The U.S. Open tees off on June 13 at legendary Pinehurst, North Carolina. As excitement builds for one of the most prestigious tournaments in golf, Covers is here to provide you with actionable analysis, insights, and our top picks for the third major of the year.
Our team of golf experts has been following the players, studying their recent form, evaluating the course conditions, and, most importantly, analyzing the U.S. Open odds to bring you our predictions for this thrilling event.
US Open picks and predictions
Check back closer to the tournament, when we'll have pre-tournament golf picks, predictions, best bets, and U.S. Open props to make for every round at Pinehurst. In the meantime, make sure to check in on the latest U.S. Open odds for 2024.
Justin Thomas to win outright (+4,600)
By Neil ParkerThis is too long of a number for Thomas. His game has been trending in the right direction, and there are a pair of major championships among his 15 PGA Tour wins. Additionally, he’s trading as short as +3,300 through bet365 to reinforce how off-market the FanDuel odds are. Thomas paced the field in true strokes gained tee-to-green at the PGA Championship to finish T8, and he’s gained true strokes across the board during his three consecutive Top 25s ahead of the Memorial Tournament. Thomas’ tee-to-green play gives him enough scoring opportunities to contend, and if his putter heats up, a third major is in the cards.
Collin Morikawa to win outright (+2,100)
By Neil ParkerThe two-time major champion is dialed in with four Top 10s and a T16 through his past five individual tournaments, which includes his T3 at the Masters and T4 at the PGA Championship. Morikawa has also shined in the past three U.S. Opens with a T4-T5-T14 run, and he’s gained true strokes across the board through his past 20 measured rounds. His game is both tight and trending in the right direction ahead of the Memorial Tournament, and I expect him to be in contention for the third straight Sunday of a major championship at Pinehurst No. 2 next week.
Matt Fitzpatrick to win outright (+5,500)
By Neil ParkerExcellent tee play and solid putting paved the way to a strong finish at the Memorial for Matt Fitzpatrick, with him finishing fifth in true strokes gained putting and ninth in true strokes gained off-the-tee. Still, it’s his Sunday approach play that has my attention because he tied for the low round of the day by gaining 1.91 strokes on the field on approach, 1.96 from tee to green, and then paced the field on the greens with 3.98 true strokes gained putting. He hasn’t been consistently sharp this season, but his highs have come in strong fields. In addition to the T5 at the Memorial, the Englishman finished solo fifth at THE PLAYERS and a respectable T22 at the Masters. He was second in true strokes gained putting in both those events.
Viktor Hovland to win outright (+1,800)
By Tony SartoriWhat a rollercoaster of a year it's been for Viktor Hovland. He concluded last season by winning the Memorial, BMW Championship, and TOUR Championship all over the final few months. Following that East Lake victory, the question was who was the best golfer on Tour between Hovland and Scottie. Well, that question was squashed immediately this season both due to Scottie’s absurd run as well as Hovland’s fall-off that culminated with a missed cut at the Masters. However, that missed cut has sparked something in Hovland that's seen a turnaround in his game as he finished T24 at the Wells Fargo, third at the PGA Championship, and T15 at the Memorial following that disappointing week at Augusta. He's trending upwards at the right moment (just like last season), and I think this could be the last time we see Hovland at 18/1.
Collin Morikawa to win outright (+1,600)
By Tony SartoriI think the most likely candidate in this field to take down Scottie Scheffler is Collin Morikawa. He's been battling him all season while consistently falling just short, which is something we saw once again last week at the Memorial. He had multiple chances on the back nine to take advantage, but the second-place finish was more of a product of him hurting himself rather than Scottie pulling away. Either way, he's in tremendously great form with three straight Top-4 finishes, and I think this week is a great opportunity for him to finally knock the door down.
Corey Conners Top 30 (+137)
By Chris GregoryI won’t stop betting on Corey Conners until the results stop coming. The Canadian is a premier ball-striker who’s logged Top-30 finishes in eight of his last 12 starts, with a handful of those coming against top-end fields including the PGA Championship, THE PLAYERS, the Arnold Palmer, and the Genesis. Conners is DataGolf’s 13th-ranked golfer thanks to ranks of fourth in strokes gained approach and 11th from tee to green over the last six months. Five missed cuts here at the U.S. Open are notable but two of those came on the number and that's only giving us a longer price here; I’ll take the risk.
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U.S. Open picks and predictions FAQs
Scottie Scheffler has the best odds to win the 2024 U.S. Open.
Last year the winning score at the U.S. Open was 270, or 10-under par, shot by Wyndham Clark. Keep in mind that the 2024 event is played at a different course, however.
At Covers, we have a team of experienced golf analysts who closely follow the sport and analyze various factors when making our picks and predictions. We study the players' recent performances, their form leading up to the tournament, their history in major championships, and their suitability to the challenging U.S. Open course conditions. And, most importantly, we analyze the odds to win the U.S. Open..
