Dodgers vs Cubs Prop Picks & Best Bets

Roki Sasaki is set to make his long-anticipated MLB debut on Wednesday, but the Japanese phenom could struggle to generate strikeouts against a fairly disciplined Cubs lineup.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Mar 18, 2025 • 13:45 ET • 4 min read
Roki Sasaki Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher Roki Sasaki.

The Los Angeles Dodgers took care of the Chicago Cubs in Game 1 of our MLB picks, and the two clubs meet again at the Tokyo Dome to wrap up the series on Wednesday, March 19.

Here are my top MLB player props and Dodgers vs. Cubs predictions for the rematch.

Dodgers vs Cubs props

Read full analysis of each pick.

Dodgers vs Cubs props

Justin Steele Under 4.5 strikeouts (-107 at Pinnacle)

The Chicago Cubs took Shota Imanaga out after just 69 pitches across four innings on Opening Day, and I expect Justin Steele to see a similar leash after dealing with multiple injuries during the 2024 campaign.

Steele also wasn’t sharp this spring. He threw 8.2 innings across three starts and posted a 9.35 ERA and 1.62 WHIP. Fanning 10 batters was promising, but the Los Angeles Dodgers aren’t strikeout-happy against lefties.

Los Angeles posted an MLB-best 121 wRC+ while sporting the third-lowest strikeout percentage against southpaws last season, and Imanaga only struck out two Dodgers yesterday.

Roki Sasaki Under 4.5 strikeouts (-106 at FanDuel)

Dodgers rookie Roki Sasaki has pitched only 202 innings across 33 starts over the past two years while dealing with multiple injuries. He also logged just seven innings across his two spring training starts, so I don’t expect him to pitch deep into Wednesday’s game.

Additionally, while Sasaki fanned a batter per inning this spring, his strikeouts per nine and strikeout percentage dropped in each of his final two seasons in the NPB.

Chicago also finished with a middling 22.6 K% against righties last year, and Los Angeles righty Yoshinobu Yamamoto only fanned four Cubs across five innings yesterday. At best, I’m banking on Sasaki matching his fellow countryman. 

Miguel Rojas Under 0.5 hits (+150 at DraftKings)

Los Angeles veteran Miguel Rojas drew into the Opening Day lineup with Mookie Betts (illness) sidelined, and Rojas is likely to slot in at shortstop again Wednesday. He picked up an infield single in the opener and posted a respectable .283 batting average last season.

I view the 2024 numbers as an outlier propped up by a .301 BABIP after he posted a .236 batting average and .257 BABIP across 930 plate appearances the previous two years. The 36-year-old veteran could also be a pinch-hit risk given his career 80 wRC+ against righties. 

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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs with Sportsbook Review, USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook, and RotoWire, among many others. He also co-hosted the Daily Fantasy Edge podcast and can now be seen offering expert golf and hockey advice on Covers’ Before you Bet broadcast.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

Neil’s top pieces of advice for recreational bettors are to stay within your means and to remember sportsbooks aren’t bank accounts. Don’t be afraid to pull those winnings and treat yourself to a lifetime experience courtesy of a big win.

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