MLB Picks

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +165

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Eury Perez.. Josh Bell has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Hitters such as Josh Bell with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Eury Perez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

+175 at DraftKings

Hits, Runs, and RBIs

James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)

Projection 2.2 (Over)

Best Odds

o1.5 +100

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +100

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the league when it comes to his BABIP ability.. James Wood is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. James Wood will hold the platoon advantage against Eury Perez today.. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Wood can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

+100 at Caesars

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NYM @

DET Wed, Sep 3 • 1:10 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

MoneyLine

NYM (-116)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: 7 hours ago

-120

-115

-116

-125

-120

Let's roll with the hot-hitting Mets here on Wednesday. The last time we saw Casey Mize, he was shelled for five runs on seven hits in 3 1/3 innings. The Mets' bats are ho,t and Mize is trending downwards. Give me the Mets.

Total RBIs

Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)

Projection 0.8 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +150

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +140

o0.5 +150

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Comerica Park as the 9th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. In the majors, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to better offense.

+150 at Caesars

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$Texas Rangers logo$ TEX @

AZ Wed, Sep 3 • 3:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Strikeouts Thrown

Jack Leiter u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+125)

Projection 4.4 (Under)

Best Odds

u5.5 -168

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u4.5 +120

u5.5 -168

u4.5 +125

The #8 park in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to more offense.. The Arizona Diamondbacks have 6 batters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Jack Leiter in today's game.. Jack Leiter will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

-168 at FanDuel

Total RBIs

Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)

Projection 0.7 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +160

o0.5 +140

o0.5 +150

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 10th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to more offense.. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers.

+160 at DraftKings

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BAL @

SD Wed, Sep 3 • 4:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)

Projection 0.6 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Petco Park has the 6th-shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games today.. Gunnar Henderson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

+190 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)

Projection 0.8 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +125

o0.5 +130

Manny Machado's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Petco Park has the 6th-shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games today.. Manny Machado will hold the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's game.

+135 at DraftKings

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LAD @

PIT Wed, Sep 3 • 6:40 PM ET

7 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Will Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)

Projection 0.7 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 8 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +145

o0.5 +125

o0.5 +135

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Will Smith ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Will Smith is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the weakest among every team playing today.. Over the past 7 days, Will Smith's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12% up to 33.3%.. Will Smith has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 95.8-mph in the last week.

+145 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Mookie Betts o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)

Projection 0.6 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +160

o0.5 +165

Mookie Betts's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the weakest among every team playing today.. In the past two weeks, Mookie Betts's 55% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.2%.

+175 at FanDuel

View 7 Picks

TOR @

CIN Wed, Sep 3 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)

Projection 0.9 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +115

o0.5 +125

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average skill.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

+135 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)

Projection 0.6 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +205

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +205

o0.5 +165

When assessing his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best field in MLB for left-handed home runs.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Shane Bieber in this game.

+205 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

SEA @

TB Wed, Sep 3 • 7:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)

Projection 0.7 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for left-handed home runs.. In the majors, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 83°.

+160 at FanDuel

Total RBIs

Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)

Projection 0.7 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

When assessing his BABIP ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. George M. Steinbrenner Field ranks as the #4 stadium in baseball for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 83°.

+160 at FanDuel

View 10 Picks

ATL @

CHC Wed, Sep 3 • 7:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)

Projection 0.7 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 5th-best hitter in MLB.. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. In the majors, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 6th-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.

+170 at FanDuel

Total RBIs

Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)

Projection 0.8 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 16th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. In the majors, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 6th-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Extreme flyball bats like Seiya Suzuki usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Bryce Elder.

+145 at FanDuel

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CHW @

MIN Wed, Sep 3 • 7:40 PM ET

9 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)

Projection 0.5 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +240

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +240

o0.5 +230

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Target Field grades out as the #9 venue in the game for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Ryan Jeffers will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Ryan Jeffers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 14.6% on the season to 23.7% over the past two weeks.. In terms of his home runs, Ryan Jeffers has experienced some negative variance this year. His 12.4 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been significantly deflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 16.5.

+240 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)

Projection 0.6 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +190

Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Target Field projects as the #9 venue in MLB for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Colson Montgomery will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Over the past two weeks, Colson Montgomery's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98-mph over the course of the season to 101.7-mph of late.. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.6°, Colson Montgomery has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 37.5° mark in the past 7 days.

+190 at DraftKings

View 9 Picks

PHI @

MIL Wed, Sep 3 • 7:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

J.T. Realmuto o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)

Projection 0.6 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +200

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +200

o0.5 +165

o0.5 +175

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. J.T. Realmuto will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Quintana today.

+200 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)

Projection 0.7 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +150

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. In MLB, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. In the past 7 days, Bryce Harper's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.3-mph recently.

+160 at DraftKings

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ATH @

STL Wed, Sep 3 • 7:45 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)

Projection 0.6 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +185

Pick made: 37 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +175

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.7% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Lars Nootbaar will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

+185 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)

Projection 0.5 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +210

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +210

o0.5 +180

o0.5 +200

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. Sacramento's 3rd-worst outfield defense of the day creates a favorable matchup for Nolan Gorman, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.. Nolan Gorman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Nolan Gorman has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.4-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.3-mph average.

+210 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

NYY @

HOU Wed, Sep 3 • 8:10 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

MoneyLine

NYY (-125)

Best Odds

-125

Pick made: 7 hours ago

-131

-130

-126

-125

-130

We roll with the Yankees here as they continue their chase of first place in the AL East. They've won eight of their last 10 games, and the offense is swinging some hot bats right now.

Total RBIs

Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)

Projection 0.6 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +215

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +215

o0.5 +190

Batting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, Austin Wells will have an advantage today.. Austin Wells has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Austin Wells has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 9.9% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 14 days.. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Austin Wells's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.6-mph over the course of the season to 103.8-mph in recent games.. Austin Wells's launch angle this season (20.8°) is significantly higher than his 16.9° figure last season.

+215 at DraftKings

View 11 Picks

SF @

COL Wed, Sep 3 • 8:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Jordan Beck o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)

Projection 0.7 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating