Well I am glad I didn't make a play for Wednesday because I had a lean on the Sky and they failed to cover the spread even though they still won. Maybe Dream are starting to find some mojo or maybe its just the Sky are not as good as I thought they were. Seems to me that everything and everyone relies on EDD to come up with some kind of magic. That won't bode well come at the end of the season against teams that play like a team such as Lynx and Shock if they are to meet in the WNBA Finals. Anyway, thought I would post early so we can get some discussion going. Like the WNBA forum because of the people in here. We can actually discuss games without all the negative BS that some of the major forums (such as NBA) has..
Mercury @ Stars (current line is Stars +2 and 148.5)
Is this the game that the Stars finally get their first win of the season? They have always played the Mercury very well and especially this season in Game 1 which was just a 5 point win for the Mercury in PHO. Also, this is the last game before Griner returns. The Mercury have Lynx on deck after this game in Minny. Will they be looking to far ahead to that game? The line did open at -2 for Stars and then shifted quickly to -2.5 for Mercury and now sits at -2. Interesting line movement
Lynx @ Storm (current line is +8.5 and 145.5)
Will Minny be looking forward to their revenge match back in Minny vs the Mercury? They are in another sandwich spot. Played on the road the other day before going home and losing to the Shock and now on the road again in Seattle and then back home again to face Phoenix? That is a lot of travelling. Minny are just 4-5-1 ATS vs the West in their last 10 vs the West. The Storm are a pathetic 4-6 ATS at home vs the West in their last 10. Hard game to cap because thats a lot of points to cover. We all know Minny doesn't lose many home games, but I did some back tracking and this is their response if they are on the road after a home loss.
2014: Lost to Mercury at home, traveled to LA and won 94-77
2014: Lost to Sparks at home, traveled to SA and lost 92-76
2013: Lost to Mystics at home, traveled to Sky and lost 94-86
Not many situations at all when the Lynx lose at home and then travel.
BOL forum
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Season: 7-6
Well I am glad I didn't make a play for Wednesday because I had a lean on the Sky and they failed to cover the spread even though they still won. Maybe Dream are starting to find some mojo or maybe its just the Sky are not as good as I thought they were. Seems to me that everything and everyone relies on EDD to come up with some kind of magic. That won't bode well come at the end of the season against teams that play like a team such as Lynx and Shock if they are to meet in the WNBA Finals. Anyway, thought I would post early so we can get some discussion going. Like the WNBA forum because of the people in here. We can actually discuss games without all the negative BS that some of the major forums (such as NBA) has..
Mercury @ Stars (current line is Stars +2 and 148.5)
Is this the game that the Stars finally get their first win of the season? They have always played the Mercury very well and especially this season in Game 1 which was just a 5 point win for the Mercury in PHO. Also, this is the last game before Griner returns. The Mercury have Lynx on deck after this game in Minny. Will they be looking to far ahead to that game? The line did open at -2 for Stars and then shifted quickly to -2.5 for Mercury and now sits at -2. Interesting line movement
Lynx @ Storm (current line is +8.5 and 145.5)
Will Minny be looking forward to their revenge match back in Minny vs the Mercury? They are in another sandwich spot. Played on the road the other day before going home and losing to the Shock and now on the road again in Seattle and then back home again to face Phoenix? That is a lot of travelling. Minny are just 4-5-1 ATS vs the West in their last 10 vs the West. The Storm are a pathetic 4-6 ATS at home vs the West in their last 10. Hard game to cap because thats a lot of points to cover. We all know Minny doesn't lose many home games, but I did some back tracking and this is their response if they are on the road after a home loss.
2014: Lost to Mercury at home, traveled to LA and won 94-77
2014: Lost to Sparks at home, traveled to SA and lost 92-76
2013: Lost to Mystics at home, traveled to Sky and lost 94-86
Not many situations at all when the Lynx lose at home and then travel.
Line on Mercury is now -1.5 qnd shifting towards the Stars, this could be that one game they were waiting for indeed and might come up with a win, it is very tough tonback the Stars since they lost all games and Phoenix managed tonplay very well without Griner, they even killes Minny. I think the over got some value though as we might see the Stars back being the Stars and that being scoring and allowing tons of points.
In the other game I would take Minny. Storm have won only 2 games and lost 4, the 2 they won were against Sparks so that does not tell me anything. Now if we take a look at the games they lost oh my god it gets ugly, they lost 4 games by an average margin of 20 points that means when theyblose they lose good. Maybe this team just gives up and realizes when they are down double digits its hard to come back. Im taking Minny already -8.5 but line went up to -9.5 and it looks like its gonna be climbing some more maybe -12 by game time. Its either Lynx win by a while bunch or they straight up lose, I dont see the Lynx winning and not covering and I see them winning.
