Storm +4 vs Sparks as I cant trust the Sparks right now with their new coach and even though the Storm are also struggling, I still think the Storm can get up for this game and possibly win S/U.
Mercury -11.5 vs Liberty. I am very surprised with the amount of love Liberty are getting on the covers contest/consensus. The Mercury are in beast mode and have won the past 9 straight at home and have won by some big numbers. Heavy lean on them
Fever +1.5 @ Stars = Wagers summed this up on yesterday's thread. Stars coming off a B2B vs the Lynx, now face a Fever team that is up for revenge and they are 4-0 S/U when revenging a loss this season. If you all remember correctly, the Fever should have beat the Stars quite easily in Indy about 3 weeks ago apart from a collapse which saw them lose S/U. They lead as much as 15 with 8 minutes to go and somehow blew it. This time I don't think this happens and Stars are missing Perkins badly off the bench.
Just my insight for now, will confirm plays later on.
BOL everyone.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Hey everyone,
YTD: 50-43-1
Moving on to today's games..
Leans
Storm +4 vs Sparks as I cant trust the Sparks right now with their new coach and even though the Storm are also struggling, I still think the Storm can get up for this game and possibly win S/U.
Mercury -11.5 vs Liberty. I am very surprised with the amount of love Liberty are getting on the covers contest/consensus. The Mercury are in beast mode and have won the past 9 straight at home and have won by some big numbers. Heavy lean on them
Fever +1.5 @ Stars = Wagers summed this up on yesterday's thread. Stars coming off a B2B vs the Lynx, now face a Fever team that is up for revenge and they are 4-0 S/U when revenging a loss this season. If you all remember correctly, the Fever should have beat the Stars quite easily in Indy about 3 weeks ago apart from a collapse which saw them lose S/U. They lead as much as 15 with 8 minutes to go and somehow blew it. This time I don't think this happens and Stars are missing Perkins badly off the bench.
Just my insight for now, will confirm plays later on.
Liberty are terrible ats after 3 straight wins why anyone would step in front of mercury is just silly and yet I can't get myself to back mercury every game also like fever even though that atrocious ft shooting against sky cost me a nice ticket
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Liberty are terrible ats after 3 straight wins why anyone would step in front of mercury is just silly and yet I can't get myself to back mercury every game also like fever even though that atrocious ft shooting against sky cost me a nice ticket
Liberty are terrible ats after 3 straight wins why anyone would step in front of mercury is just silly and yet I can't get myself to back mercury every game also like fever even though that atrocious ft shooting against sky cost me a nice ticket
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Liberty are terrible ats after 3 straight wins why anyone would step in front of mercury is just silly and yet I can't get myself to back mercury every game also like fever even though that atrocious ft shooting against sky cost me a nice ticket
Hey Aussie..liking SW big bags on Fever here.I also like Fever 1H +.5 as they are a better 1H team then a 2H finisher...they have blown so many big leads in the 2H this year but have played much better on the road.
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Hey Aussie..liking SW big bags on Fever here.I also like Fever 1H +.5 as they are a better 1H team then a 2H finisher...they have blown so many big leads in the 2H this year but have played much better on the road.
Lets face it.... Mercury are by far the best team in the league and the Liberty have won 2 straight games on the road but this is their 3rd game in 4 nights and they have beaten the Sparks who just had no identity right now, they don't know who they are, their coach doesn't no what she is doing and then the Liberty beat a Storm team that just can't get their act together for anything. Mercury are complete opposites of both the Sparks and Storm, they are playing every single game amazingly, the are ranked 1st in offense efficiency, a whooping 5 points clear of the Lynx per 100 possessions and even more incredible is that they are hitting so many shots in their games but also great on defense. Their defense efficiency is ranked 3rd best in the league.
Regardless of the stats, the Liberty cannot mark Griner, Taurasi, Bonner, Dupree, Phillips etc.. Tina Charles always gives it her best go but Cappie is only showing up once in every 4-5 games and the Liberty bench is terrible. I think the Mercury can win again at home like they have done in the past 9 occasions at home and win big. Mercury by 16.
