Brew I love you! maybe we can have a threesome with Skylar down the road!
seriously I am just trying to have some fun, not take myself nor life too seriously and maybe make some money. A lot of people here get that. You are very astute Bobby on your comments but take my self deprecating humor with a grain of salt and if I make people like Brew laugh so much the better. 0-4 yesterday if that makes u feel a bit better. Brutal in da big Apple!!!!
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Brew I love you! maybe we can have a threesome with Skylar down the road!
seriously I am just trying to have some fun, not take myself nor life too seriously and maybe make some money. A lot of people here get that. You are very astute Bobby on your comments but take my self deprecating humor with a grain of salt and if I make people like Brew laugh so much the better. 0-4 yesterday if that makes u feel a bit better. Brutal in da big Apple!!!!
Sorry I meant Donny (too many Laguvullins last night). Address a couple questions because I am nothing but thorough ... as well as hilariously ..and modest Aussie posts late because he wants to know the late scratches and I do miss some because I post early. Don’t fault him for that and me either do the same reason. Second I have posters 22 MAX plays on 136 plays or 16%.
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Sorry I meant Donny (too many Laguvullins last night). Address a couple questions because I am nothing but thorough ... as well as hilariously ..and modest Aussie posts late because he wants to know the late scratches and I do miss some because I post early. Don’t fault him for that and me either do the same reason. Second I have posters 22 MAX plays on 136 plays or 16%.
Thirdly, my MAx plays are 10 units and my regular plays at 5 units. Am up 55 units right now ($100 a unit). I think I am calculating that correctly. Lastly I see you give Brutal most of the ink. Brutal loves that because his ego is huge and I want to bring joy to all my Beaverball buddies ... like Mr Rogers did!
Brutal Joe in New Yawkkkk!
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Thirdly, my MAx plays are 10 units and my regular plays at 5 units. Am up 55 units right now ($100 a unit). I think I am calculating that correctly. Lastly I see you give Brutal most of the ink. Brutal loves that because his ego is huge and I want to bring joy to all my Beaverball buddies ... like Mr Rogers did!
Actually i did not know that was the reason Aussiedownunder posts so late. That to me seems very good because he has more information now. Of course the lines reflect that.
Brutaljoe, if your max play is 10 units but regular play is 5 units... why not just say 5 unit each for regular play and 10 unit for max play or 1 unit regular play or 2 unit for max play? When you say max play, its like you are betting between 1-5 or 1-10 units and its a max 10 unit play etc. I mean no one should have that many max plays...
Are you boasting about being in New York or something? Seriously its annoying when you post that every time because no one can take you seriously when you post like. Also its hard to imagine you betting 500 and 1k each wager with the way you post etc.
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Actually i did not know that was the reason Aussiedownunder posts so late. That to me seems very good because he has more information now. Of course the lines reflect that.
Brutaljoe, if your max play is 10 units but regular play is 5 units... why not just say 5 unit each for regular play and 10 unit for max play or 1 unit regular play or 2 unit for max play? When you say max play, its like you are betting between 1-5 or 1-10 units and its a max 10 unit play etc. I mean no one should have that many max plays...
Are you boasting about being in New York or something? Seriously its annoying when you post that every time because no one can take you seriously when you post like. Also its hard to imagine you betting 500 and 1k each wager with the way you post etc.
Oh Donny, Donny, Donny (Isn't that in AMERICAN BUFFALO?). Why doth thou annoy thee so?
(It is a good thing I have so much time on my hands this summer)
First, They WILL take me seriously if my record is solid no matter how crazy I come across. And 57% on 123 plays is solid albeit not my MAX Plays (where I lost another one yesterday and went 5-5)
Secondly, most on here have , shall I say, a more sophisticated or warped sense of humor and can see I am poking fun at myself. Think of it as performance art from a chillingly charismatic awesome capper :)
Thirdly, I have had 16% MAX Plays at 1K each. Why is that too many MAX Plays? Next what do you mean you find it hard to believe I bet $500 or $1000 on the way I post plays? I am entertaining. I give some good information...and I crack myself up writing the stuff. And then I imagine the people out there who crack up as much as I do and it gives me great joy...and brings a "pitter patter" to my hardened blackened heart. Life is good. I could lose all my next bets and man I could crash and burn by betting SO many games, but at the end of the day I still will be able to go to my topless bar, drink my Lagavullin's and try to seduce lesbian strippers.
