Golf Picks

Sahith Theegala checks a lot of boxes heading into the Wells Fargo. He’s 10th in driving distance and fifth in true strokes gained putting in this field across his past eight events, and he’s also gained strokes on the field on approach in four straight tournaments. Additionally, he's consistently positioning himself for his second win with a pair of runner-up finishes and another three Top 10s this season. Back him at +115 through DraftKings to finish Top 20, too.

The PGA Tour rookie has already won this season and he held the 36-hole lead last week at the Byron Nelson. He's long off the tee and ranks fifth in true strokes gained on approach in this field across his past 34 measured rounds. He’s also gained true strokes on the greens in consecutive events and we’d be landing a much shorter number if Knapp didn’t have an underwhelming Sunday last week. I also recommend backing Knapp in the Top 40 market once odds are available.

Chris Kirk is heating up with a T16 finish at the Masters and T10 last time out at the RBC Heritage. He ranks seventh in true strokes gained tee-to-green and 14th in true strokes gained around-the-green in this field across his past 20 measured rounds, and he was also fifth in true strokes gained putting at Augusta National. He’s made the cut in four of five trips to Quail Hollow, and I’m expecting another strong showing this week and will be backing him to finish Top 30 when the odds are released.

The veteran has a win on his resume at Quail Hollow in the 2011 Wells Fargo before the 2016 course renovation and he’s played the weekend in eight of his past nine events while gaining true strokes on approach in each. Lucas Glover’s inconsistent short game is priced into these long FanDuel odds and we’re also landing a nice edge with bet365 hanging a +8,000 price. I’ll also be circling back to bet Glover to finish Top 40 once the market is available.

Hideki Matsuyama leads this field in true strokes gained tee-to-green and around-the-green across his past 32 measured rounds and he’s carded a win at The Genesis Invitational and another two Top-10 finishes during the stretch. The nine-time Tour winner finished T5 at the 2017 PGA Championship at Quail Hollow and gained true strokes on the field across the board, and he also played the 2022 Presidents Cup here. I also recommend betting Matsuyama at +110 through Caesars for a Top-20 finish.