The Los Angeles Dodgers bounced back after a series-opening loss to the San Francisco Giants thanks to a clutch walk-off three-run homer from Will Smith in the bottom of the ninth late last night.
Now, we get a rubber match between the top two teams in the National League West and arguably baseball, when the Giants’ Logan Webb toes the rubber against the Dodgers’ Julio Urias.
Find out who has the MLB betting edge in our free baseball picks and predictions for Giants vs. Dodgers on Wednesday, July 21.
Giants vs Dodgers game info
• Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
• Date: Wednesday, July 21, 2021
• Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
• TV: SportsNet LA, NBCS-BA
Giants vs Dodgers odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
Compare MLB odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
MLB sharp money and line movement report
By Patrick EversonLos Angeles landed on TwinSpires' odds board as -175 chalk and is down to -159 as of 6 p.m. ET today. The Dodgers are taking 63 percent of moneyline bets, but the Giants are drawing 55 percent of moneyline dollars. The total opened at 8.5 (Over -115) and is now 8.5 (Under -114), with 66 percent of bets/61 percent of money on the Under.
Check out the full line movement for this gameGiants vs Dodgers betting preview
Starting pitchers
Logan Webb (4-3, 3.54 ERA): Webb missed the month of June with an injury but has been solid since his return in July, giving up just one run on six hits over seven innings over two starts.
Julio Urias (12-3, 3.78 ERA): Urias has been one of the Dodgers' most consistent starters, pitching nearly six innings per start and allowing three earned runs or fewer in 14 of his 19 starts this season.
Weather
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.
Key injuries
Giants: Brandon Crawford SS (Out), Tommy La Stella 2B (Out), Evan Longoria 3B (Out), Brandon Belt 1B (Out), Reyes Moronta RP (Out).
Dodgers: Max Muncy 1B (Questionable), Justin Turner 3B (Questionable), Mookie Betts RF (Questionable), Scott Alexander RP (Out), Jimmy Nelson RP (Out), Corey Seager SS (Out), Gavin Lux 2B (Out), Corey Knebel RP (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Under is 9-2-2 in Dodgers' last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Find more MLB betting trends for Giants vs. Dodgers.
Moneyline pick
With last night’s comeback victory, the Dodgers now sit just one back behind the Giants for first place in NL West. Now, they’ll try to pull even with the Giants with a series win tonight, and that all starts with Urias.
With injuries, sticky stuff crackdowns, and um, other indiscretions, Urias has arguably been the Dodgers most reliable starter, pitching to a 3.78 ERA, a 1.09 WHIP, and logging nearly six innings a start. But he’ll be in tough against a solid Giants’ lineup.
San Francisco ranks sixth in scoring this season and are plating 5.36 runs per game over their last 14 games. On top of that, the Giants have gotten to Urias for eight runs on 14 hits in 11 innings of work over two starts this season.
Countering Urias is Webb, who is pitching to a 1.13 ERA and is limiting opponents to a .182 batting average over his last five starts. That includes five innings against the Dodgers, where he allowed just one earned run on one hit while striking out seven.
The Giants should probably have won both games in this series thus far and you likely won’t see another collapse from a bullpen that ranks fourth in ERA and first in WHIP. This is a good value to back the underdog.
PREDICTION: Giants (+140)
Over/Under pick
While these two NL West rivals have played their fair share of high-scoring games this season, resulting in the Over going 7-4 in their 11 meetings, this matchup has a good chance to land Under the total of 8.5.
First of all, while the Giants have been surprisingly solid at the plate this year they rank in the middle of the pack (16th) when it comes to batting average against lefties. They are also slightly less potent when away from home, averaging 4.77 runs per road game. And the matchup against Urias — and a Dodgers bullpen that is third in ERA and fifth in WHIP — won’t make things any easier.
Additionally, the Dodgers are averaging just four runs per game in their last four meetings with the Giants, and that would be even lower if not for Smith’s three-run dinger last night. On top of that, L.A. is dealing with several nagging injuries to important position players, including Mookie Betts and Max Muncy, that may or may not keep them out of a lineup already missing Corey Seager.
With the intensity level for this matchup expected to be high, bet on this one to sneak below the number.
PREDICTION: Under 8.5 (-110)
Giants vs Dodgers betting card
- Giants ML (+140)
- Under 8.5 (-110)
Picks made on 7/21/2021 at 2:41 p.m. ET
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