Fever @ Stars: Fever +1.5
Wagers has chucked on a massive 33 bags onto this play and I missed his last 33 bagger which was a 2H over in the All-Star game. I cannot ignore such a large play from him and I would also like to point out further things I love about this play.
1. Revenge - Fever had the game in the bag 3 weeks ago in Indy (Catchings 1st game back I think) and they blew it. I doubt this will happen again as they need to push for play-offs as other teams like the Mystics and Liberty are starting to win games. Even Sky still have a chance and especially if EDD returns within 1 week like anticipated.
2. Stars coming back home after a loss in Minny and now face a hungry Fever side. This tip-off is exactly 24 hours since the Minny game which is just brutal especially against the Fever.
Sparks @ Storm: Storm +4
Sparks don't know who they are right now. We have no idea of what has happened behind the scenes with their coach being fired. Parker was apparently injured and didn't play against the Liberty but then played 24 hours later against a red hot Mercury team. If I was the coach, I would have played her against the Liberty to get the crucial win as they were facing the hottest team in the league the following day. Something doesn't smell right in LA right now and even though the Storm are 0-3 ATS vs the Sparks this season, I think they can keep this game close. Sparks playing their 3rd in 4 nights as well must eventually catch up with them.
BOL everyone
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Liberty @ Mercury: Mercury -11.5
Lets face it.... Mercury are by far the best team in the league and the Liberty have won 2 straight games on the road but this is their 3rd game in 4 nights and they have beaten the Sparks who just had no identity right now, they don't know who they are, their coach doesn't no what she is doing and then the Liberty beat a Storm team that just can't get their act together for anything. Mercury are complete opposites of both the Sparks and Storm, they are playing every single game amazingly, the are ranked 1st in offense efficiency, a whooping 5 points clear of the Lynx per 100 possessions and even more incredible is that they are hitting so many shots in their games but also great on defense. Their defense efficiency is ranked 3rd best in the league.
Regardless of the stats, the Liberty cannot mark Griner, Taurasi, Bonner, Dupree, Phillips etc.. Tina Charles always gives it her best go but Cappie is only showing up once in every 4-5 games and the Liberty bench is terrible. I think the Mercury can win again at home like they have done in the past 9 occasions at home and win big. Mercury by 16.
Fever @ Stars: Fever +1.5
Wagers has chucked on a massive 33 bags onto this play and I missed his last 33 bagger which was a 2H over in the All-Star game. I cannot ignore such a large play from him and I would also like to point out further things I love about this play.
1. Revenge - Fever had the game in the bag 3 weeks ago in Indy (Catchings 1st game back I think) and they blew it. I doubt this will happen again as they need to push for play-offs as other teams like the Mystics and Liberty are starting to win games. Even Sky still have a chance and especially if EDD returns within 1 week like anticipated.
2. Stars coming back home after a loss in Minny and now face a hungry Fever side. This tip-off is exactly 24 hours since the Minny game which is just brutal especially against the Fever.
Sparks @ Storm: Storm +4
Sparks don't know who they are right now. We have no idea of what has happened behind the scenes with their coach being fired. Parker was apparently injured and didn't play against the Liberty but then played 24 hours later against a red hot Mercury team. If I was the coach, I would have played her against the Liberty to get the crucial win as they were facing the hottest team in the league the following day. Something doesn't smell right in LA right now and even though the Storm are 0-3 ATS vs the Sparks this season, I think they can keep this game close. Sparks playing their 3rd in 4 nights as well must eventually catch up with them.
Hey Aussie..liking SW big bags on Fever here.I also like Fever 1H +.5 as they are a better 1H team then a 2H finisher...they have blown so many big leads in the 2H this year but have played much better on the road.
Hey Taxman,
Love Wagers big bags on the Fever play. Im going it as well mate. Its crunch time for them to stay within the play-off spots as Sky are starting to improve and same with Mystics and Liberty.
