Waiting to see the line, but I plan to be all over Chicago in this spot. A lot of the reasons that I bet on this team last game (and lost) still apply and are amplified by another loss. It’s now a 4 game losing streak for Chicago with a quick turn around shot at revenge against this Washington team that (IMO) has not looked all the impressive since the first week when they crush NYL and played a couple tight games with Connecticut. The Lynx have 4 wins. 3 against LA and the other against this Mystics team. Washington is 5-2 in the month of June with two wins against Seattle, another against Phoenix, a 1 point victory against Dallas, and most recently against Chicago. The two losses were to Minnesota and by 21 to Indiana about a week ago.
In the game on Sunday, basically all the *big* names in Chicago struggled and yet they were a 3 pointer away from covering the spread and also only lost by 8. Copper looked a little rusty coming back from injury (Bertsch did not). Mabrey had a down game after going off in the previous one where Copper didn’t play and Chicago only had 6 players play more than 6 minutes. Dana Evans is avging 10 off the bench but could only provide 3. I could go on and on. The point is that this was a down game for Chicago and they still came close. Now they’ve got some rest and practice in. Should be more than ready to protect home court. As silly as it might sound, I do think Washington will miss Li Meng in the coming weeks. Might seem odd because of their 7-4 record, but Washington has the weakest offense in the league by a lot of metrics and Meng had really been finding a groove of late especially with timely baskets even if the pure numbers don’t jump off the page.
Mystics are: 11th in offensive rating, 12th in points per game, 12th in FG%, 11th in true shooting %, and 12 in effective FG%.
Correct. There are only 12 teams in this league and despite those rankings, Washington finds itself a half game back from 3rd place overall.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
11-11-1 +6.3u
Waiting to see the line, but I plan to be all over Chicago in this spot. A lot of the reasons that I bet on this team last game (and lost) still apply and are amplified by another loss. It’s now a 4 game losing streak for Chicago with a quick turn around shot at revenge against this Washington team that (IMO) has not looked all the impressive since the first week when they crush NYL and played a couple tight games with Connecticut. The Lynx have 4 wins. 3 against LA and the other against this Mystics team. Washington is 5-2 in the month of June with two wins against Seattle, another against Phoenix, a 1 point victory against Dallas, and most recently against Chicago. The two losses were to Minnesota and by 21 to Indiana about a week ago.
In the game on Sunday, basically all the *big* names in Chicago struggled and yet they were a 3 pointer away from covering the spread and also only lost by 8. Copper looked a little rusty coming back from injury (Bertsch did not). Mabrey had a down game after going off in the previous one where Copper didn’t play and Chicago only had 6 players play more than 6 minutes. Dana Evans is avging 10 off the bench but could only provide 3. I could go on and on. The point is that this was a down game for Chicago and they still came close. Now they’ve got some rest and practice in. Should be more than ready to protect home court. As silly as it might sound, I do think Washington will miss Li Meng in the coming weeks. Might seem odd because of their 7-4 record, but Washington has the weakest offense in the league by a lot of metrics and Meng had really been finding a groove of late especially with timely baskets even if the pure numbers don’t jump off the page.
Mystics are: 11th in offensive rating, 12th in points per game, 12th in FG%, 11th in true shooting %, and 12 in effective FG%.
Correct. There are only 12 teams in this league and despite those rankings, Washington finds itself a half game back from 3rd place overall.
- Washington leads the season series with Chicago 2-0. These teams will play two more times (including tomorrow) so the Sky could still tie it up by season’s end but that starts with a win tomorrow.
- Mystics next game after travelling to Chicago is in New York. Some look ahead potential, for sure. They beat NYL in Washington on their opening night but everyone knows this time will be different. New York is far more talented and their chemistry is getting better with every game played. As I said before, the Mystics are just a half game behind this Liberty team so they *should* have this one extra circled.
- I had no idea that Bertsch was back when I bet on this team last game, but it is awesome to have her back in the fold. Her game won’t always show up in the box score like it did last game but I have been really impressed by her contributions in the 4 games that she has played.
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- Washington leads the season series with Chicago 2-0. These teams will play two more times (including tomorrow) so the Sky could still tie it up by season’s end but that starts with a win tomorrow.
