Blue Jays vs Orioles Picks and Predictions: O's Mount Comeback After Doubleheader Defeat

The Toronto Blue Jays will look to build on their momentum after sweeping a Labor Day doubleheader against the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards when they meet again on Tuesday night. 

Can Kyle Bradish serve as a stopper for the O’s, or will Bo Bichette and Co. keep rolling? Find out in our free MLB picks and predictions for Blue Jays vs Orioles on Tuesday, September 6.

Blue Jays vs Orioles best odds

Blue Jays vs Orioles picks and predictions

If the Orioles are going to win this game, they’ll need to attack Blue Jays starter Mitch White with success. Baltimore appears more than capable of doing so, and the listed odds on this prop wager are terrific. 

White has gone 0-3 through his first five starts with the Blue Jays after arriving in August via the Los Angeles Dodgers. He’s taken the loss in each of his last two outings, both of which saw him get lit up on the scoreboard. 

White surrendered seven earned runs over five frames against the Angels on August 26, and followed that up by allowing six earned runs over 4 2-3 frames to the Cubs on the 31st. His WHIP in that span is a garish 2.07. 

It would be difficult to lay the blame on Baltimore’s doubleheader loss at the feet of their lineup, which plated a respectable seven runs over the two games. Adley Rutschman had five hits spread over each half of the twin-bill, including a home run. Anthony Santander went deep twice in the opener before taking an 0-for-5 in the finale. 

Ryan Mountcastle could prove be a thorn in the side of White, as he’s hitting .351 with five homers and 12 RBI against Blue Jays pitching in 2022. 

If the O’s plate three runs through the first five innings of this game, they’ll more than likely prevail on the first-half moneyline, as Kyle Bradish has been in terrific form of late. The Arizona native owns a 2.66 ERA over his last seven starts, and has recorded 15 consecutive scoreless innings on the mound. 

The odds are better on the Orioles to plate the three runs regardless of Bradish’s performance than on the traditional Baltimore first-half market, so savvy bettors should take advantage.

My best bet: Orioles first five team total Over 2.5 runs (+125 at DraftKings)

Blue Jays vs Orioles betting preview

Jump to:
•Side analysis •Over/Under analysis •Starting pitchers •Injuries •Weather •Trend to know

Moneyline analysis

The Orioles appeared to have the pitching edge on Monday, but a late scratch of Game 1 starter Jordan Lyles forced manager Brandon Hyde to get creative. Rookie DL Hall helped put the first contest out of reach by allowing three runs in the ninth. Bruce Zimmermann — who was opened for in the second tilt by Keegan Akin and Nick Vespi — served up two of Bichette’s three dingers on the afternoon. 

But Baltimore could bounce back at a solid moneyline price behind Bradish, who’s done some outstanding work since the All-Star break. The O’s rookie has gone from a WHIP of 1.77 in the first half to a 1.13 WHIP in the second half. He’s also allowed only four home runs over his last 40 2-3 innings on the bump, compared to 11 over his first 46 1-3 frames. 

If Bradish leaves the mound with a lead, Hyde can tab some relievers from his circle of trust, namely Felix Bautista (1.21 ERA, nine saves) and Cionel Perez (1.69 ERA, seven holds). Both sat idle on Labor Day, but have had dominant second halves. 

Trend bettors should note that the Orioles are 19-8 in their last 27 games against starters with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Over/Under analysis

Under bettors could walk a fine line in this one thanks to White, but having a total of 8.5 rather than 8.0 could make the difference.

White has not settled in with the Blue Jays yet, but he did own a 3.58 ERA over parts of three seasons with the Dodgers, so there’s a chance he rights the ship on Tuesday. 

One thing bettors can be 99% certain of regarding White is that he won’t last very long on the hill, as he’s recorded fewer than six innings in all but one of his 15 starts this season. In eight of those outings, he exited before he could complete five innings and qualify for a win. 

However, White is supported by a Toronto bullpen that’s eighth in the majors by ERA (3.02) over the last two weeks. Closer Jordan Romano (30 saves) was held back by interim manager John Schneider on Monday after he pitched two straight tilts, but he should be available in this spot. Yimi Garcia (2.36 ERA) is one of a fleet of reliable set-up men for the Blue Jays, and hasn’t worked since Saturday. Anthony Bass (1.38 ERA) is also a candidate to come in and keep the Baltimore bats at bay.

There are some trends to support a play on the Under too. Toronto has gone below the total in seven of its last 10 road games, while the O’s are 10-3 to the Under in their last 13 overall.

Blue Jays vs Orioles game info

• Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MA
• Date: Tuesday, September 6, 2022
• First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET
• TV: Sportsnet, MASN

Starting pitchers

Mitch White (1-5, 4.67 ERA): After a promising beginning with his new team, White has regressed mightily. White had a 3.38 ERA over his first three appearances with the Blue Jays, but a 12.10 ERA over his last two. Regardless of how he fares, don’t expect White to pitch deep into this one, as he’s completed six innings just once out of 15 starts in 2022. 

Kyle Bradish (3-5, 5.17 ERA): Kyle Bradish is in the midst of an outstanding second half of the season, as he’s authored a 2.66 ERA over 40 2-3 innings. That contrasts sharply with his 7.38 ERA from the first half of the campaign. Bradish began his September by blanking the Cleveland Guardians over seven frames. 

Key injuries

Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Betting trend to know

The Orioles are 14-5 in their last 19 home games with the total set between 7.0 and 8.5. Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Orioles

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