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Quote Originally Posted by taxman1:
Hey Aussie..liking SW big bags on Fever here.I also like Fever 1H +.5 as they are a better 1H team then a 2H finisher...they have blown so many big leads in the 2H this year but have played much better on the road.
Hey Taxman,
Love Wagers big bags on the Fever play. Im going it as well mate. Its crunch time for them to stay within the play-off spots as Sky are starting to improve and same with Mystics and Liberty.
LOS ANGELES is 24-37 ATS (-16.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 102-71 ATS (+23.9 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1997.
SEATTLE is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
SEATTLE is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
SEATTLE is 92-62 ATS (+23.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
SEATTLE is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 8-4 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 10-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
9 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA (11 - 13) at SAN ANTONIO (12 - 13) - 7/26/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 102-137 ATS (-48.7 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) against Eastern conference opponents this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LOS ANGELES is 24-37 ATS (-16.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 102-71 ATS (+23.9 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1997.
SEATTLE is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
SEATTLE is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
SEATTLE is 92-62 ATS (+23.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
SEATTLE is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 8-4 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 10-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
9 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA (11 - 13) at SAN ANTONIO (12 - 13) - 7/26/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 102-137 ATS (-48.7 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) against Eastern conference opponents this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
PHOENIX is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games this season.
PHOENIX is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
PHOENIX is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in July games this season.
PHOENIX is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.
PHOENIX is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after a division game this season.
PHOENIX is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games this season.
NEW YORK is 70-47 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games against Western conference opponents since 1997.
NEW YORK is 70-47 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
PHOENIX is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-0 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 2-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PHOENIX is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
PHOENIX is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games this season.
PHOENIX is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
PHOENIX is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in July games this season.
PHOENIX is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.
PHOENIX is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after a division game this season.
PHOENIX is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games this season.
NEW YORK is 70-47 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games against Western conference opponents since 1997.
NEW YORK is 70-47 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
PHOENIX is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-0 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 2-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
morning fellas, need a little input on the early game...to me this seems set up for a perfect over shoot em up or nothing: they've met 3 times already this season and LA has put an absolute strangle hold on Sea allowing a paltry 69, 57 and 56, I don't see that repeating. These 2 teams are in a death spiral and I cannot imagine much defense being played today. sea has given up the farm to visiting teams right from the tip in this homestand allowing Conn, Phx and NY to score 26, 24 and 22 1st qtr points and basically roll from there. I love teams coming off games against Phx b/c they find the next defense refreshing, no Griner to clog the paint so it is a lot easier to score (wish we had stats of teams scoring the game after they played Phx, i bet it's about 80ppg). Anyways LA is in that spot and should feast. Here's the clincher for me but it's kind of up in the air: w/out Sue Bird Sea dramatically increases their pace w/ Temaka and Stricklen handling the ball, against Conn their stat line was 66 attempted FG 15 attempted 3pt shots and 10 FT against Phx it was 58, 12 and 13, w/out Bird it skyrocketed to 78, 28 (yikers that's a ton of 3's) and 10. So we have one of my favorite situations in 2 poor teams desperate for a win which equals points and FTs, a team coming off a loss to Phx so should find some offensive groove next game, Sea who no longer can defend and if Bird does not play will pick up the pace, and a low 148.5 achievable number in an early tip. Only thing that scares me is Sea ability to put up an 8pt qtr and kill the whole enchilada and/or LA having already given up and no show this game b/c of some internal strife we don't know about.. so what do you guys think?
also, I'm not racist at all, i actually grew up in the hood in Oakland and hate everyone regardless of color but that new coach for LA is hilarious, there was a Saturday night Live skit a while back called Black Jeopardy and one category was "It's been a minute" and she is just like that whole category, pretty funny, she actually said that. She has no clue what she is doing on the sideline and will probably get a technical today for something stupid.