- Mystics next game after travelling to Chicago is in New York. Some look ahead potential, for sure. They beat NYL in Washington on their opening night but everyone knows this time will be different. New York is far more talented and their chemistry is getting better with every game played. As I said before, the Mystics are just a half game behind this Liberty team so they *should* have this one extra circled.
- I had no idea that Bertsch was back when I bet on this team last game, but it is awesome to have her back in the fold. Her game won’t always show up in the box score like it did last game but I have been really impressed by her contributions in the 4 games that she has played.
This is the Mystics 6th road game of the season. They are 0-5 ATS on the road this season or at best 1-4 if you were lucky enough to get -5.5 in the last game @ Seattle. Either way, it’s clearly been a struggle away from home this season. I will admit it’s a bit odd since their offence is so bad and people always say “defence travels”.
Natasha Cloud is officially questionable for the game. She was out a couple of games ago and Meng got the start but we know that won’t be the case tomorrow, if she sits. Could it be the 36 year old Toliver who got the DNP - rest on Sunday? Maybe that’s why she got the rest? She hasn’t played more than 13 minutes in a game this season and is shooting under 30% from the floor. I suppose the other possibility is Walker-Kimbrough, though this really wouldn’t leave them with much bench at all.
Honestly, all Chicago really needs to do in order to win this game is take care of the ball. They had 21 turnovers in the first matchup with Washington and 20 in the game a few days ago, but haven’t had more than 16 in any other game. Washington has only forced 20 TOs in one other game (the beat down of NYL). Is this a matchup wrinkle? I don’t think so, but it is interesting to note.
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This is the Mystics 6th road game of the season. They are 0-5 ATS on the road this season or at best 1-4 if you were lucky enough to get -5.5 in the last game @ Seattle. Either way, it’s clearly been a struggle away from home this season. I will admit it’s a bit odd since their offence is so bad and people always say “defence travels”.
Natasha Cloud is officially questionable for the game. She was out a couple of games ago and Meng got the start but we know that won’t be the case tomorrow, if she sits. Could it be the 36 year old Toliver who got the DNP - rest on Sunday? Maybe that’s why she got the rest? She hasn’t played more than 13 minutes in a game this season and is shooting under 30% from the floor. I suppose the other possibility is Walker-Kimbrough, though this really wouldn’t leave them with much bench at all.
Honestly, all Chicago really needs to do in order to win this game is take care of the ball. They had 21 turnovers in the first matchup with Washington and 20 in the game a few days ago, but haven’t had more than 16 in any other game. Washington has only forced 20 TOs in one other game (the beat down of NYL). Is this a matchup wrinkle? I don’t think so, but it is interesting to note.
Good Analyses. I bet CHI +4.5 and the ML when the lines open but anything under that I'd stay away from because although this is a great situational spot for CHI, it's just an overall bad matchup vs WSH, unless Natasha Cloud doesn't play.
For both teams possessions will be limited due to pace and defense. The issue for CHI is turnovers, which they're committing at a higher rate vs a WSH defense that likes to score off turnovers. Also, Chi isn't a big Free Throw team, WSH is. Lastly, CHI offense relies a lot on Guard play and WSH has the best Guard and perimeter defense, it's very difficult for Copper and C. Williams to penetrate. And although they aren't a great 3pt shooting team, WSH is still better than CHI in that category.
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@LippyLeans
Good Analyses. I bet CHI +4.5 and the ML when the lines open but anything under that I'd stay away from because although this is a great situational spot for CHI, it's just an overall bad matchup vs WSH, unless Natasha Cloud doesn't play.
For both teams possessions will be limited due to pace and defense. The issue for CHI is turnovers, which they're committing at a higher rate vs a WSH defense that likes to score off turnovers. Also, Chi isn't a big Free Throw team, WSH is. Lastly, CHI offense relies a lot on Guard play and WSH has the best Guard and perimeter defense, it's very difficult for Copper and C. Williams to penetrate. And although they aren't a great 3pt shooting team, WSH is still better than CHI in that category.
Shooting, rebounding, and most importantly motivation are all on the side of Chicago. Never a sure thing but I like how this one lines up despite some matchup issues.
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@BlessDontStress
You’ve outlined my main concerns in this matchup: FTs and TOs. However, I do give Chicago the edge from 3 especially with Meng out and Bertsch in.
Shooting, rebounding, and most importantly motivation are all on the side of Chicago. Never a sure thing but I like how this one lines up despite some matchup issues.
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