LIV vs PGA U.S. Open Picks and Odds

Brooks Koepka's been a monster at major events, and our US Open picks don't think there's any reason to expect different at LACC this weekend, backing him with our LIV vs. PGA best bet.

Tony Sartori - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Tony Sartori • Betting Analyst
Jun 14, 2023 • 11:34 ET • 4 min read
Brooks Koepka US Open
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Pro golf heads to California this week for the 2023 U.S. Open. The North Course at the Los Angeles Country Club will host this event, marking the first time that this area will host a U.S. Open in 75 years.

LACC is par-70, 7,421-yard track designed by George C. Thomas Jr. with Bermuda grass and greens. It hasn’t hosted a PGA TOUR event in 83 years.

While once the event starts, we can hopefully just focus on the golf, the main conversation point dominating the golf world entering this week is the supposed LIV/PGA “merger” (it really isn’t a merger, but that’s a conversation for a different time). Although there’s no need to separate LIV golfers from those on the PGA TOUR, there are some fun betting markets to look at pertaining to the two leagues.

Let's check out the best LIV vs. PGA U.S. Open picks.

And also, be sure to read our U.S. Open predictions for your best outright, matchup, and prop bets, as well as Dan Dobish's three favorite U.S. Open sleeper picks.

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LIV vs PGA U.S. Open best bet

Brooks Koepka lowest score among LIV golfers

Brooks Koepka possesses the shortest number in this market, and for good reason. Fresh off his fifth major victory at this year’s PGA Championship, Koepka continues to cement his status as one of the all-time great major champions.

His fifth victory puts him in some elite company alongside many of golf’s greats, including Byron Nelson and Seve Ballesteros. A legit threat to win this tournament and be the first to win two consecutive majors in the same calendar year since Jordan Spieth in 2015, Koepka is currently the third-shortest U.S. Open odds favorite.

However, even when he‘s not winning majors, Koepka routinely finishes towards the top of the leaderboard. In fact, prior to winning this year’s PGA Championship, he finished runner-up at the Masters.

Not only has he made the cut in 30 of his past 33 majors, but he boasts 18 Top-10 finishes over that stretch, including his five victories. Koepka is one of the best big-moment golfers on the planet, and the only likely threats to him in this market are Cameron Smith, Dustin Johnson, and Bryson DeChambeau.

Smith is in pretty solid form, finishing inside the Top 9 in each of his past four LIV events, while also finishing 34th at the Masters and ninth at the PGA Championship. However, U.S. Opens and their notorious long rough have not been nearly as kind to him, missing each of the past two cuts while failing to crack the Top 5 since 2015.

Meanwhile, DJ should make the cut, but what he does after that remains to be seen. He finished 48th at the Masters and 55th at the PGA Championship.

That leaves us with Bryson DeChambeau, who I also really like this week and would not be a bad option in this market at +750 via BetRivers. DeChambeau has really turned his game around since losing weight and is coming off a fourth-place finish at the PGA Championship. Additionally, he has finished in the Top 10 in each of his past two LIV events. 

With that said, give me the more consistent Koepka at +200.

My best bet: Brooks Koepka lowest score among LIV golfers (+200 at DraftKings)

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Tony Sartori - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Tony Sartori has written over 1,000 pieces of sports betting content across multiple different media outlets. He covers the NHL, UFC, PGA, NFL and MLB. Tony started part-time while attending the University of Wisconsin-Madison, where he went on to receive a B.A. in Economics and a certificate in Entrepreneurship in 2022. He continues to work full-time in the sports betting landscape.

Due to the variety of sports he covers, Tony is handicapping every day. If he had one piece of betting advice for a new sports bettor, it would be to strictly enforce bankroll management rules for yourself. If you set aside $10,000 for your betting bankroll, then you should generally only be betting between $100 - $500 per play.

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