The Los Angeles Dodgers were able to put a halt to the Philadelphia Phillies' eight-game winning streak by taking the opener of this mini two-game set in convincing fashion.
The Phillies will try to respond and start a new streak tonight when they hand the ball to newly-acquired Kyle Gibson. Do they have value as home underdogs in this bounce-back spot? Or is betting the Dodgers at this price as smooth as a Trea Turner slide?
Check out our MLB free picks and predictions for Dodgers vs. Phillies on Wednesday, August 11.
Dodgers vs Phillies game info
• Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
• Date: Wednesday, August 11, 2021
• Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN
Dodgers vs Phillies odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
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Dodgers vs Phillies betting preview
Starting pitchers
David Price (4-1, 3.53 ERA): Price has looked solid since taking a regular turn in the Dodgers rotation back in early July. Despite the Dodgers losing each of his last five starts, Price is pitching to a 3.63 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over that span.
Kyle Gibson (8-3, 2.79 ERA): Gibson has carried his strong 2021 performance over to the Phillies. The right-hander has recorded two quality starts in his first two games with Philly, allowing just two earned runs on nine hits over 12 1-3 innings pitched.
Weather
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.
Key injuries
Dodgers: Mookie Betts RF (Questionable), Justin Turner 3B (Questionable), Joe Kelly RP (Out), Gavin Lux 2B (Out), Scott Alexander RP (Out).
Phillies: Connor Brogdon RP (Questionable), Andrew McCutchen LF (Questionable), Rhys Hoskins 1B (Out), Sam Coonrod RP (Out), Freddy Galvis SS (Out). Find our latest MLB injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Under is 6-1 in the Phillies' last seven home games when facing a team with a winning record. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Phillies.
Moneyline pick
Both starters in yesterday’s matchup (Max Scherzer and Aaron Nola) had to be pulled early due to a rain delay and the Dodgers were able to take advantage of the Phillies' greatest weakness – their bullpen, putting up five runs on the Philly relievers.
Luckily, for Philadelphia, they hand the ball to a reliable innings-eater in Gibson. The right-hander has averaged nearly six innings a start this season and has pitched at least six innings in his first two starts as a Philly.
It doesn’t hurt that Gibson also has a 2.13 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and is limiting opponents to a .196 batting average. Although he faces a tough Dodgers lineup, Gibson tends to show up against good teams. In 14 starts against teams with a winning record, he owns a 1.71 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP.
While Price has looked like a reliable starter for the Dodgers of late, the Phillies, led by a suddenly rising-up-the-NL-MVP-odds-board Bryce Harper, are hitting .260 with a .802 OPS when facing southpaws over the last 15 days.
The price is wrong for backing Price and the Dodgers. This is good value on the Phillies as underdogs.
PREDICTION: Phillies (+125)
Over/Under pick
Just like yesterday, a quick glance at the total and this number looks way too high when you consider the matchup.
We have already spoken about how Gibson can be effective in this matchup and he faces a Dodgers team that is plating just 3.6 runs per game in its last 10 games when facing teams with a winning record. Plus, the longer Gibson is in the game, the fewer innings for the Phillies bullpen.
Additionally, while Price has looked more effective recently, you can bet manager Dave Roberts won’t be shy to give him a quick hook if he is having an off night. He can then rely on a Dodgers pen that looked great last night and ranks fourth in ERA and WHIP over the last 30 days.
PREDICTION: Under 10 (-110)
Dodgers vs Phillies betting card
- Phillies (+125)
- Under 10 (-110)
Picks made on 8/11/2021 at 12:45 p.m. ET
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