Will update the contest thread soon, when I get home from work. Just wanted to get my thoughts out there as usual..
Stars @ Sun (Line Stars +4.5 & 149)
Gotta say I lean the Stars, why? Because they just narrowly lost to a Sparks team that is a good team now with Parker back. The Sun have been declining for awhile now and the Stars actually are a good team especially against Eastern teams. Both teams need a win to keep their playoffs lives afloat and I think the Stars bench is deeper than the Sun + they have the shooters such as Perkins and McBride. Will see where this line goes..Sun are also in a bad spot, played on the road vs the Fever game before, game before that they were at home and now back to home. Stars have the Mystics after this game which is a B2B which I think they will get flogged again. No way does Dan Hughes want to go 0-2 in the next 2 days. I think his team wakes up in this game and puts a good performance in.. There was a game that I had a same feeling about last season with the Stars on the road, similar position to this (not as bad) and they went to NY and thumped them something like 89-75. This is the game they need because as stated, they have Mystics followed by Storm x 2 and the Lynx. They can potentially win 1 if not both games vs the Storm but no chance vs the Mystics and Lynx.
Fever @ Sky (Fever +6 &162.5)
Interesting line... Sky have failed to cover their last 2 at home. Its pretty much the same line the Mystics were given the other day and covered and lost by 3. Are the Fever the same as the Mystics? I kind of think so. I also think that the Fever's bench is better than the Sky as well. Fever's 3 point shooting is one of the best in the league and the Sky is one of the worst for defending the 3 ball. Lean the Sky and the over because the Fever love playing fast tempo teams and the Sky are very fast...
Lynx @ Sparks (Lynx -2.5 & 152.5)
WOW, Lynx only -2.5 in LA vs the Sparks? This is a very interesting line IMHO. Why only -2.5? Lean over as well because Parker brings so much offensive power to the Sparks. Lynx hitting 80+ in their last 2 games as well. This game has more meaning to the Sparks then the Lynx team. Lynx sitting pretty in 1st, Sparks making a small comeback and need to just keep winning. Think I will stay away from this game because that line is very short and the Lynx have had meltdowns before in LA over the past few seasons.
Shock @ Mercury (Shock +8.5 and 151.5)
Lean the Shock. Yes they are struggling right now but they are awesome on the road as dogs. Mercury were out of the game the other day vs Tulsa in Tulsa and the Shock feel apart 2H to only score 26 points and the Mercury went on a crazy 19-5 run to win and cover. Well, the Mercury have the Lynx on deck after this game and I think that can be a potential look ahead spot. After the Lynx they also have the Sky as well. Think the Shock can keep this within the 8 points they have been given but will wait closer to tip-off as usual.
BOL forum, lets get some discussion happening..
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Season: 28-18
Will update the contest thread soon, when I get home from work. Just wanted to get my thoughts out there as usual..
Stars @ Sun (Line Stars +4.5 & 149)
Gotta say I lean the Stars, why? Because they just narrowly lost to a Sparks team that is a good team now with Parker back. The Sun have been declining for awhile now and the Stars actually are a good team especially against Eastern teams. Both teams need a win to keep their playoffs lives afloat and I think the Stars bench is deeper than the Sun + they have the shooters such as Perkins and McBride. Will see where this line goes..Sun are also in a bad spot, played on the road vs the Fever game before, game before that they were at home and now back to home. Stars have the Mystics after this game which is a B2B which I think they will get flogged again. No way does Dan Hughes want to go 0-2 in the next 2 days. I think his team wakes up in this game and puts a good performance in.. There was a game that I had a same feeling about last season with the Stars on the road, similar position to this (not as bad) and they went to NY and thumped them something like 89-75. This is the game they need because as stated, they have Mystics followed by Storm x 2 and the Lynx. They can potentially win 1 if not both games vs the Storm but no chance vs the Mystics and Lynx.
Fever @ Sky (Fever +6 &162.5)
Interesting line... Sky have failed to cover their last 2 at home. Its pretty much the same line the Mystics were given the other day and covered and lost by 3. Are the Fever the same as the Mystics? I kind of think so. I also think that the Fever's bench is better than the Sky as well. Fever's 3 point shooting is one of the best in the league and the Sky is one of the worst for defending the 3 ball. Lean the Sky and the over because the Fever love playing fast tempo teams and the Sky are very fast...
Lynx @ Sparks (Lynx -2.5 & 152.5)
WOW, Lynx only -2.5 in LA vs the Sparks? This is a very interesting line IMHO. Why only -2.5? Lean over as well because Parker brings so much offensive power to the Sparks. Lynx hitting 80+ in their last 2 games as well. This game has more meaning to the Sparks then the Lynx team. Lynx sitting pretty in 1st, Sparks making a small comeback and need to just keep winning. Think I will stay away from this game because that line is very short and the Lynx have had meltdowns before in LA over the past few seasons.
Shock @ Mercury (Shock +8.5 and 151.5)
Lean the Shock. Yes they are struggling right now but they are awesome on the road as dogs. Mercury were out of the game the other day vs Tulsa in Tulsa and the Shock feel apart 2H to only score 26 points and the Mercury went on a crazy 19-5 run to win and cover. Well, the Mercury have the Lynx on deck after this game and I think that can be a potential look ahead spot. After the Lynx they also have the Sky as well. Think the Shock can keep this within the 8 points they have been given but will wait closer to tip-off as usual.
Nice thoughts Aussie! My first thoughts are Stars +4,5 and Sparks Over 152,5 (Especially in this game i expect a point by point battle...why not an overtime game?)