Now you may have a point on how I calculate my units. I just am not sure. Maybe it should be 1 unit or 2 units MAX plays. I say right now I am +47 units. That is +$4700. I don't know if I am doing that correctly. Don't care that much but maybe I can be enlightened. Brutal is always up for learning.
In closing, try to bring something to the table here as opposed to being annoyed with the way I brutally post. It is my style. It is maliciously seductive, I get a kick out of myself and hug myself every day. So life is good. look at the new people that have come out of the woodwork and are giving their thoughts now. I speak of Jersey and Swift and TheFazz, THeWK and others. They are relatively new here and they are contributing and it helps us all.
Maybe I should start a Brutal Podcast???
The Brutal One in Da Big Apple!!!
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Oh Donny, Donny, Donny (Isn't that in AMERICAN BUFFALO?). Why doth thou annoy thee so?
(It is a good thing I have so much time on my hands this summer)
First, They WILL take me seriously if my record is solid no matter how crazy I come across. And 57% on 123 plays is solid albeit not my MAX Plays (where I lost another one yesterday and went 5-5)
Secondly, most on here have , shall I say, a more sophisticated or warped sense of humor and can see I am poking fun at myself. Think of it as performance art from a chillingly charismatic awesome capper :)
Thirdly, I have had 16% MAX Plays at 1K each. Why is that too many MAX Plays? Next what do you mean you find it hard to believe I bet $500 or $1000 on the way I post plays? I am entertaining. I give some good information...and I crack myself up writing the stuff. And then I imagine the people out there who crack up as much as I do and it gives me great joy...and brings a "pitter patter" to my hardened blackened heart. Life is good. I could lose all my next bets and man I could crash and burn by betting SO many games, but at the end of the day I still will be able to go to my topless bar, drink my Lagavullin's and try to seduce lesbian strippers.
Now you may have a point on how I calculate my units. I just am not sure. Maybe it should be 1 unit or 2 units MAX plays. I say right now I am +47 units. That is +$4700. I don't know if I am doing that correctly. Don't care that much but maybe I can be enlightened. Brutal is always up for learning.
In closing, try to bring something to the table here as opposed to being annoyed with the way I brutally post. It is my style. It is maliciously seductive, I get a kick out of myself and hug myself every day. So life is good. look at the new people that have come out of the woodwork and are giving their thoughts now. I speak of Jersey and Swift and TheFazz, THeWK and others. They are relatively new here and they are contributing and it helps us all.
So I looked at both aussieguy and brutal joes plays throughout the season.
What i notice was it seems these guys are the 2 best cappers clearly on this subforum right?
Now few questions for these guys.
1. Aussieguy- I noticed you post plays pretty close to gametime. I thought this was hard to follow but it make sense since well now you know what players are playing and which are not. Now for sides and totals, do you cap these numbers with a model? Example team is -6 and 152. Then your numbers would have say a team should be -7 and 156, so you bet the -6 and over?
2. Aussieguy- Do you bet same amount each game regardless? Like flat 1 unit? So you do this even if you have a bigger edge on one bet versus another? I always read you bet bigger if you have bigger edge in one bet vs another. Thoughts on that? I read flat betting is for ppl who don't know how much of an edge one has etc.
3. How far off a line does it take for you to bet something? Example total is 152. Does it need to be minimum 2 or 3 points off your numbers before you make it a play? Or it has to be like 5 points or more?
