Second half over/unders

I went back to the start of the season and looked at every game where there were 70 or less points in 1H or 90 or more points.  There were 39 of these games.

I then looked at the scoring in the second half.  I didn’t have access to old second half lines but in 26 games it was a clear result and betting the opposite would have resulted in a 17-9 record.  The other 13 were close but you would probably slightly over .500 betting the opposite in those games.

This analysis is obviously incomplete as it doesn’t take into the teams involved, injuries, etc.  But it’s clear that betting the opposite total in 2H is a winner after a strange first half.

One other note - double digit dogs are 9-9 this year but if you take out the Aces at home the double digit dogs are 9-4.

@WNBASharp31

https://classic.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/

under the word full there is a pull down in which you can select 2nd H. under sides you can then select totals if you click on that 

by the way what happens to the teams that lost.  You said there were 17 wins and 9 losses. The next game those 9 losses continued on their streak or did that game break the trend. If it continued the trend did both halves continue going or did one of those halve break the trend?

Just curious.  

Thanks for the info.  When I said 17-9 I meant the bettor’s record if he bet the opposite total in 2H of what happened in 1H.  But with the website you provided I’ll check the line and get a confirmed record for all 39 bets.

This is BrutalJoes forte. 

he loves this angle. Whatever the 1H ends up (over or under), bet the opposite. Sucks because I don’t get 2H lines in Oz but Joe has been cleaning up on that angle for years now

Yes 

this is THE MAIN reason I am up 10,000 this year . 

I have been saying this for years. 

Especially the over first half then take under 2H  

it almost always hits except that fricking Sammi W NYL fricking game  

reason?

coaches adjust and say YOU NEED TO PLAY D YOU FRICKIN LESBIANS!!! And why 2H under is better than 2H over?  The lesbians get tired

I have studied this for years now.  

It is only good if the difference is 6/7 points or more/ less than it should be  meaning say 159!SEA LAS  first have goes 85  not a 6/7 spread on half the total  

say 90  then it is a play. Same opposite but not as strong.

SHARP CAN YOU BREAK DOWN EACH WAY? I have a strong suspicion that taking under 2H is stronger than opposite  

Brutal joe 

I went through all games and tabulated a sample 2H Under bet if there were 90 or more points in 1H.  I did the same for a 2H Over bet if there were 70 or less points in 1H.  I threw out any OT games.  

-Second half under bets went 17-8-1.

-Second half over bets went 9-4.

A more accurate thing to do would be to compare the first half totals to the actual total line since teams are different but that would be been more labor intensive to calculate.

PM me if you want the specific games as I wrote them all out.  The single best trend is games involving LA or Wash are both 5-0 on a second half under if 90 or more were scored in the first half.

Wow yes what I thought instinctively. 

But it needs to also look at what the total was to begin w 

example 

say the total on Vegas tonite  is 172. 

So 86 1H 

say 1H goes 91. Not enough for me. Just 6 

But opposite. 

Say SEA tonite  158. So 79. If that goes 91 that is way more than expected  12 pt difference. so I hit it like a Short Stay hooker  

You see ?

Yes what you’re suggesting would definitely be more precise.  Perhaps when I have more time I’ll take a run at this using a threshold of 10% over or under the 1H total and then bet the opposite in the second half. 

not only do they tire out but since the first half was so far off the line its near impossible to do it again.  at worst its going to be close and most of the time as you guys have discovered its a high ROI play.  

Instinctively I know this is huge. 

I have been playing it for a couple years now 

it has been a goldmine. 

Especially the under 2H 

brutal 

Just wondering why Vegas hasn’t caught this?  If it’s been going for this long why is it still available?

In the NBA or NFL there would be enough casual squares betting that “second half will just repeat the first half” and the lines would be set accordingly.  But there isn’t the handle here so I just wonder why lines wouldn’t be tweaked to snuff this out.

Well Spottie  the books don't make up the difference. 

Say in the LAS example. 

Say it is 158. 

Say it goes to 90 1H 

brutal is licking his chops 2H 

but the books do not take it to say ...84

it is like 79. Even though they went WAY over 1H. 

you need balls to take it. 

I do. 

This is  THE MAIN REASON my MAX PLAYS are 44-27. 

Brutal 

Because they don’t care enough. 

When me and you and Aussie and the basement dweller  dcmt are only betting what do they care?

brutal 

inmean I cracked ESoccer w same idea. No one cares. The last week on that I won $20k. It was surreal what I did.