With some down time before tomorrow's game, I wanted to get some general league power ratings discussion going so I can try to fine tune mine, posted mine below. I try to keep mine simple, half pt increments and 0 being an average team. I also wanted to see if anyone had opinions on how much we can trust or respect the closing line in a smaller sport like the WNBA. So far I've been adjusting my ratings based on the direction of a line move and the boundaries we see buy back at, not the exact closing line itself (ex. Fever v Sun we saw openers of Sun -12 I think and got as low as -8 before settling at -9.5, for now I'm assuming a 1.5pt home court advantage for all teams except for the Lynx, the market was saying a PR difference between the two teams of 6.5 is too small, but 10.5 is too big, answer is in the middle somewhere)
LV Aces: 6
LA Sparks: 4.5
Was Mystic: 4
Atl Dream: 3.5
CT Sun: 2
Phoenix Mercury: -1
Minn Lynx: -1.5
Seattle Storm: -2.5
Chi Sky: -3
Dallas Wings: -3.5
Indiana Fever: -4
NY Liberty: -4
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
With some down time before tomorrow's game, I wanted to get some general league power ratings discussion going so I can try to fine tune mine, posted mine below. I try to keep mine simple, half pt increments and 0 being an average team. I also wanted to see if anyone had opinions on how much we can trust or respect the closing line in a smaller sport like the WNBA. So far I've been adjusting my ratings based on the direction of a line move and the boundaries we see buy back at, not the exact closing line itself (ex. Fever v Sun we saw openers of Sun -12 I think and got as low as -8 before settling at -9.5, for now I'm assuming a 1.5pt home court advantage for all teams except for the Lynx, the market was saying a PR difference between the two teams of 6.5 is too small, but 10.5 is too big, answer is in the middle somewhere)
The home court advantage is definitely bigger than 1.5 points
Ya my last thread was about assigning home court advantage ratings, still working on that too, it can't be higher than 3pts though right, on average that is what u see in the NBA and NFL
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Quote Originally Posted by TheWK:
The home court advantage is definitely bigger than 1.5 points
Ya my last thread was about assigning home court advantage ratings, still working on that too, it can't be higher than 3pts though right, on average that is what u see in the NBA and NFL
Nice.. Like Power ratings because I believe they are a great guide on how teams are built to begin the season with and how they can also drop away as the season progresses with injuries.
Like WK, some home court advantage is larger than others and some are over 1.5 points but it also comes down to their situation and schedule. Say for instance, you have a team that has just spent 10 days, played 4-5 games on the road and then finally get home for a game on 1-2 days rest. They will be buggered. So IMHO, there wouldn't be much home court advantage there. But, like yesterday, we saw the Lynx play their 2nd game in a row at home, a spot where they are 63-53 S/U since 2011 in that situation where their previous game was at home and they are playing at home again. That's outrageous home court advantage over 68 games across almost 8 seasons.
There is also a large discrepancy between talent in this league with both players and coaches.
Most respected coaches for me who are active are Reeve, Hughes, Miller, Agler, Brondello, Laimbeer and Thibault, Collen
The not so sharp coaches, Pokey Chatman, Derek Fisher, Katie Smith & Wade. We can give the benefit of the doubt to Wade and Fisher as they just have started their WNBA careers but Fisher wasn't the best coach in his short stint in the NBA.
I think it is really a tricky situation on how much to give each team for home court advantage due to what I stated above. I think its more about the situation and schedule of the team.
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Nice.. Like Power ratings because I believe they are a great guide on how teams are built to begin the season with and how they can also drop away as the season progresses with injuries.
Like WK, some home court advantage is larger than others and some are over 1.5 points but it also comes down to their situation and schedule. Say for instance, you have a team that has just spent 10 days, played 4-5 games on the road and then finally get home for a game on 1-2 days rest. They will be buggered. So IMHO, there wouldn't be much home court advantage there. But, like yesterday, we saw the Lynx play their 2nd game in a row at home, a spot where they are 63-53 S/U since 2011 in that situation where their previous game was at home and they are playing at home again. That's outrageous home court advantage over 68 games across almost 8 seasons.
There is also a large discrepancy between talent in this league with both players and coaches.
Most respected coaches for me who are active are Reeve, Hughes, Miller, Agler, Brondello, Laimbeer and Thibault, Collen
The not so sharp coaches, Pokey Chatman, Derek Fisher, Katie Smith & Wade. We can give the benefit of the doubt to Wade and Fisher as they just have started their WNBA careers but Fisher wasn't the best coach in his short stint in the NBA.
I think it is really a tricky situation on how much to give each team for home court advantage due to what I stated above. I think its more about the situation and schedule of the team.
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