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03/17/202504:28 ET
Today's MLB Picks
LA Dodgers
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Chi. Cubs
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Chi. Cubs
Pick - Prop
Justin Steele u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-107)
The Cubs took Shota Imanaga out after just 69 pitches across four innings Opening Day, and I expect Steele to see a similar leash after dealing with multiple injuries during the 2024 campaign. Steele also wasn’t sharp this spring. He threw 8.2 innings across three starts and posted a 9.35 ERA and 1.62 WHIP. Fanning 10 batters was promising, but the Dodgers aren’t strikeout happy against lefties. Los Angeles posted a MLB best 121 wRC+ and third-ranked .337 OBP while sporting the third-lowest strikeout percentage against left-handed pitchers last season, and Imanaga only struck out two Dodgers yesterday.
Neil Parker - Pick Made 15 min ago.
LA Dodgers
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Chi. Cubs
at
Chi. Cubs
Pick - Prop
Roki Sasaki u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-102)
Sasaki has only pitched 202 innings across 33 starts the past two years while battling multiple injuries, and he threw just seven innings over his two spring-training starts, so I’m not anticipating him pitching deep into Wednesday’s game. Additionally, while Sasaki fanned a batter per inning this spring, his strikeouts per nine and strikeout percentage dropped in each of his final two seasons in the NPB. Chicago also finished with a middling 22.6 K% against righties last year, and Los Angeles righty Yoshinobu Yamamoto only fanned four Cubs across five innings yesterday. I’m banking on Sasaki matching his countryman -- at best.
Neil Parker - Pick Made 3 min ago.
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