Greetings guys!
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Line on Mercury is now -1.5 qnd shifting towards the Stars, this could be that one game they were waiting for indeed and might come up with a win, it is very tough tonback the Stars since they lost all games and Phoenix managed tonplay very well without Griner, they even killes Minny. I think the over got some value though as we might see the Stars back being the Stars and that being scoring and allowing tons of points.
In the other game I would take Minny. Storm have won only 2 games and lost 4, the 2 they won were against Sparks so that does not tell me anything. Now if we take a look at the games they lost oh my god it gets ugly, they lost 4 games by an average margin of 20 points that means when theyblose they lose good. Maybe this team just gives up and realizes when they are down double digits its hard to come back. Im taking Minny already -8.5 but line went up to -9.5 and it looks like its gonna be climbing some more maybe -12 by game time. Its either Lynx win by a while bunch or they straight up lose, I dont see the Lynx winning and not covering and I see them winning.
Whats so special about that Starszzz team?? Why they always get this line?? or respect or something..but after watching that last game against the sky...I dunno know how they got up..While Phoenix...they almost got burned by the Storm last game...but had like a run that completely out of reach...We all know this low line they put.....if ever Stars shows up...can they keep it up until the last buzzer without choking???Haven't seen Phoenix play...Thinking that they somehow get pump up since Griner is about to get unleashed...
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Whats so special about that Starszzz team?? Why they always get this line?? or respect or something..but after watching that last game against the sky...I dunno know how they got up..While Phoenix...they almost got burned by the Storm last game...but had like a run that completely out of reach...We all know this low line they put.....if ever Stars shows up...can they keep it up until the last buzzer without choking???Haven't seen Phoenix play...Thinking that they somehow get pump up since Griner is about to get unleashed...
Line on Mercury is now -1.5 qnd shifting towards the Stars, this could be that one game they were waiting for indeed and might come up with a win, it is very tough tonback the Stars since they lost all games and Phoenix managed tonplay very well without Griner, they even killes Minny. I think the over got some value though as we might see the Stars back being the Stars and that being scoring and allowing tons of points.
In the other game I would take Minny. Storm have won only 2 games and lost 4, the 2 they won were against Sparks so that does not tell me anything. Now if we take a look at the games they lost oh my god it gets ugly, they lost 4 games by an average margin of 20 points that means when theyblose they lose good. Maybe this team just gives up and realizes when they are down double digits its hard to come back. Im taking Minny already -8.5 but line went up to -9.5 and it looks like its gonna be climbing some more maybe -12 by game time. Its either Lynx win by a while bunch or they straight up lose, I dont see the Lynx winning and not covering and I see them winning.
Greetings guys!
Good comments mate.. See for me, the line is now +9.5 for the Storm. The Storm have had some days off to get themselves ready for this game whilst the Lynx have had to travel around everywhere and back home after this game to face the Mercury. Tough schedule IMHO and maybe the Lynx win this game but not cover. She this is what gets me? The Stars were given +7.5 vs the Lynx the other day. Yes the Lynx covered that game but are the Storm as bad as the Stars? Well the stats don't say so. The Stars had an offense efficiency of 89.5 and defense of 105.2 per 100 possessions before that game. So around -16. The Lynx were 105.4 on offense efficiency and 94.3 on defense efficiency so around +11. The Storm heading into this game are 89.1 on offense and 100.2 on defense, so around -11 and the Lynx have gotten worse since their encounter vs the Stars as they have dropped to 104.7 offense and defense 95.4 so its lowered to around +9 yet the books give more points to the Storm in this battle compared to the Stars the other day. IMHO, there is no value on betting the Lynx ATS as such a heavy road fav and the value lies with the Storm. BOL on your bets
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Quote Originally Posted by Sylvestrem1:
Line on Mercury is now -1.5 qnd shifting towards the Stars, this could be that one game they were waiting for indeed and might come up with a win, it is very tough tonback the Stars since they lost all games and Phoenix managed tonplay very well without Griner, they even killes Minny. I think the over got some value though as we might see the Stars back being the Stars and that being scoring and allowing tons of points.
In the other game I would take Minny. Storm have won only 2 games and lost 4, the 2 they won were against Sparks so that does not tell me anything. Now if we take a look at the games they lost oh my god it gets ugly, they lost 4 games by an average margin of 20 points that means when theyblose they lose good. Maybe this team just gives up and realizes when they are down double digits its hard to come back. Im taking Minny already -8.5 but line went up to -9.5 and it looks like its gonna be climbing some more maybe -12 by game time. Its either Lynx win by a while bunch or they straight up lose, I dont see the Lynx winning and not covering and I see them winning.
Greetings guys!
Good comments mate.. See for me, the line is now +9.5 for the Storm. The Storm have had some days off to get themselves ready for this game whilst the Lynx have had to travel around everywhere and back home after this game to face the Mercury. Tough schedule IMHO and maybe the Lynx win this game but not cover. She this is what gets me? The Stars were given +7.5 vs the Lynx the other day. Yes the Lynx covered that game but are the Storm as bad as the Stars? Well the stats don't say so. The Stars had an offense efficiency of 89.5 and defense of 105.2 per 100 possessions before that game. So around -16. The Lynx were 105.4 on offense efficiency and 94.3 on defense efficiency so around +11. The Storm heading into this game are 89.1 on offense and 100.2 on defense, so around -11 and the Lynx have gotten worse since their encounter vs the Stars as they have dropped to 104.7 offense and defense 95.4 so its lowered to around +9 yet the books give more points to the Storm in this battle compared to the Stars the other day. IMHO, there is no value on betting the Lynx ATS as such a heavy road fav and the value lies with the Storm. BOL on your bets
Phoenix is a lean here purely on talent and recent form. Stars still struggle with direction with no true point guard. We cant stress enough how important a PG is in this league.
In relation to Minnesota, we would not bet Seattle ever in this spot. Yes their scheduling is not ideal however when you have a team that struggles to get buckets verse a team that can pour it on; this game will get ugly very quickly.
We try to stress two key areas when we cap:
1. Matchups
2. Style of Play
Dont get overworked on trends and past occurrences. These could lead to you justifying a bad play.
Just our 2c.
BOL
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Just chiming in on your thread Aussie.
Couple things we'll point out.
Don't get caught up overcapping the games.
Phoenix is a lean here purely on talent and recent form. Stars still struggle with direction with no true point guard. We cant stress enough how important a PG is in this league.
In relation to Minnesota, we would not bet Seattle ever in this spot. Yes their scheduling is not ideal however when you have a team that struggles to get buckets verse a team that can pour it on; this game will get ugly very quickly.
We try to stress two key areas when we cap:
1. Matchups
2. Style of Play
Dont get overworked on trends and past occurrences. These could lead to you justifying a bad play.
If you look at the Stars 6 games, they have been very competitive in 4 of those. It has been poor execution down the stretch that has cost them bigtime.
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If you look at the Stars 6 games, they have been very competitive in 4 of those. It has been poor execution down the stretch that has cost them bigtime.
Good comments mate.. See for me, the line is now +9.5 for the Storm. The Storm have had some days off to get themselves ready for this game whilst the Lynx have had to travel around everywhere and back home after this game to face the Mercury. Tough schedule IMHO and maybe the Lynx win this game but not cover. She this is what gets me? The Stars were given +7.5 vs the Lynx the other day. Yes the Lynx covered that game but are the Storm as bad as the Stars? Well the stats don't say so. The Stars had an offense efficiency of 89.5 and defense of 105.2 per 100 possessions before that game. So around -16. The Lynx were 105.4 on offense efficiency and 94.3 on defense efficiency so around +11. The Storm heading into this game are 89.1 on offense and 100.2 on defense, so around -11 and the Lynx have gotten worse since their encounter vs the Stars as they have dropped to 104.7 offense and defense 95.4 so its lowered to around +9 yet the books give more points to the Storm in this battle compared to the Stars the other day. IMHO, there is no value on betting the Lynx ATS as such a heavy road fav and the value lies with the Storm. BOL on your bets
You got a point I hardly bet on large fav lines on the road but Minny its just my special exception. I see where you coming from and you do have a point, statiscally Seattle is better than Stars yes but if you think that Stars have not played that bad its just that they havent been able to keep alive their game its like the Sparks they have been playing good first halves but then they fall on second halves. I just give props to Stars for at least fighting because the way Storm has been losing its sad.
We will see what happens tonight but I am liking this posts everyday and thank you and everyone that shares their opinion it is very valuable since not a lot of people follow this league.