All Out
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morning fellas, need a little input on the early game...to me this seems set up for a perfect over shoot em up or nothing: they've met 3 times already this season and LA has put an absolute strangle hold on Sea allowing a paltry 69, 57 and 56, I don't see that repeating. These 2 teams are in a death spiral and I cannot imagine much defense being played today. sea has given up the farm to visiting teams right from the tip in this homestand allowing Conn, Phx and NY to score 26, 24 and 22 1st qtr points and basically roll from there. I love teams coming off games against Phx b/c they find the next defense refreshing, no Griner to clog the paint so it is a lot easier to score (wish we had stats of teams scoring the game after they played Phx, i bet it's about 80ppg). Anyways LA is in that spot and should feast. Here's the clincher for me but it's kind of up in the air: w/out Sue Bird Sea dramatically increases their pace w/ Temaka and Stricklen handling the ball, against Conn their stat line was 66 attempted FG 15 attempted 3pt shots and 10 FT against Phx it was 58, 12 and 13, w/out Bird it skyrocketed to 78, 28 (yikers that's a ton of 3's) and 10. So we have one of my favorite situations in 2 poor teams desperate for a win which equals points and FTs, a team coming off a loss to Phx so should find some offensive groove next game, Sea who no longer can defend and if Bird does not play will pick up the pace, and a low 148.5 achievable number in an early tip. Only thing that scares me is Sea ability to put up an 8pt qtr and kill the whole enchilada and/or LA having already given up and no show this game b/c of some internal strife we don't know about.. so what do you guys think?
also, I'm not racist at all, i actually grew up in the hood in Oakland and hate everyone regardless of color but that new coach for LA is hilarious, there was a Saturday night Live skit a while back called Black Jeopardy and one category was "It's been a minute" and she is just like that whole category, pretty funny, she actually said that. She has no clue what she is doing on the sideline and will probably get a technical today for something stupid.
Oh look...New York Liberty are 3-0 ATS the last 3 games!
Win #1 vs. a crappy road team in Atlanta
Win #2 vs. Sparks without Parker and a new coach who doesn't know how to, you know...coach.
Win #3 vs. Storm without their leader and arguably best player Sue Bird (Lauren Jackson would have my vote, but hey looks like she didn't play with that torn Achilles either)
That is a greatly exaggerated 3-0 ATS mark and playing their 3rd game in 4 nights, there is no team that I want to fade more than the New York Liberty right now.
Furthermore, there is no team that I would rather back at home right now than the Mercury. In case nobody's noticed yet, all stats from previous seasons can be thrown out in regards to the Mercury THIS SEASON. New coach, and now they play DEFENSE. Look back 3 years and you are counting the lost Taurasi season, that team is not even on the same planet as this team.
Heavy lean on the Mercury -11.5, but I would put my house down on the Phoenix ML right now.
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Oh look...New York Liberty are 3-0 ATS the last 3 games!
Win #1 vs. a crappy road team in Atlanta
Win #2 vs. Sparks without Parker and a new coach who doesn't know how to, you know...coach.
Win #3 vs. Storm without their leader and arguably best player Sue Bird (Lauren Jackson would have my vote, but hey looks like she didn't play with that torn Achilles either)
That is a greatly exaggerated 3-0 ATS mark and playing their 3rd game in 4 nights, there is no team that I want to fade more than the New York Liberty right now.
Furthermore, there is no team that I would rather back at home right now than the Mercury. In case nobody's noticed yet, all stats from previous seasons can be thrown out in regards to the Mercury THIS SEASON. New coach, and now they play DEFENSE. Look back 3 years and you are counting the lost Taurasi season, that team is not even on the same planet as this team.
Heavy lean on the Mercury -11.5, but I would put my house down on the Phoenix ML right now.
I do think it's Fever or no play today, will probably play it by halves. Waiting for Sue Bird status (if it ever becomes available or is a "gametime decision") before deciding on a play for that game. Probably won't end up touching it or just make a small degen play for action lol.
