Los Angeles Golf Club vs Jupiter Links Golf Club TGL Picks: Morikawa & Co. Take Down Tiger

While the Jupiter Links combo of Tiger Woods and Max Homa will be fun, our TGL picks are leaning the way of Los Angeles Golf Club, featuring Collin Morikawa and Sahith Theegala.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Jan 13, 2025 • 13:17 ET • 4 min read
Collin Morikawa Los Angeles Golf Club TGL
Photo By - Imagn Images.

The Los Angeles Golf Club faces Jupiter Links Golf Club in the second match of the inaugural TGL season at the cutting-edge, 250,000-square-foot SoFi Center on Tuesday, January 14.

Tiger Woods will tee it up for the first time in Tomorrow’s Golf League, and here are our top golf picks, with a breakdown of the format for Tuesday’s matchup between Los Angeles Golf Club and Jupiter Links Golf Club.

Los Angeles Golf Club vs Jupiter Links Club predictions

Best bet: Los Angeles Golf Club (-170 at DraftKings)

Unlike last week, the proper team is favored in the golf odds for this match, and I don’t think the Los Angeles Golf Club is chalky enough. Laying -170 odds might not jump off the page as a first-click option, but it has an implied probability of just 63% that L.A. will win, and I think it’s far closer to 70% (-233).

To start, Jupiter Links only has one competitive PGA Tour golfer on the roster, and Max Homa has a single Top-10 finish across his past 13 worldwide events while ranking 118th in true strokes gained tee-to-green among the Top 150 players in the DataGolf Rankings. Homa checks out at 74th overall, while Tiger Woods and Kevin Kisner don’t even crack the list.

On the L.A. side, Collin Morikawa ranks fifth, Sahith Theegala is 37th, and Justin Rose is 153rd. Morikawa also ranks seventh in true strokes gained tee-to-green and 12th on approach over the past six months, and I’m anticipating his ball-striking prowess to translate on the sim. I also expect Theegala to show off at SoFi.

Returning to Jupiter Links, Kisner has only made the cut once across his past six events, and his last Top 10 was all the way back at the Travelers Championship in 2022. Of course, Tiger missed the cut in each of the three majors following his solo 60th at The Masters in April.

I do expect Tiger to play well, but Homa’s game isn’t dialed, and Kisner has transitioned to the NBC booth as a full-time lead golf analyst alongside Dan Hicks for a reason.

The Morikawa-Theegala combo will be too much for Jupiter Links to contend with, and Rose is still a competitive pro and carded a T2 at The Open and T6 at the PGA Championship last season. Rosey isn’t wilted just yet, especially in a Ryder Cup year.

Los Angeles Golf Club Jupiter Links Golf Club
Collin Morikawa Tiger Woods
Sahith Theegala Max Homa
Justin Rose Kevin Kisner
Tommy Fleetwood (not listed as starter) Tom Kim (not listed as starter)

How does the TGL work?

Each TGL — Tomorrow’s Golf League — match delivers high-stakes competition and strategy across two sessions. It begins with a nine-hole, 3-on-3 alternate-shot format called "triples." Then, golfers will battle in head-to-head singles consisting of six holes, with each playing two.

Additionally, a 40-second shot clock will keep the pace fast, with any violation costing the player one stroke. Every hole awards a point. There are also two more unique twists:

  • Each team has two timeouts per session available.

  • There is a “Hammer” that can be played at any time to increase the value of the hole by one point. One team starts the match with it (Jupiter Links Golf Club on Jan. 7), and then possession of the Hammer is switched once it’s played. When the Hammer is played against a team, that team can decline it but concede the hole.

If the teams are tied at the end, the match heads to overtime, where players face off, and the team landing the closest shot to the pin secures the win.

The players will hit into a massive 64-by-53-foot screen that’s 24 times larger than the typical golf simulator. Players will also be hitting off real grass fairways and rough and tackling sand sourced from a rare variety found at just one other course in the southeastern United States.

Once the ball reaches the green, the action shifts to the GreenZone — a 41-yard-wide turntable green capable of replicating countless hole configurations, adding a dynamic twist to the short game.

The match between the Los Angeles Golf Club and the Jupiter Links Golf Club will be aired live on ESPN and ESPN+ at 7 p.m. ET.

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Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs with Sportsbook Review, USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook, and RotoWire, among many others. He also co-hosted the Daily Fantasy Edge podcast and can now be seen offering expert golf and hockey advice on Covers’ Before you Bet broadcast.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

Neil’s top pieces of advice for recreational bettors are to stay within your means and to remember sportsbooks aren’t bank accounts. Don’t be afraid to pull those winnings and treat yourself to a lifetime experience courtesy of a big win.

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