The Los Angeles Dodgers and the St. Louis Cardinals play the middle leg of a three-game series on Wednesday night at Busch Stadium. The starting pitching battle is high-profile, as NL Cy Young odds contender Tony Gonsolin will take on cagey veteran Adam Wainwright.
Who will prevail here, and will runs be at a premium? Find out in our free MLB picks and predictions for Dodgers vs Cardinals on Wednesday, July 13.
Dodgers vs Cardinals odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.
The Dodgers opened as consensus favorites of -143 and have taken some action, dropping to the -150 to -155 range at the majority of sportsbooks. The total was unveiled at 8.0, a line that has stayed intact at most sites. However, some 8.5s can be found if you shop around.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until first pitch and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.
Dodgers vs Cardinals predictions
Picks made on 7/13/2022 at 11:10 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Dodgers vs Cardinals game info
• Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
• Date: Wednesday, July 13, 2022
• First pitch: 7:45 p.m. ET
• TV: SportsNet LA, Bally Sports Midwest
Dodgers vs Cardinals betting preview
Starting pitchers
Tony Gonsolin (11-0, 1.62 ERA): Gonsolin added to his NL Cy Young case with his ninth quality start of the season when last seen, limiting the Cubs to two runs over seven frames on July 7. He’s currently tops among all qualified pitchers in WHIP (0.80).
Adam Wainwright (6-7, 3.15 ERA): Wainwright was handed the exceedingly-rare complete-game loss last time out, holding the Phillies to two runs — both on solo homers — over nine innings (103 pitches) on July 8. The gopher ball has suddenly become a problem for Wainwright, who has allowed six dingers over his last four outings after serving up only five homers through his first 13 starts.
Weather
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Key injuries
Find our latest MLB injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Under is 16-4-1 in the Cardinals’ last 21 overall. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Cardinals
Dodgers vs Cardinals picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
Moneyline analysis
The Dodgers have lost only one of Tony Gonsolin’s 12 starts since the beginning of May, and they shouldn’t drop this one against the Cardinals on Wednesday night.
Gonsolin has recorded the win in 10 of his last 12 outings, pitching to a 1.63 ERA and 0.71 WHIP in that span. His 80 strikeouts over 88 2-3 innings don’t jump off the page, but he’s been as tough as any starter in the majors when it comes to halting scoring chances.
Gonsolin owns a scant .078 opponent batting average with runners in scoring position in 2022 with no home runs. In fact, only one of the eight dingers that Gonsolin has allowed this year has been with a man on base.
The Cardinals are ninth in batting average with runners in scoring position this year (.262), and 15th in home runs per game (1.12). They’re no pushovers, but Gonsolin should be able to keep this lineup in control for six to seven innings nonetheless. He has the luxury of facing Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado with neither riding any kind of hot streak — both are batting .250 over the last week with no taters between them.
Once Gonsolin departs, L.A.’s top-notch bullpen — sixth in the majors by ERA this year at 3.30 — will take over.
The Dodgers boast the best offense in the NL by runs per game (5.06), but a huge effort from this lineup should not be necessary.
Prediction: Dodgers moneyline (-150 at BetRivers)
Over/Under analysis
The Dodgers were riding a seven-game win streak going into St. Louis on Tuesday night, but you wouldn’t have known it from their offensive output. Adam Wainwright and the Cardinals’ relief corps should be up to the task of ensuring that this game stays below the total.
L.A. scored five or fewer runs in six of their first seven consecutive wins prior to Tuesday’s defeat. Mookie Betts has hit .208 over the last week, so he’s not getting the table-setting job done at present. Max Muncy has managed to bring his batting average down even lower over the last week, going 1-for-19 (.053).
Freddie Freeman is swinging a hot bat over the last seven days — hitting .423 — but is a mediocre 6-for-24 (.250) all-time against Wainwright with no four-baggers.
Wainwright is more than capable of giving the Redbirds length, but he doesn’t need to be pushed by manager Oliver Marmol with an excellent bullpen behind him. This unit is fourth in the majors by ERA over the last two weeks (2.15).
Trend bettors should note that the Under is 8-0 in the Cards’ last eight games against right-handed starters, and 6-1 in the Dodgers’ last seven games against teams with winning records.
Prediction: Under 8.5 (-120 at FanDuel)
Best bet
The Cardinals’ offense has been shut out three times over the last week. Calling for a fourth goose-egg in eight days would be too bold, but taking the Under on St. Louis’ team total makes a lot of sense.
The further Gonsolin goes in this game, the worse it will be for the Redbirds. Batters have a microscopic .091 average against Gonsolin the third time around this year.
The L.A. relief corps has pitched well all year, and no one is off limits to manager Dave Roberts thanks to a Monday off-day. That includes Brusdar Graterol – the team leader in appearances at 37 – who worked two scoreless innings and locked down the save for the Dodgers on Sunday.
In addition to Goldschmidt and Arenado cooling off, Juan Yepez is just 2-for-24 (.083) over the past seven days, and Tommy Edman is batting only .156 in July, his two-hit Tuesday notwithstanding. Brendan Donovan has been held out of the Cards’ lineup since Saturday with an illness.
It’s difficult to envision this team stringing together the hits necessary to scrape four runs across against Gonsolin and the Dodgers relievers.
Pick: Cardinals team total Under 3.5 (-110 at FanDuel)
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