haven't seen anything resembling "sharp action" this week 

GL today bud.  I'm riding your picks, no questions asked today  

Agreed.  I'm seeing a lot I like in public favorites this week.  Doesn't leave a good feeling in my stomach, but I trust my numbers more than my gut.
All Forums | Website Promotions
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.