Blue Jays vs Angels Picks and Predictions: Manoah of War

The Jays are on the come-up in a big way, and have their sights set on the AL Wild Card. With the Halos putting up little resistance, find out how to get the most value out of a lopsided matchup with our Blue Jays vs. Angels picks.

Josh Inglis - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Josh Inglis • Betting Analyst
Aug 11, 2021 • 08:59 ET
Alek Manoah MLB Toronto Blue Jays
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Blue Jays came into this West Coast series versus the Los Angeles Angels having won nine of their last 11, and earned a split in yesterday’s doubleheader, dropping the first game 6-3 but rebounding for a 4-0 win in the late match.

The Jays will send rookie pitcher Alek Manoah to the mound Wednesday as they trail a Wild Card spot by just 2.5 games as the Red Sox keep slipping in the AL East.

Here are our free picks and predictions for Toronto Blue Jays vs Los Angeles Angels for Wednesday, August 10.

Blue Jays vs Angels game info

Location: Angel Stadium, Anaheim, CA
Date: Wednesday, August 11, 2021
Time: 9:38 p.m. ET
TV: Sportsnet, BSN

Blue Jays vs Angels odds

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Blue Jays vs Angels betting preview

Starting pitchers

Alek Manoah (4-1, 2.58 ERA): Former first-rounder Alek Manoah’s first 10 starts in the big leagues couldn’t have been better. The hulking right-hander has allowed two or fewer runs in 80 percent of his starts and both his ERA and WHIP lead a talented rotation.

Manoah has an elite slider and it’s helping induce plenty of misses as batters are whiffing on nearly 20 percent of their swings on pitches in the strike zone which is a Top-30 mark in baseball. He hasn’t given up a home run in five starts — 28 2-3 innings.

Dylan Bundy (2-8, 6.14 ERA): Bundy was demoted to long relief just two starts ago but the disappointing right-hander has looked decent after getting another shot in the rotation.

In his two games returning to the wind-up, Bundy has allowed just five hits in 10 2-3 innings of work. However, he has gifted six walks over that stretch. If he can limit homers and walks, he can look like a former Top-5 pick, it’s just that he seldom does that. 

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Blue Jays: Danny Jansen C (out), Cavan Biggio IF (out), Joakim Soria RP (out)
Angels: Anthony Rendon 3B (out), Mike Trout OF (out), Franklin Barreto SS (out)
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Under is 6-0-1 in the Angels’ last seven games as a home underdog. Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Angels.

Runline pick

The Blue Jays came into this series as one of the hottest teams in baseball (8-2 SU L10) and now the team of infectious youngsters has the playoffs in their sights. Since the beginning of the second half, they lead baseball in wRC+ and lead the AL in OPS (.828). They have also improved on their strike-out percentage as their 18.2 percent K rate is the lowest in the MLB in the second half.

We could write paragraphs about how this is arguably the best lineup in baseball, but that should be understood five months into the season. The real eye-opener for Toronto has been the play of the starting rotation. Robbie Ray, Hyun-Jin Ryu, Jose Berrios and Alek Manoah are leading a rotation that has a 2.95 ERA in the second half. 

The Angles have never seen Manoah, who looks like he has had no lasting effects from a back contusion that landed him on the IL two starts ago. The rookie right-hander has been consistently getting weak contact and has allowed just six hits over his last 12 innings of work since returning from injury. Now Manoah gets to keep riding against a struggling LAA offense that managed just three hits in the second game yesterday. 

Despite Tuesday’s six-run effort from the Halos in the opener, the Angels came into the series struggling at the dish in the second half. Their .665 OPS is the second-worst in baseball and their 20 home runs rank 27th. They went a combined 2 for 18 with RISP yesterday.

With how well the Jays have been playing, we aren’t getting any price breaks here. Luckily for us, the Jays have no problem covering the -1.5 as they are 23-2 ATS in their last 25 victories. Toronto has the advantage on the mound, at the plate and even out of the bullpen. 

PREDICTION: Toronto -1.5 (-115)

Over/Under pick

Toronto comes into Wednesday’s match 5-11 O/U in its last 16 games despite sporting one of the best offenses in baseball. The starting pitching has been the biggest factor cashing those Unders, as starters aren’t walking anyone (2.32 BB/9) which is helping keep that WHIP at a top-five mark in baseball in the second half.

The Angels have not been giving Over bettors any confidence either in the second half as Los Angeles is scoring just 3.61 runs per game since the All-Star break. Even Shohei Ohtani has been cold of late, hitting just .194 over the last two weeks coming into the series. The Halos are 4-9 O/U in their last 13.

Betting a one-sided pitching matchup is always a hard thing to do. The Jays have shown they can still hit the Over even when Manoah is dealing, as the offense has scored double-digits in three of his 10 starts. But taking the Jays out of the Rogers Center, where they average 1.4 homers per game, and facing Bundy, who is coming off his best start of the season, it might be a great game to fade the public who will likely hit the Over when they see Bundy’s 6.14 ERA. 

We’d prefer hitting the Over on the Jays’ total of 5.5 than playing the full game Over but instead, we’re taking the Under 9.5 before it slips to 9, hoping that Bundy doesn’t implode and that Manoah keeps doing what he’s been doing since his call-up.

PREDICTION: Under 9.5 (-120)

Blue Jays vs Angels betting card

  • Toronto -1.5 (-115)
  • Under 9.5 (-120)

Picks made on 8/11/2021 at 5:00 a.m. ET

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Josh Inglis - Covers
Betting Analyst

Josh Inglis is a rising star in the sports betting content space, specializing in MLB, NHL, and NFL markets. Since joining Covers in 2018, Josh has focused his betting expertise on player props and derivative markets, finding them easier for beating the closing line compared to sides and totals. His engaging analysis and content have been showcased on major networks such as TSN and NBC. Josh is a prolific bettor, tracking over 2,500 bets annually and he consistently shares his results through monthly transparency reports. At Covers, he is renowned for his MLB release shows and NHL Puck Props, which are integral parts of the site's live content lineup.

Before his tenure at Covers, Josh spent a decade teaching while pursuing sports media on the side. He has also contributed to live global senior-level broadcasts for the WBSC.

Josh advocates for sports bettors to bet early, emphasizing the importance of securing better numbers by beating the public to the market. He also advises having multiple sportsbook accounts to ensure access to the best possible odds. His preferred sportsbook is bet365, which he favors for its extensive range of player prop markets and live betting options.

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