Going to start only playing big plays and limiting my plays. Small plays been killing my bankroll. Also no more 1st half bets. Only full game and 2nd half bets. Going to really buckle down here, so please don't get annoyed if I don't have a lot of plays. As always best of luck, and your comments, advice, or questions welcome!
1.Indiana-7---->4 units
Was also going to take the under, but my good friend straightwagers has talked me out of it at least for the time being.
GL ALL!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
+11 units YTD
Going to start only playing big plays and limiting my plays. Small plays been killing my bankroll. Also no more 1st half bets. Only full game and 2nd half bets. Going to really buckle down here, so please don't get annoyed if I don't have a lot of plays. As always best of luck, and your comments, advice, or questions welcome!
1.Indiana-7---->4 units
Was also going to take the under, but my good friend straightwagers has talked me out of it at least for the time being.
2.Minny-15---->3 units 3.Minny under 163---->5 units
I liked these with Taurasi in the lineup. Without her Phoenix has absolutely no one that can take their opponent off the dribble and create shots...and I mean no one. That means that Minny will play man to man, and press up on the ball hard. Phoenix has some girls that can shoot. Problem is, if you don't have space, you cannot get a good look. And Minny will not respect their dribble drive ability, which means they will play them as tight as you will see all year. GL guys!
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2.Minny-15---->3 units 3.Minny under 163---->5 units
I liked these with Taurasi in the lineup. Without her Phoenix has absolutely no one that can take their opponent off the dribble and create shots...and I mean no one. That means that Minny will play man to man, and press up on the ball hard. Phoenix has some girls that can shoot. Problem is, if you don't have space, you cannot get a good look. And Minny will not respect their dribble drive ability, which means they will play them as tight as you will see all year. GL guys!
Dang my first instinct is usually right. I was going to play Under big, and Atlanta medium, but I thought Conn has been inept for a few games lately so I thought they might play better. UGGGHHHH sometimes, I think too much instead of just going with what I know.
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Dang my first instinct is usually right. I was going to play Under big, and Atlanta medium, but I thought Conn has been inept for a few games lately so I thought they might play better. UGGGHHHH sometimes, I think too much instead of just going with what I know.
morning gators, I think with Ind coming off a home loss they get back on the road and do what they do best: lock down defense. This is a big game for them to head into the break with some momentum so I expect them to make life very difficult for Tulsa who won't repeat the 8 turnover and 52% FG they found against Atl. 68-66 somebody GL.
All Out
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morning gators, I think with Ind coming off a home loss they get back on the road and do what they do best: lock down defense. This is a big game for them to head into the break with some momentum so I expect them to make life very difficult for Tulsa who won't repeat the 8 turnover and 52% FG they found against Atl. 68-66 somebody GL.
Do you know how difficult it is to lock down when you are outrebounded by 15+?
I'm just trying to find reasons not to take Tulsa here. The statistics certainly favor an under and probably a home win. In 2011 and 2012 the Fever have been pretty terrible in away games at WC teams following a 1-2 day rest after a home game. It only happened five times; 1 over, 4 unders, 2 pushes ATS, 3 losses ATS, 2 wins 3 losses straight-up.
Those were the seasons when Catchings started *every* game and Indiana was a powerhouse. This year they'll be lucky to be #3 seed and noone will be shocked if they miss the playoffs altogether (which they will if Cappie does what she did a few more times; Washington is a better team right now and I'm not even talking about Atlanta and Chicago).
So why take Indiana now to bounce back against what looks one of two best frontcourts in the league? Against a team who are 100% certain to outrebound a much smaller opponent? Against Nicole Powell who torched Zellous last time these two teams played? And against a supermodel rookie who is a lot more useful off the bench?
Do you bet Indiana here because they are 'due to bounceback' and do what they seem to be incapable of doing in the past couple of seasons? Because 6-1 Catchings and 6-1 Larkins will 'impose their will' on a pair of 6-4 footers donning orange uniforms?
Because there's no way Powell will bounce back from her three consecutive '20+ minutes, 5 or less points) games, that her team by the way won by 27, 6 and 27? Or because Atlanta is simply not as good as Indiana so last game's result is irrelevant?...
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Do you know how difficult it is to lock down when you are outrebounded by 15+?
I'm just trying to find reasons not to take Tulsa here. The statistics certainly favor an under and probably a home win. In 2011 and 2012 the Fever have been pretty terrible in away games at WC teams following a 1-2 day rest after a home game. It only happened five times; 1 over, 4 unders, 2 pushes ATS, 3 losses ATS, 2 wins 3 losses straight-up.
Those were the seasons when Catchings started *every* game and Indiana was a powerhouse. This year they'll be lucky to be #3 seed and noone will be shocked if they miss the playoffs altogether (which they will if Cappie does what she did a few more times; Washington is a better team right now and I'm not even talking about Atlanta and Chicago).
So why take Indiana now to bounce back against what looks one of two best frontcourts in the league? Against a team who are 100% certain to outrebound a much smaller opponent? Against Nicole Powell who torched Zellous last time these two teams played? And against a supermodel rookie who is a lot more useful off the bench?
Do you bet Indiana here because they are 'due to bounceback' and do what they seem to be incapable of doing in the past couple of seasons? Because 6-1 Catchings and 6-1 Larkins will 'impose their will' on a pair of 6-4 footers donning orange uniforms?
Because there's no way Powell will bounce back from her three consecutive '20+ minutes, 5 or less points) games, that her team by the way won by 27, 6 and 27? Or because Atlanta is simply not as good as Indiana so last game's result is irrelevant?...
I like LA at home to clamp down hard on Sea and play some sick defense to get the W before the break, LA can play some great defense at home and definitely can lock down Sea having seen them last game and 3rd time this season, so Seattle TT under 68 for me GL. 82-62 LA
All Out
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I like LA at home to clamp down hard on Sea and play some sick defense to get the W before the break, LA can play some great defense at home and definitely can lock down Sea having seen them last game and 3rd time this season, so Seattle TT under 68 for me GL. 82-62 LA
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OK, now I'm nervous. Since I made this pick, this line has moved 2 points up...wtf!
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