Blue Jays vs Rockies Predictions, Picks, Odds: High Altitude Leads to High Scoring

It took the Toronto Blue Jays a couple of innings to get the bats going last night at altitude, but following a 13-9 win in the series opener vs. the Colorado Rockies, the Jays have taken a lot of money today — moving MLB odds from -170 to -210 on the moneyline with a total of 12. 

With Toronto adapted to the altitude, both bullpens getting rocked, and a shorter total than last night, could bettors see another high-scoring affair at Coors with a high chance of late runs?

Find out where my best bets lie in my MLB picks and predictions for the Blue Jays vs. Rockies on September 2.

Blue Jays vs Rockies odds

Blue Jays vs Rockies predictions

Last night I was on the Under 12.5 for a few reasons including the adjustment to altitude for the Toronto Blue Jays, their injuries, and a pair of rested bullpens. 

Now with the Jays adapted, Brandon Belt looking better, the call-ups raking, Angel Hernandez not behind the plate, and both bullpens looking disastrous, I’m switching gears to the Over 12 today which I think should be 12.5 — where it closed yesterday.

Last night’s game was 2-2 heading into the sixth inning before both teams teed off on the opposing bullpens. The Colorado Rockies have the worst bullpen ERA over the last 30 days at 7.24, coming in last night rested and still getting rocked vs. a struggling offense.

Hernandez was awful behind the dish last night where 10 of his 50 called strikes were true balls. Tonight, both starters will have an extreme hitter’s umpire in James Hoye who averages 9.12 total runs per game.

Both teams lost arms in the bullpen, and I have this starting pitching matchup very similar to yesterday where the total closed a half run longer. Neither starter has a long leash, Ty Blach gives up more than a hit per inning, and Yusei Kikuchi might be coming down from a dominant stretch following the All-Star break.

It’s a pivot to the Over tonight and bettors shouldn’t sweat if it’s another low-scoring game early, runs will be scored late tonight.

My best bet: Over 12 (-102 at SIA)

Blue Jays vs Rockies same-game parlay

Over 11.5

Clement + Schneider Over 1.5 TB

Jones Over 0.5 total bases

+625 at bet365

There were 57 total bases last night in the 13-9 Toronto win. Ernie Clement pushed his average to .435 with his first homer of the season and added a triple for a seven-bag game. Davis Schneider is hitting near the top of the order where guys had six ABs and went 1-for-4 with a double pushing his average to .412 over 51 ABs. Nolan Jones also continued raking collecting eight total bases coming just a double shy of the cycle. Both teams are going to do some damage late in this game. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Blue Jays vs Rockies moneyline and Over/Under analysis

The Blue Jays tacked on some important late runs last night as a -200 favorite in the 13-9 series-opening win and bettors were quick to back them again this morning.

Toronto opened as a -170 road favorite but as of 11 a.m. ET had shortened substantially to -210. I was bearish on this team last night as the Jays were under a ton of pressure, heading to altitude for the first time since 2019, and were dealing with injuries. 

Honestly, the Jays did next to nothing in a great matchup vs. starter Chris Flexen and took advantage of the league’s worst bullpen that came in rested and still surrendered eight runs over three-plus innings. That same blueprint could be on display again today and if bettors want to hit the Under or take a piece of the Rockies, betting the first five innings is advised.

Tyler Blach has been great for the Rockies as a starter, pitching to a 3.72 ERA across five August starts with just one coming at Coors. He has just 26 punchouts over 48 innings, so the lefty does not miss bats and the Jays hit left-handed pitching well.

It wouldn’t surprise me to see the Toronto's hitting confidence bleed over into today as hitting is contagious and all but one starter had two or more bases last night. Blach could pitch a gem and this Colorado bullpen would more than likely blow it. 

Yusei Kikuchi has been the best AL pitcher in the second half with a 2.36 ERA, but he’s been hit a little over his last two starts with seven runs over 10+ innings. The Rockies are not a great offense but still managed to put up nine runs vs. Hyun Jin Ryu and a rested bullpen last night.

The best bet to take advantage of the potential for late scoring is with a prop at bet365 called the highest scoring period. It’s a three-way market that has the first five innings, tied, or rest of game. The rest of game bet is paying +125 and although it’s at a disadvantage due to fewer innings, the potential for crooked numbers with both of these bullpens is massive. Neither starter is projected to get deep so both teams will be digging deep into their stable of relievers.

On the season, the Jays are 19-15 straight up as a road favorite and 6-3 SU as a -150 or shorter road favorite. 

The total opened at 11.5 at some books and has moved to 12 at most places as of this morning. Last night’s total closed at 12.5 and I feel with the late-inning potential for runs and the Jays adapted to the altitude, this total should be 12.5.

Trend to know

The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the first five innings (F5) team total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.04 Units / 22% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Rockies

Blue Jays vs Rockies game info

Starting pitchers

Yusei Kikuchi (9-4, 3.63 ERA): Kikuchi’s 2.36 second-half ERA is the best in the AL and second in baseball behind Blake Snell. He has a 146:38 K:BB rate over 139 innings with 23 homers allowed, has allowed seven runs over his last two starts, and is averaging 88 pitches per start over his last 10 turns. The Jays are 17-9 SU when he starts and THE BAT is projecting 77 pitches, 12.9 outs, 4.59 strikeouts, and 3.03 earned runs.

Ty Blach (1-1, 4.39 ERA): Blach is making his eighth start of the season and 15th appearance. He owns a 2.86 ERA as a starter and has a lower ERA at home this year but regression is coming as he has a 1.655 WHIP at Coors to go along with a 3.75 ERA. The left hander carries a 26:12 K:BB rate over 48 innings on the year and the Rockies are 2-12 SU when he pitches. THE BAT projects 72 pitches, 12.3 outs, 1.82 strikeouts, and 3.59 earned runs.   

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