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Posted: #26
I wanted to back Washington double digit but I just saw Messemann and Mestdagh are gone.


 
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Posted: #27
2nd half
Dallas +11.5 // Dallas -0.5 2nd HT at 1.87

IND isnt a deep team specially without SJohnson. Apart from TMitchell not much can come from the bench. KMitchell having a usual game missing a lot and commiting mistakes, therefore I think DAL will stand a chance after a terrible half with everyone underperforming. Even if IND are running the court very well. In case DAL can't cut a bit this advantage we count with IND bench to help us on it.
 
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Posted: #28
YTD PRE MATCH BETS: -0,55 4-5
YTD 2NDHALF BETS: +0.73 4-3

Connecticut -7 2.03 
Again against ATL they are just not flowing lately, their bench cant produce and their starters struggling. Hayes says she is recovered from the injury but after those performances etc. Either she isn't recovered or she wasnt that bad. CON bench isnt as strong as other years but with the awful decision making ATL has they will get many easy points running the court. I guess ATL will try to defend better and they really need to focus on it, however IMO the starting 5 of the sun is unstopable right now


On the other two games I like DAL + I think its way too big considering WAS aren't as deep now  and that they are 0-3 needing badly.
Vegas I think will win double digit but at home NY will try to fight for at least at the beginning. I will wait for a maybe 2nd half bet there



 
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Posted: #29
YTD PRE MATCH BETS: -1,55 4-6
YTD 2NDHALF BETS: +0.73 4-3

Tough Days
Two bets in the same game
o157 IND - SEA 2.07
SEA ML 2.06

SEA for me are a better team, IND trying to push the pace up but playing headless. Some good shooters can have the night but they dont play any D, if SEA can get the ball to Loyd and Howard they will win this match
 
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Posted: #30
YTD PRE MATCH BETS: +0.58 6-6
YTD 2NDHALF BETS: +0.73 4-3
 
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Posted: #31
2nd half bet
Phoenix -1.5 (-3.5 2ndH) 1.91

Phoenix feels very comfortable in this even games. They have experienced players who are looking good lately, added Mitchell who gives a boost from the bench. Opposite by CHI turnover machines struggle in the last minutes and the team is too irregular and weak defensively. Normally Griner when having a bad first half struggles also in the second. But Dolson is a player not tough enough and who struggles to defend Griner, more athletic, taller, faster. etc. I think she can get it going a bit.

 
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Posted: #32
YTD PRE MATCH BETS: +0.58 6-6
YTD 2NDHALF BETS: -0.27 4-4

Minnesota +6 1.85 or -4 2nd half 

They found good spots all the half but they just couldnt convert shots. Fowles isnt at her normal level and it will come, Collier is a great physical presence, NY using Nurse on her but she is been 20 already on the court and u can see she is tired. Awful turnover at the end of the quarter. Minny always good fighitng spirit and even if Durr is inspired I dont think NY can sustain this levle
 
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Posted: #33
That was push so I wont add it to the track.

IND -3 at evens (2.00)

DAL have too many injuries, they have huge problems running the point McCarty only played well first game, she dribbles way too much slowing down the offence and the problem is that they aren't a team of players who can create a lot through one on one, they need that player moving the ball fast, breaking the defence and generating, No Diggins no party. Ogunbowale and HIll are a bit that profile and without them the perimeter will be even more "flat" Glory has been improving after an awful start of the season but she will face a decent frontcourt. Plaisance can be a weapon today as Achonwa and McCowan would struggle defending her outside, if she hits he rshots can be a problem for this bet. DAL will really eager to win at home, however IND are playing great transition and with good pace and DAL just cant cope with the pace right now, they are all over the place
 
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Posted: #34
YTD PRE MATCH BETS: +1.58 7-6
YTD 2NDHALF BETS: -0.27 4-4

O159.5 Washington - Seattle 2.01

Numbers wise they are two teams that don't push the pace much and dont score much with Fast break. However thats not the feeling they give when you watch them. SEA seems to try to push the pace after defensive rebounds through canada and WAS shortens their half court offence with quick 3pointers. Even if the stats aren't with WAS they score 87 ppg which is the maximum on the W. Missing Messeman though its a blow for overs as she has such a talent to score. But I can't pass a line below 4ppm with this two teams involved. I dont think the difference between them is 9 points, but with WAS they are either hot or cold so it can be an easy double digit win or a defeat, feels a bit like a roulette

On the other early game I fancy CON but I missed the early lines and I cant bet now. They are winning ugly, not playing at the same level than last year and I like that vs MIN a team that makes the games dirty and won't play too fast basketball. However 7 points looks a bit too much
 
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Posted: #35
Well this bet was looking very good until Canada injured. Sadly I will have to cover it with a 2nd half bet as Zellous and Loyd running the point are poison on the half court offence, they dribble to much and that generates ansiety on other players plus it consumes more time. Moreover Canada pushes the ball incredibly well after defensive rebounds and even if Loyd does, Zellous isn't that kind of player. Therefore

U163.5 Washington Seattle // U79.5 2nd Half at 1.93

 
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Posted: #36
YTD PRE MATCH BETS: +0.58 7-7
YTD 2NDHALF BETS: +0.66 5-4

Sharp cover, there was no other option without Canada and Toliver.