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I do think it's Fever or no play today, will probably play it by halves. Waiting for Sue Bird status (if it ever becomes available or is a "gametime decision") before deciding on a play for that game. Probably won't end up touching it or just make a small degen play for action lol.
that Atl/Wash game tomorrow is going to be a hum dinger, my Mystics (haha) have been waiting for this rematch for a while and Atl needs a win desperately to lock up a playoff spot and stop the bleeding
Atl has really been dealt a bad hand not playing a true home game in a month, their next true home game is Tues vs. Conn and play 7 of next 11 on road after basically being on the road for a month, that's a tough nut to crack, meanwhile teams like Minn and Phx are just resting at home and go on the ocassional 1 game rd trip with rest before and after, by the time Phx gets to it's only rd b2b in mid August they'll have the west conf all wrapped up
All Out
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that Atl/Wash game tomorrow is going to be a hum dinger, my Mystics (haha) have been waiting for this rematch for a while and Atl needs a win desperately to lock up a playoff spot and stop the bleeding
Atl has really been dealt a bad hand not playing a true home game in a month, their next true home game is Tues vs. Conn and play 7 of next 11 on road after basically being on the road for a month, that's a tough nut to crack, meanwhile teams like Minn and Phx are just resting at home and go on the ocassional 1 game rd trip with rest before and after, by the time Phx gets to it's only rd b2b in mid August they'll have the west conf all wrapped up
Beware of Indy today line is very fishy...you have a team on a back to back fresh from losing then come home as favs to a team looking for revenge and we all know Indy is a pretty good team so therefore why are the stars favored?? Also if im not mistaken Stars haven loss 2 in a row on a back to back all season either they lose the 1st night and win the 2nd or win the 1st night and lose the 2nd. Line pretty much tells me take the Stars today as the general public will be all over Indy!! I lost my last posted plays but beware today
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Beware of Indy today line is very fishy...you have a team on a back to back fresh from losing then come home as favs to a team looking for revenge and we all know Indy is a pretty good team so therefore why are the stars favored?? Also if im not mistaken Stars haven loss 2 in a row on a back to back all season either they lose the 1st night and win the 2nd or win the 1st night and lose the 2nd. Line pretty much tells me take the Stars today as the general public will be all over Indy!! I lost my last posted plays but beware today
Lets face it.... Mercury are by far the best team in the league and the Liberty have won 2 straight games on the road but this is their 3rd game in 4 nights and they have beaten the Sparks who just had no identity right now, they don't know who they are, their coach doesn't no what she is doing and then the Liberty beat a Storm team that just can't get their act together for anything. Mercury are complete opposites of both the Sparks and Storm, they are playing every single game amazingly, the are ranked 1st in offense efficiency, a whooping 5 points clear of the Lynx per 100 possessions and even more incredible is that they are hitting so many shots in their games but also great on defense. Their defense efficiency is ranked 3rd best in the league.
Regardless of the stats, the Liberty cannot mark Griner, Taurasi, Bonner, Dupree, Phillips etc.. Tina Charles always gives it her best go but Cappie is only showing up once in every 4-5 games and the Liberty bench is terrible. I think the Mercury can win again at home like they have done in the past 9 occasions at home and win big. Mercury by 16.
Fever @ Stars: Fever +1.5
Wagers has chucked on a massive 33 bags onto this play and I missed his last 33 bagger which was a 2H over in the All-Star game. I cannot ignore such a large play from him and I would also like to point out further things I love about this play.
1. Revenge - Fever had the game in the bag 3 weeks ago in Indy (Catchings 1st game back I think) and they blew it. I doubt this will happen again as they need to push for play-offs as other teams like the Mystics and Liberty are starting to win games. Even Sky still have a chance and especially if EDD returns within 1 week like anticipated.
2. Stars coming back home after a loss in Minny and now face a hungry Fever side. This tip-off is exactly 24 hours since the Minny game which is just brutal especially against the Fever.