Brutaljoe
1. I remember people said you were very good. When i saw your posts, all i saw was someone who had good record but very cocky... So i wanted to see if you backed it up and you sure did this season. But in all your plays, do you cap with numbers? Or are you a feel guy where you go okay line is -6 and 152 and you feel it should be higher etc. I notice you post up number predictions of what the odds should be. Are those based on feel or real modeling numbers. Like you calculate possessions or you just go with these teams play fast etc?
2. Do you watch these games? Do you watch it live? I ask this because i notice you posted a ton of 2nd half plays. Thus it would be hard to tail you unless someone is on the forum all the time and refreshing when halftime of the games. This is obviously tough for ppl as it would be checking your thread during halftime everygame. You seem to give insight on 2nd half so are you just looking at box score or you watching these games live when you do 2nd half?
3. You had a pretty damn good record. Now do you bet any other sports? So this sport you follow a lot right and probably only one? I never seen you post in any other subforum. I remember you said you bet 500 or 1000 per game which is 5 units or 10 units. So you always flat bet these amounts right? Regular play is 5 units.... big play is 10 units? I know you use words max play. But where do you bet these at? I assume 5dimes and bookmaker right and betonline? I noticed you bet tons of TT Overs and Unders and it seems 5dimes only book that does it? The other thing is do you think oddsmaker adjust to these things in wnba? I don't watch or follow this sport but i remember there was always a team you kept betting their 1st half TT Over and it went over at a ridiculous rate and you said keep betting the TT 1st Half Over for that team.
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So I looked at both aussieguy and brutal joes plays throughout the season.
What i notice was it seems these guys are the 2 best cappers clearly on this subforum right?
Now few questions for these guys.
1. Aussieguy- I noticed you post plays pretty close to gametime. I thought this was hard to follow but it make sense since well now you know what players are playing and which are not. Now for sides and totals, do you cap these numbers with a model? Example team is -6 and 152. Then your numbers would have say a team should be -7 and 156, so you bet the -6 and over?
2. Aussieguy- Do you bet same amount each game regardless? Like flat 1 unit? So you do this even if you have a bigger edge on one bet versus another? I always read you bet bigger if you have bigger edge in one bet vs another. Thoughts on that? I read flat betting is for ppl who don't know how much of an edge one has etc.
3. How far off a line does it take for you to bet something? Example total is 152. Does it need to be minimum 2 or 3 points off your numbers before you make it a play? Or it has to be like 5 points or more?
Brutaljoe
1. I remember people said you were very good. When i saw your posts, all i saw was someone who had good record but very cocky... So i wanted to see if you backed it up and you sure did this season. But in all your plays, do you cap with numbers? Or are you a feel guy where you go okay line is -6 and 152 and you feel it should be higher etc. I notice you post up number predictions of what the odds should be. Are those based on feel or real modeling numbers. Like you calculate possessions or you just go with these teams play fast etc?
2. Do you watch these games? Do you watch it live? I ask this because i notice you posted a ton of 2nd half plays. Thus it would be hard to tail you unless someone is on the forum all the time and refreshing when halftime of the games. This is obviously tough for ppl as it would be checking your thread during halftime everygame. You seem to give insight on 2nd half so are you just looking at box score or you watching these games live when you do 2nd half?
3. You had a pretty damn good record. Now do you bet any other sports? So this sport you follow a lot right and probably only one? I never seen you post in any other subforum. I remember you said you bet 500 or 1000 per game which is 5 units or 10 units. So you always flat bet these amounts right? Regular play is 5 units.... big play is 10 units? I know you use words max play. But where do you bet these at? I assume 5dimes and bookmaker right and betonline? I noticed you bet tons of TT Overs and Unders and it seems 5dimes only book that does it? The other thing is do you think oddsmaker adjust to these things in wnba? I don't watch or follow this sport but i remember there was always a team you kept betting their 1st half TT Over and it went over at a ridiculous rate and you said keep betting the TT 1st Half Over for that team.
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