I like Vegas but 13 points pfff... I can't.
 
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Posted: #37
I like the over at CON - SEA
but I cant bet this withotu Canada who is the only PG who pushes the Pace. When she injured whitcomb dietrick and zellus exchanged the position and they slowed down the offence a lot
 
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Posted: #38
Vegas -6 2.02

Must bet here, MIN playing with a short rotation almost all the games against a long team with high energy off the bench and hungry as they were disappointing earlier on the league. MIN scored 81 vs CON but I think it was more due to an awful game on the defensive end by both teams. LVA-NY was a blow out, after a very bad performance by LVA at NY specially IMO conditioned by some very bad refereeing letting Zahui deploy her game at the post and punishing a lot LVA. MIN looks very weak at the bench and even if their ball movement is good they struggle to get easy points at transition. LVA has different registers and a couple of good shooter sin Plum and McBride that can break any game if they have the day. I just hope LVA arent overconfident after they good win against NY.


 
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Posted: #39
YTD PRE MATCH BETS: -0.42 7-8
YTD 2NDHALF BETS: +0.66 5-4
 
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Posted: #40
Chicago Sky -1 2,13

Worth a shot here, Zahui is what has been supporting the Liberty lately, Charles, Raincock and Gray are really undersized, will Xu get some minutes? Looks hard for NY, Nurse Durr have been sharp and TWright who I thought couldnt bring anything else, is playing decent basket, however NY is a very short team. CHI will play with 8 woman rotation but Quigley, Sloot, Shields are very dynamic players and good scorers. I dont think NY without Zahui giving that presence inside can defend the Sky options


 
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Posted: #41

Chicago sky -1??

 
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Posted: #42

WK, Zahui B is still with the team. Doesn't leave until the 20th I believe.

 
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Posted: #43
Ouch huge mistake I had in my notes she was leaving before this match and I didnt double check
 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by JerseyDon:

Chicago sky -1??


Yeah, sometimes I sell points to get better odds
 
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Posted: #45
YTD PRE MATCH BETS: +0.71 8-8
YTD 2NDHALF BETS: +0.66 5-4

Vegas -2.5 2.07

Playing away but a very important game for them. Beating LA at home its always an statement. LAS team not working well Parket and Beard back need some time to gel. Fisher operating with a short rotation and struggling to get everything goin. Vegas had more time and they are growing. Cambage unstopabble for LAS frontcourt and the perimeter is working well. For me Vegas value
 
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Posted: #46
YTD PRE MATCH BETS: -0.29 8-9
YTD 2NDHALF BETS: +0.66 5-4

Dallas Wings ML 2.61

NY very short team, Nurse and Charles finally can take as many shots as they want with their shity percentatges. DAL started working as ateam, reduced minutes for McCarty are good news, Ogunbowale setting bette rto the point and Glory who is having a posionous season is away. IMO Ny had those great games because Zahui exploded but the team by itself has been mediocre. Wright playing better than in the last 5 years wont be enough. DAL can bring something from the bench and at this odds for me they are huge value, I see the game around 50%
 
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Posted: #47
Chicago Sky ML 2.44

Another straight win for me. No Loyd for Sea, I think she is overrated but without Bird and Stewart SEA really needs her. She is the only player that can create for herself a shot and very aggresive etc attacking the rim. SEA struggled a lot without her last game and against a CHI team that doesnt play defence but can score consistently they will struggle to keep it tight
 
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Posted: #48
Minnesota -3 2.04 vs DAL

Better team, DAL coming form awful performance, their bigs struggling and will face Fowles, short team and MIN moving well in low scores
 
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Posted: #49
2nd Half bet

U144.5 Atlanta - Dallas (77.5 2nd half) at evens

Awful shooting selection by both teams, NYL trying to push a bit the pace but the Dream playing the clock in the half court specially with Cazorla on the court. I dont think the rhythm will increase with the fatigue of NYL starters
 
 
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Posted: #50
YTD PRE MATCH BETS: -3.29 8-12
YTD 2NDHALF BETS: +1.66 6-4

Vegas -6 vs NY 2.03

NY playing amazing basket lately but Vegas is a very hard match up tteam for them, they have big rotation, players that can defend Charles and play good helps on Nurse when attacking the hoop. For me Vegas take this easy specially after their bad trend.
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