1. Liberty -9.5
(YTD 15-11 Ats)
I know some of you are like??? He's picking the New York Liberty when he loves to bet against them because they're so horrible as a favorite and so horrible against the spread at home and one of their starters is out, but I'll try to give y'all a decent reasoning.
Liberty are 2-0 SU and 1-1 Ats in B2B games this season. The key with the Liberty is trying to figure out when they're going to be motivated or not... They are 10-1 SU at home and who is that lone home loss to the Chicago Sky.
They did avenge that loss when they played Chicago sky on June 4th in Chicago. They beat them 88-75. In my opinion, they're not going to take them lightly today.
This will be Chicago Sky's first back-to-back game of the season with no rest and I truly believe the liberty are just going to push the pace and push it and push it and and just try to blow them out.
Chicago Sky is 5-5 SU and Ats on the road this season. Liberty are 2-9 Ats at home this season and 8-13 Ats as a favorite this season. ( 8-14 Ats if you include the commissioner cup championship game).
I understand the New York Liberty don't cover as a favorite...I understand they don't cover at home. I believe there's too much of a market correction here.
May 23... Liberty closed -16.5 at home against Chicago Sky and lost outright.
June 4... Liberty were -8.5 point favorites in Chicago and covered...
Today July 11... Liberty are -9.5 point favorites at home. Laney Hamilton one of their key starters is out tonight.
I truly believe a 7 point line adjustment from May 23 is way too much.
Final score 92-73.
Let's have a winning evening everybody.
Hopefully the New York Liberty can pull through.
91-76
Hot Forum Topics