We have time to think about our final bets! I'll get back to see your final reports! = )
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Nice thoughts Aussie! My first thoughts are Stars +4,5 and Sparks Over 152,5 (Especially in this game i expect a point by point battle...why not an overtime game?)
We have time to think about our final bets! I'll get back to see your final reports! = )
Sup Aussie, all. I am surprised by the low opening total @LAS. Not only that but it went down to 150 before climbing a little to 151.5 The only reasonable explanation is that Beard might be able to shut down Moore, but I sure hope that won't happen. I also disagree that the Lynx do not feel the Mercs breathing on their necks. PHX has been pretty good with Griner back and the Lynx need to hold on tight to that #1 spot.
With CP3 and Fowles playing pretty well, both teams have been scoring a lot over their last three games. This is also an ESPN game, but then again both teams are used to playing on the big screen. In short, the total seems to be too low to be true, but then again the line movement has me puzzled.
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Sup Aussie, all. I am surprised by the low opening total @LAS. Not only that but it went down to 150 before climbing a little to 151.5 The only reasonable explanation is that Beard might be able to shut down Moore, but I sure hope that won't happen. I also disagree that the Lynx do not feel the Mercs breathing on their necks. PHX has been pretty good with Griner back and the Lynx need to hold on tight to that #1 spot.
With CP3 and Fowles playing pretty well, both teams have been scoring a lot over their last three games. This is also an ESPN game, but then again both teams are used to playing on the big screen. In short, the total seems to be too low to be true, but then again the line movement has me puzzled.
Can't believe lynx ar almost pk. Liking that a lot. Also love sky -6. Fever 6 road wind in a row and sky playing not to their potential lately makes me think that. Otherwise I'm liking shock and stars as well
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Can't believe lynx ar almost pk. Liking that a lot. Also love sky -6. Fever 6 road wind in a row and sky playing not to their potential lately makes me think that. Otherwise I'm liking shock and stars as well
Sup Aussie, all. I am surprised by the low opening total @LAS. Not only that but it went down to 150 before climbing a little to 151.5 The only reasonable explanation is that Beard might be able to shut down Moore, but I sure hope that won't happen. I also disagree that the Lynx do not feel the Mercs breathing on their necks. PHX has been pretty good with Griner back and the Lynx need to hold on tight to that #1 spot. With CP3 and Fowles playing pretty well, both teams have been scoring a lot over their last three games. This is also an ESPN game, but then again both teams are used to playing on the big screen. In short, the total seems to be too low to be true, but then again the line movement has me puzzled.
Hey ax, I believe all televised games are 9-3 O/U this year. I'll have to check that later.
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Quote Originally Posted by axion:
Sup Aussie, all. I am surprised by the low opening total @LAS. Not only that but it went down to 150 before climbing a little to 151.5 The only reasonable explanation is that Beard might be able to shut down Moore, but I sure hope that won't happen. I also disagree that the Lynx do not feel the Mercs breathing on their necks. PHX has been pretty good with Griner back and the Lynx need to hold on tight to that #1 spot. With CP3 and Fowles playing pretty well, both teams have been scoring a lot over their last three games. This is also an ESPN game, but then again both teams are used to playing on the big screen. In short, the total seems to be too low to be true, but then again the line movement has me puzzled.
Hey ax, I believe all televised games are 9-3 O/U this year. I'll have to check that later.
Yeah, I know UMS. The gals like to bring it up on ESPN, especially the lesser teams. Wagers made some good points for the under, and the line stays frozen at 151.5/152. Still, I think the public does not realize that with CP3 back, LAS score more efficiently. My only concern would be a tight win by the LAS. If Minny wins, it should go over. Let's hope Fowles and CP3 will step on it for their first ESPN game.
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Yeah, I know UMS. The gals like to bring it up on ESPN, especially the lesser teams. Wagers made some good points for the under, and the line stays frozen at 151.5/152. Still, I think the public does not realize that with CP3 back, LAS score more efficiently. My only concern would be a tight win by the LAS. If Minny wins, it should go over. Let's hope Fowles and CP3 will step on it for their first ESPN game.
Not playing the first game. Can't trust the Stars or the Suns. Both teams declining and this game could end ugly. Actually think it goes under but won't play that at all..
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Cheers fellas...
Not playing the first game. Can't trust the Stars or the Suns. Both teams declining and this game could end ugly. Actually think it goes under but won't play that at all..
Taking the over in this game as the Sky have only hit 71, 77 and 78 in reg time in their last 3 games. Think this team gets their offense going again against a Fever team that struggles against good offensive team. Last game hit 160 and that was on the back of the Fever only having 57 shots. The Sky had 71 in that game but I still think this game hits around 166 (my calcs).
BOL forum
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Fever @ Sky: Over 161
Taking the over in this game as the Sky have only hit 71, 77 and 78 in reg time in their last 3 games. Think this team gets their offense going again against a Fever team that struggles against good offensive team. Last game hit 160 and that was on the back of the Fever only having 57 shots. The Sky had 71 in that game but I still think this game hits around 166 (my calcs).
Sorry guys, got no leans on the other 2 games... The -2.5 line is crazy as hell and don't like it one bit.. The Shock are also not a strong lean for me as I think the Mercury may have clicked into gear now whilst the poor Shock are going the other way. Will be content with just the one play today..
Until tomorrow, talk then...
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Fever @ Sky: Over 161
Sorry guys, got no leans on the other 2 games... The -2.5 line is crazy as hell and don't like it one bit.. The Shock are also not a strong lean for me as I think the Mercury may have clicked into gear now whilst the poor Shock are going the other way. Will be content with just the one play today..
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