The Detroit Tigers have a golden opportunity to take their Cinderella story to the next level. They have the AL Central-winning Cleveland Guardians on the ropes and — with another strong performance — could deliver the knockout punch in front of their own fans at Comerica Park.
My Guardians vs. Tigers predictions see another tight game in the cards — and one of Detroit’s emerging young stars making his presence felt at the plate.
Guardians vs Tigers prediction
Who will win Guardians vs Tigers Game 4?
The Detroit Tigers sure have the feel of a team that just won’t be denied — at least not yet. They continue to come up with timely hits while their pitching staff has completely flustered and neutralized a competent Cleveland Guardians offense. It’s hard to argue against that continuing for another game.
My Guardians vs Tigers best bet
Parker Meadows Over 0.5 singles
+130 at bet365
Best odds available in your region
My analysis
Parker Meadows couldn’t have started the year much slower offensively. He posted a .092 batting average through his first 32 games of the season and recorded only three singles in that time. Three!
He's flipped the script to an unbelievable extent since that point. Meadows has hit .296 over his past 54 games while recording at least one single in 34 of those games. That’s a 63% clip over a pretty lengthy period of time.
Meadows has enjoyed success against the Guardians as well. He’s hit a single in five of seven meetings up to this point, including each of the three games in this series. He'
While Tanner Bibee is an excellent pitcher, he's struggled against left-handed bats this season. He’s given up an average of 73 points higher (.192 vs. RHH, .265 vs. LHH) on the year. The splits align nicely for Meadows.
Given how well he’s seeing the ball and that he’s willing to take what the Guardians give him rather than trying to put each pitch in the seats, I think his success is going to continue in this game.
Guardians vs Tigers same-game parlay (SGP)
Parker Meadows Over 0.5 singles
Tanner Bibee Under 1.5 walks allowed
Under 9.5
Tanner Bibee is very good at attacking the strike zone and limiting walks. He issued multiple free passes in only 12 of his 32 starts this season. There isn’t reason to expect an exception in this contest.
The Tigers do not possess any marquee bats or power hitters you simply have to avoid. This is a contact-hitting team, which should allow Bibee to be aggressive. The Guardians are also playing for their season, meaning Bibee’s leash will be a lot shorter than usual.
Bibee has walked less than two batters in seven of his past eight starts when throwing 90 pitchers or fewer. There’s a very real possibility he throws 60-70 in this game — especially if there's any sign of trouble — and that will lead to fewer at-bats to issue potential walks.
The Guardians and Tigers both ranked Top 5 in bullpen ERA during the regular season. In a high-stakes game such as this, both managers will be putting it to heavy use. No matter which side prevails, it should be a very low-scoring affair.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Guardians vs Tigers odds
Guardians vs Tigers live odds
Guardians vs Tigers opening odds
- Moneyline: Cleveland -119 | Detroit +110
- Run line: Cleveland -1.5 (+151) | Detroit +1.5 (-200)
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 | Under 6.5
Guardians vs Tigers moneyline and Over/Under analysis
- The moneyline has moved slightly towards Detroit since opening. Cleveland is now trading at -117 on Pinnacle.
- We have seen movement on the total in this game. Despite opening at a low number of 6.5, the Under has shifted from +104 to -106.
- Five of the past six games between these two sides have ended with one team being blanked.
Guardians vs Tigers trend
Only one of the past eight head-to-head matchups has featured more than nine runs. Find more MLB betting trends for Guardians vs. Tigers.
Guardians vs Tigers Game 4 info
| Location: | Comerica Park, Detroit, MI |
| Date: | Thursday, 10-10-2024 |
| First pitch: | 6:08 p.m. ET |
| TV: | TNT |
| Guardians starting pitcher: | Tanner Bibee (12-8, 3.47 ERA) |
| Tigers starting pitcher: | TBD |
Guardians vs Tigers latest injuries
Guardians vs Tigers weather
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