The Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres continue along in their three-game series on Saturday evening, as the two NL West foes clash yet again.
This matchup has resulted in a few wild games already in 2021 but despite their season series up to this point, San Diego is heavy -270 MLB betting favorites, while Arizona comes back as +230 underdogs.
Where can we find value in this one? Read on for our free Diamondbacks vs. Padres picks and predictions on August 7.
Diamondbacks vs Padres game info
• Location: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
• Date: Saturday, August 7, 2021
• Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
• TV: FS1
Diamondbacks vs Padres odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
Compare MLB odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
Check out the full line movement for this game
Diamondbacks vs Padres betting preview
Starting pitchers
Taylor Widener (1-1, 5.05 ERA): In his second season with the Diamondbacks and first as a starter, Widener has made nine starts in 2021 yet boasts a record of just 1-1. His last start, at the beginning of August against the Giants, saw him chased after 4 1-3 innings as he allowed five hits and five earned runs, walking three while striking out seven.
Yu Darvish (7-6, 3.48 ERA): Darvish has continued his consistent level of play in his first season with the Padres, with an ERA of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.019. His strikeouts per nine innings, though the lowest since 2017, has remained above 10.0 (currently 10.5).
Weather
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.
Key injuries
Diamondbacks: Josh VanMeter 2B (Questionable), Josh Rojas RF (Questionable), Noe Ramirez RP (Out), Joe Mantiply RP (Out), Stuart Fairchild LF (Out).
Padres: Taylor Williams RP (Out), Jorge Ona RF (Out), Nick Ramirez RP (Out), Fernando Tatis Jr. SS (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Over is 4-0 in the last four games between Arizona and San Diego. Find more MLB betting trends for Diamondbacks vs. Padres.
Runline pick
The Diamondbacks were dealt a brutal run of games but have seemingly collapsed over the last couple of weeks, as series against the Dodgers and Giants saw them drop five of seven by an average margin of 5.6 runs ahead of their series against San Diego. That includes Widener's last start, where he was pulled after 4 1-3 innings and nearly 100 pitches in an eventual 11-8 loss.
A recent poor stretch for the Padres, who are 4-6 over their last 10, was made worse by Fernando Tatis Jr.'s most recent injury. The phenom's latest injury is a blow to San Diego's chances of making noise in the ultra-competitive NL West, but they did put together consecutive 8-1 wins after Tatis Jr.'s injury.
Even in Tatis Jr.'s absence, San Diego has plenty of firepower, especially in such a favorable matchup. On the year, the Padres are in the Top-10 in runs per nine innings and batting average, while sitting just outside the Top-10 in on-base percentage and homers per game. That lineup gets the welcome sight of the Diamondbacks' fielding, which ranks last or second-last in runs and home runs allowed, as well as opposing batting average and on-base percentage.
The Diamondbacks, already undergoing a lost season, have unraveled and regularly bleed runs. San Diego, meanwhile, is more well-rounded, better at the plate and in the field, and boasts a big-time advantage in starting pitchers. The Padres should win this one with ease, and that means finding betting value on the runline.
PREDICTION: Padres -1.5 (-123)
Over/Under pick
Both the Diamondbacks and Padres have been reliable Over bets in 2021, with Arizona 59-49-2 and San Diego 60-49-1 this season. With the total hitting the board at 7.5 for this one, the Over is once again very inviting.
Arizona has not seen a total below 8.5 since June 27 (coincidentally, in a game against Darvish and the Padres that finished with nine runs), going 16-14-1 O/U since then. The Padres, meanwhile, have seen seven totals below 8.5 in their last 10, with an 8-2 O/U mark over that stretch.
The Over has hit in four straight games between these two, and even if it will require the Padres to do most of the heavy lifting, that trend will continue.
PREDICTION: Over 7.5 (-120)
Diamondbacks vs Padres betting card
- Padres -1.5 (-123)
- Over 7.5 (-120)
Picks made on 8/6/2021 at 5:50 p.m. ET
Did you know that if you parlayed today’s MLB Diamondbacks vs. Padres picks, you could win $23.24 on a $10 bet?
Use our MLB parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.
Where can I bet on MLB odds?
You can bet on MLB odds at every online and casino sportsbook, including MLB moneylines, runlines, Over/Under totals, and a ton of MLB prop odds. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on MLB odds in your area.