Sparks @ Storm: Storm +4
Sparks don't know who they are right now. We have no idea of what has happened behind the scenes with their coach being fired. Parker was apparently injured and didn't play against the Liberty but then played 24 hours later against a red hot Mercury team. If I was the coach, I would have played her against the Liberty to get the crucial win as they were facing the hottest team in the league the following day. Something doesn't smell right in LA right now and even though the Storm are 0-3 ATS vs the Sparks this season, I think they can keep this game close. Sparks playing their 3rd in 4 nights as well must eventually catch up with them.
BOL everyone
Right or wrong Aussie this is why I always check your thread!
Thanks 4 the insight!
gl
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Quote Originally Posted by AussieDownUnder:
Liberty @ Mercury: Mercury -11.5
Lets face it.... Mercury are by far the best team in the league and the Liberty have won 2 straight games on the road but this is their 3rd game in 4 nights and they have beaten the Sparks who just had no identity right now, they don't know who they are, their coach doesn't no what she is doing and then the Liberty beat a Storm team that just can't get their act together for anything. Mercury are complete opposites of both the Sparks and Storm, they are playing every single game amazingly, the are ranked 1st in offense efficiency, a whooping 5 points clear of the Lynx per 100 possessions and even more incredible is that they are hitting so many shots in their games but also great on defense. Their defense efficiency is ranked 3rd best in the league.
Regardless of the stats, the Liberty cannot mark Griner, Taurasi, Bonner, Dupree, Phillips etc.. Tina Charles always gives it her best go but Cappie is only showing up once in every 4-5 games and the Liberty bench is terrible. I think the Mercury can win again at home like they have done in the past 9 occasions at home and win big. Mercury by 16.
Fever @ Stars: Fever +1.5
Wagers has chucked on a massive 33 bags onto this play and I missed his last 33 bagger which was a 2H over in the All-Star game. I cannot ignore such a large play from him and I would also like to point out further things I love about this play.
1. Revenge - Fever had the game in the bag 3 weeks ago in Indy (Catchings 1st game back I think) and they blew it. I doubt this will happen again as they need to push for play-offs as other teams like the Mystics and Liberty are starting to win games. Even Sky still have a chance and especially if EDD returns within 1 week like anticipated.
2. Stars coming back home after a loss in Minny and now face a hungry Fever side. This tip-off is exactly 24 hours since the Minny game which is just brutal especially against the Fever.
Sparks @ Storm: Storm +4
Sparks don't know who they are right now. We have no idea of what has happened behind the scenes with their coach being fired. Parker was apparently injured and didn't play against the Liberty but then played 24 hours later against a red hot Mercury team. If I was the coach, I would have played her against the Liberty to get the crucial win as they were facing the hottest team in the league the following day. Something doesn't smell right in LA right now and even though the Storm are 0-3 ATS vs the Sparks this season, I think they can keep this game close. Sparks playing their 3rd in 4 nights as well must eventually catch up with them.
BOL everyone
Right or wrong Aussie this is why I always check your thread!
morning fellas, need a little input on the early game...to me this seems set up for a perfect over shoot em up or nothing: they've met 3 times already this season and LA has put an absolute strangle hold on Sea allowing a paltry 69, 57 and 56, I don't see that repeating. These 2 teams are in a death spiral and I cannot imagine much defense being played today. sea has given up the farm to visiting teams right from the tip in this homestand allowing Conn, Phx and NY to score 26, 24 and 22 1st qtr points and basically roll from there. I love teams coming off games against Phx b/c they find the next defense refreshing, no Griner to clog the paint so it is a lot easier to score (wish we had stats of teams scoring the game after they played Phx, i bet it's about 80ppg). Anyways LA is in that spot and should feast. Here's the clincher for me but it's kind of up in the air: w/out Sue Bird Sea dramatically increases their pace w/ Temaka and Stricklen handling the ball, against Conn their stat line was 66 attempted FG 15 attempted 3pt shots and 10 FT against Phx it was 58, 12 and 13, w/out Bird it skyrocketed to 78, 28 (yikers that's a ton of 3's) and 10. So we have one of my favorite situations in 2 poor teams desperate for a win which equals points and FTs, a team coming off a loss to Phx so should find some offensive groove next game, Sea who no longer can defend and if Bird does not play will pick up the pace, and a low 148.5 achievable number in an early tip. Only thing that scares me is Sea ability to put up an 8pt qtr and kill the whole enchilada and/or LA having already given up and no show this game b/c of some internal strife we don't know about.. so what do you guys think?