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Quote Originally Posted by AussieDownUnder:
Good comments mate.. See for me, the line is now +9.5 for the Storm. The Storm have had some days off to get themselves ready for this game whilst the Lynx have had to travel around everywhere and back home after this game to face the Mercury. Tough schedule IMHO and maybe the Lynx win this game but not cover. She this is what gets me? The Stars were given +7.5 vs the Lynx the other day. Yes the Lynx covered that game but are the Storm as bad as the Stars? Well the stats don't say so. The Stars had an offense efficiency of 89.5 and defense of 105.2 per 100 possessions before that game. So around -16. The Lynx were 105.4 on offense efficiency and 94.3 on defense efficiency so around +11. The Storm heading into this game are 89.1 on offense and 100.2 on defense, so around -11 and the Lynx have gotten worse since their encounter vs the Stars as they have dropped to 104.7 offense and defense 95.4 so its lowered to around +9 yet the books give more points to the Storm in this battle compared to the Stars the other day. IMHO, there is no value on betting the Lynx ATS as such a heavy road fav and the value lies with the Storm. BOL on your bets
You got a point I hardly bet on large fav lines on the road but Minny its just my special exception. I see where you coming from and you do have a point, statiscally Seattle is better than Stars yes but if you think that Stars have not played that bad its just that they havent been able to keep alive their game its like the Sparks they have been playing good first halves but then they fall on second halves. I just give props to Stars for at least fighting because the way Storm has been losing its sad.
We will see what happens tonight but I am liking this posts everyday and thank you and everyone that shares their opinion it is very valuable since not a lot of people follow this league.
You got a point I hardly bet on large fav lines on the road but Minny its just my special exception. I see where you coming from and you do have a point, statiscally Seattle is better than Stars yes but if you think that Stars have not played that bad its just that they havent been able to keep alive their game its like the Sparks they have been playing good first halves but then they fall on second halves. I just give props to Stars for at least fighting because the way Storm has been losing its sad.
We will see what happens tonight but I am liking this posts everyday and thank you and everyone that shares their opinion it is very valuable since not a lot of people follow this league.
Thanks mate for the kind words
I open this thread everyday to try and hear from everyone who cap the WNBA because like you just said, not many people do. I have searched other forums on the net and nothing compares to the WNBA forum here on covers. Good blokes and cappers like StraightWagers, Axion, Shakey, Badlands and others that have been here for years provide the knowledge we all need.. Also some good new cappers coming now into the forum which is good as well because they provide insight and other information that I sometimes don't see because im stuck in my own ways sometimes when it comes to capping this league. I truly believe the people use the WNBA forum properly unlike other forums on this site.
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Quote Originally Posted by Sylvestrem1:
You got a point I hardly bet on large fav lines on the road but Minny its just my special exception. I see where you coming from and you do have a point, statiscally Seattle is better than Stars yes but if you think that Stars have not played that bad its just that they havent been able to keep alive their game its like the Sparks they have been playing good first halves but then they fall on second halves. I just give props to Stars for at least fighting because the way Storm has been losing its sad.
We will see what happens tonight but I am liking this posts everyday and thank you and everyone that shares their opinion it is very valuable since not a lot of people follow this league.
Thanks mate for the kind words
I open this thread everyday to try and hear from everyone who cap the WNBA because like you just said, not many people do. I have searched other forums on the net and nothing compares to the WNBA forum here on covers. Good blokes and cappers like StraightWagers, Axion, Shakey, Badlands and others that have been here for years provide the knowledge we all need.. Also some good new cappers coming now into the forum which is good as well because they provide insight and other information that I sometimes don't see because im stuck in my own ways sometimes when it comes to capping this league. I truly believe the people use the WNBA forum properly unlike other forums on this site.
28-28 5-5 on Curry Just treading water now. Am hoping for a hot streak. One play mIn-5 1H Last game Minny was horrible. They have a good coach And as we know a lot of teams do not. She has to motivate these girls to compet much better. My god so much talent. Storm is just abysmal right now. I got to take Lynx coming out strong and being shed by 9-11 at the half. Lynx 1H -5 Brutal Joe
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28-28 5-5 on Curry Just treading water now. Am hoping for a hot streak. One play mIn-5 1H Last game Minny was horrible. They have a good coach And as we know a lot of teams do not. She has to motivate these girls to compet much better. My god so much talent. Storm is just abysmal right now. I got to take Lynx coming out strong and being shed by 9-11 at the half. Lynx 1H -5 Brutal Joe
I just can't pass up that many points for a home dog that isn't as bad as what it seems. Yes the Lynx blew them out in Minny in their first match-up but as stated before, Minny in a middle of a brutal schedule whilst the Storm are rested. Augustus is probable with some kind of knee issue. I think Lynx win this game but only win by 4-7 points.
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Lynx @ Storm: Storm +10.5
I just can't pass up that many points for a home dog that isn't as bad as what it seems. Yes the Lynx blew them out in Minny in their first match-up but as stated before, Minny in a middle of a brutal schedule whilst the Storm are rested. Augustus is probable with some kind of knee issue. I think Lynx win this game but only win by 4-7 points.
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