Hey Indigo,
You are the one for this job on an off day.
I have been noticing that last year (an ungodly amount then and a main reason why I had a fortunate year) and this year (I think at 100%). The dog that is +4 or better that is winning the 1H seems ALWAYS covers the 2H spread. It is astounding I THINK...No real research to go back and see but I have the instincts for these type of things and my guess is like 75/80%. I even believe that if you say JUST A DOG forgetting the +4 it is still like 70%.
Also this is for everyone. CHI 1Q is ungodly good. Then they fade. Taking the TT CHI over 1H is golden right now.
brutal one in nyc.