also, I'm not racist at all, i actually grew up in the hood in Oakland and hate everyone regardless of color but that new coach for LA is hilarious, there was a Saturday night Live skit a while back called Black Jeopardy and one category was "It's been a minute" and she is just like that whole category, pretty funny, she actually said that. She has no clue what she is doing on the sideline and will probably get a technical today for something stupid.
In principle, I agree with most of your points Wagers, except that I would not draw any conclusions about the Storm's increase in pace w/out Bird. That was just one game where Tameka played out of her mind and where Aigler's plan was to try and run on the tired NYL team coming playing a b2b game. By the way, 5-2 Johnson became just the 5th player in WNBA history to record a triple-double. The problem for Seattle is that with Stricklen starting they have no bench. And the way these two teams are closing their games, a 22-point 4Q might very well happen. I do like over 1Q and 1H, but not so much o148 FG. For the same reason, I don't feel like picking a side here. Beware that everybody and your momma are the over in this game.
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Quote Originally Posted by StraightWagers:
morning fellas, need a little input on the early game...to me this seems set up for a perfect over shoot em up or nothing: they've met 3 times already this season and LA has put an absolute strangle hold on Sea allowing a paltry 69, 57 and 56, I don't see that repeating. These 2 teams are in a death spiral and I cannot imagine much defense being played today. sea has given up the farm to visiting teams right from the tip in this homestand allowing Conn, Phx and NY to score 26, 24 and 22 1st qtr points and basically roll from there. I love teams coming off games against Phx b/c they find the next defense refreshing, no Griner to clog the paint so it is a lot easier to score (wish we had stats of teams scoring the game after they played Phx, i bet it's about 80ppg). Anyways LA is in that spot and should feast. Here's the clincher for me but it's kind of up in the air: w/out Sue Bird Sea dramatically increases their pace w/ Temaka and Stricklen handling the ball, against Conn their stat line was 66 attempted FG 15 attempted 3pt shots and 10 FT against Phx it was 58, 12 and 13, w/out Bird it skyrocketed to 78, 28 (yikers that's a ton of 3's) and 10. So we have one of my favorite situations in 2 poor teams desperate for a win which equals points and FTs, a team coming off a loss to Phx so should find some offensive groove next game, Sea who no longer can defend and if Bird does not play will pick up the pace, and a low 148.5 achievable number in an early tip. Only thing that scares me is Sea ability to put up an 8pt qtr and kill the whole enchilada and/or LA having already given up and no show this game b/c of some internal strife we don't know about.. so what do you guys think?
also, I'm not racist at all, i actually grew up in the hood in Oakland and hate everyone regardless of color but that new coach for LA is hilarious, there was a Saturday night Live skit a while back called Black Jeopardy and one category was "It's been a minute" and she is just like that whole category, pretty funny, she actually said that. She has no clue what she is doing on the sideline and will probably get a technical today for something stupid.
In principle, I agree with most of your points Wagers, except that I would not draw any conclusions about the Storm's increase in pace w/out Bird. That was just one game where Tameka played out of her mind and where Aigler's plan was to try and run on the tired NYL team coming playing a b2b game. By the way, 5-2 Johnson became just the 5th player in WNBA history to record a triple-double. The problem for Seattle is that with Stricklen starting they have no bench. And the way these two teams are closing their games, a 22-point 4Q might very well happen. I do like over 1Q and 1H, but not so much o148 FG. For the same reason, I don't feel like picking a side here. Beware that everybody and your momma are the over in this game.
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