The New York Mets look to book a spot in the NLDS with a win over the Milwaukee Brewers in Game 2 of their Wild Card Series.
These teams combined for 12 runs in Game 1, and my Mets vs. Brewers predictions tell you why Game 2 will see just as much offense.
Check it out in my MLB picks for Wednesday, October 2.
Mets vs Brewers prediction
Who will win Mets vs Brewers Game 2?
The Milwaukee Brewers had the New York Mets' number for most of the season, but N.Y. holds all the momentum following a win yesterday. Pair that with a slightly favorable pitching matchup, and I like the Mets to win and wrap up the series today.
My Mets vs Brewers best bet
Over 7.5 (-112 at FanDuel)
My analysis
The Mets and the Brewers had two of the most productive offenses in the majors in 2024, as Milwaukee averaged 4.80 runs per game, with New York right behind it at 4.74.
Today’s pitching matchup doesn’t inspire faith in the Under. The Brewers turn to Frankie Montas, who was acquired at the trade deadline from the Cincinnati Reds. Montas has been better in Milwaukee but still posted a 4.55 ERA in 11 starts with the Brewers.
He continues to serve up too many homers — 10 in just 57 1/3 IP innings with Milwaukee — and has vaguely league-average numbers in most categories.
Meanwhile, today's starter, Sean Manaea, is 12-6 with a 3.47 ERA. Hitters bat just .202 with a .618 OPS against the veteran lefty, but he struggled in his last outing of the season against — you guessed it — Milwaukee. Manaea allowed six runs on seven hits in just 3 2/3 innings of work in a big game for New York.
Manaea shouldn’t be that bad on Wednesday, but it’s hard to imagine the Brewers going out with a whimper, given their offensive success all year long. With the total set at just 7.5 runs and both teams looking poised to light up the scoreboard, take the Over.
Mets vs Brewers same-game parlay (SGP)
Over 7.5
Mets moneyline
Francisco Lindor to record a hit
The Mets have won eight of the last nine times Manaea has taken the mound, and that run of success is poised to continue tonight.
Francisco Lindor continues to rake. He has at least one hit in seven of his last nine games, and I’m taking the MVP candidate to contribute at least one more knock in Game 2.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Mets vs Brewers odds
Mets vs Brewers live odds
Mets vs Brewers opening odds
- Moneyline: New York -105 | Milwaukee -115
- Run line: New York -1.5 (+170) | Milwaukee +1.5 (-205)
- Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-115) | Under 7.5 (-115)
Mets vs Brewers moneyline and Over/Under analysis
- Both teams have been strong on the moneyline this year. The Mets have won 12 units for backers, with the Brewers treating bettors to a profit of 14 units.
- New York went 23-9 in Manaea’s starts his year. Milwaukee is 8-3 when Montas has taken the ball since coming to the Brewers in a mid-season trade.
- New York games are averaging a total of 9.06 runs per game, whole Milwaukees' play to an average total of 8.77.
- According to BetMGM, 76% of totals bettors have sided on the Over, making up 81% of the total betting handle on that market. For which team will win, bettors are backing the Mets moneyline odds with 62% of the bets and eating up 79% of the moneyline odds betting handle for this game.
Mets vs Brewers trend
The Mets have played to totals of eight runs or more in seven of Manaea’s last nine starts. Find more MLB betting trends for Mets vs. Brewers.
Mets vs Brewers Game 2 info
| Location: | American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI |
| Date: | Wednesday, 10-2-2024 |
| First pitch: | 7:38 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ESPN |
| Mets starting pitcher: | Sean Manaea (12-6, 3.47 ERA) |
| Brewers starting pitcher: | Frankie Montas (3-3, 4.55 ERA) |
Mets vs Brewers latest injuries
Mets vs Brewers weather
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