MLB Predictions: Moneyline Picks For Every Opening Day Game

Check out Neil Parker's MLB predictions and moneyline picks for all 14 Opening Day games, featuring the New York Mets starting 1-0 yet again at the expense of the Houston Astros.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Mar 26, 2025 • 15:15 ET • 4 min read
New York Mets MLB Francisco Lindor
Photo By - Imagn Images. New York Mets shortstop Francisco Lindor circles the bases.

The wait is over, and the 2025 MLB season is officially here. 

Opening Day features 28 of 30 teams, and after all kinds of offseason roster moves, it’s finally time for meaningful baseball.

Here are my moneyline MLB picks for all 14 Opening Day games.

Opening Day moneyline picks

Matchup Pick
Brewers Milwaukee Brewers vs Yankees New York Yankees Yankees (-150)
Orioles Baltimore Orioles vs Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays Blue Jays (+103)
Phillies Philadelphia Phillies vs Nationals Washington Nationals Phillies (-165)
Red Sox Boston Red Sox vs Rangers Texas Rangers Red Sox (-114)
Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates vs Marlins Miami Marlins Marlins (+137)
Giants San Francisco Giants vs Reds Cincinnati Reds Reds (-107)
Angels Los Angeles Angels vs White Sox Chicago White Sox Angels (-143)
Guardians Cleveland Guardians vs Royals Kansas City Royals Guardians (+111)
Mets New York Mets vs Astros Houston Astros Mets (+114)
Braves Atlanta Braves vs Padres San Diego Padres Braves (-124)
Twins Minnesota Twins vs Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals Twins (-107)
Tigers Detroit Tigers vs Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers Tigers (+154)
Cubs Chicago Cubs vs Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks Cubs (+119)
Athletics A's vs Mariners Seattle Mariners Mariners (-163)

Lines courtesy of Pinnacle as of 3-26.

Expert Opening Day moneyline picks

Brewers vs. Yankees: Yankees (-150)

The Brewers hit Yankee Stadium with a middling offense, and starter Freddy Peralta was hit hard this spring. New York packs more punch at the dish, and lefty Carlos Rodon has the pitch mix to keep the Brew Crew off balance.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays: Blue Jays (+103)

Toronto was the toast of the Grapefruit League this spring, and Opening Day starter Jose Berrios scattered five earned runs across his 20 2/3 spring innings. Baltimore will miss superstar Gunnar Henderson early, too.

Phillies vs. Nationals: Phillies (-165)

Philadelphia is a World Series contender, and while Washington is moving in the right direction, this is still a sizable mismatch. The Phillies' star power is too much for the Nats on Thursday.

Red Sox vs. Rangers: Red Sox (-114)

Texas veteran Nathan Eovaldi faces a deep and improved Boston lineup, and I’m anticipating Red Sox starter Garrett Crochet picking up where he left off in 2024. Texas ran out a below average offense against southpaws last year, after all.

Pirates vs. Marlins: Marlins (+137)

Sure, the Pirates are sending Cy Young betting favorite Paul Skenes to the hill, but he isn’t going to take care of all 27 outs. Marlins ace Sandy Alcantara showed off this spring and should keep this low-scoring game interesting.

Giants vs. Reds: Reds (-107)

The Reds have the better offense, and as good as Giants ace Logan Webb has been, his ERA has climbed in consecutive seasons. Cincy starter Hunter Greene is a strikeout artist on the ascent, and I’m expecting him to hold the San Fran lineup in check Thursday.

Angels vs. White Sox: Angels (-143)

Chicago didn’t make impact additions during the offseason after finishing with the lowest wRC+ against lefties, and Los Angeles southpaw Yusei Kikuchi was sharp for the Houston Astros down the stretch last season and followed it up with a nice spring. The Angels aren’t world beaters, but they’re not White Sox-level bad, either.

Guardians vs. Royals: Guardians (+111)

Cleveland was sneaky-good against lefties last season with the eighth-highest wRC+ and eighth-lowest strikeout percentage, and Kansas City lefty Cole Ragans recorded a 6.23 ERA and 1.62 WHIP against the Guardians across two starts. 

Mets vs. Astros: Mets (+114)

A pair of new-look clubs hit Daikin Park on Opening Day, and I think the wrong one is the betting favorite. The Mets have a power-packed heart of the order, and the Astros watched franchise cornerstones Kyle Tucker and Alex Bregman pack their bags during the offseason. The Houston lineup is thin.

Braves vs. Padres: Braves (-124)

The Braves and Padres are both postseason hopefuls and feature star-studded rosters. I give Atlanta the edge with lefty Chris Sale coming off a dominant 18-win season and a sharp spring.

Twins vs. Cardinals: Twins (-107)

It was a relatively quiet offseason for both the Twins and Cardinals, and both clubs missed the postseason in 2024. Minnesota has the better lineup, and St. Louis starter Sonny Gray didn’t have it this spring (12.56 ERA with eight home runs allowed), so I’m siding with the visitors at Busch Stadium in the opener.

Tigers vs. Dodgers: Tigers (+154)

Let’s take the long odds with Detroit ace Tarik Skubal. The reigning AL Cy Young winner went 18-4 last year and looked as sharp as ever this spring. Dodgers lefty Blake Snell only pitched 4 2/3 innings this spring and has been a notoriously slow starter during his career. 

Cubs vs. Diamondbacks: Cubs (+119)

Chicago and lefty Justin Steele have a chance to hit the restart button after a tough Tokyo Series to open the year. Arizona had a league-high .334 BABIP against southpaws last season, and I’m expecting the Cubs bats waking up after plating just four runs across their first two games.

A's vs. Mariners: Mariners (-163)

The Mariners averaged 6.6 runs per spring game after plating just 4.2 per last year, and I’m expecting the bats to keep the runs coming against Athletics starter Luis Severino. Seattle counters with Logan Gilbert, and he sports a solid 3.38 ERA and 3.53 xFIP over the past three years. He is followed by a bullpen that respectively ranked ninth and eighth in the metrics in 2024.

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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs with Sportsbook Review, USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook, and RotoWire, among many others. He also co-hosted the Daily Fantasy Edge podcast and can now be seen offering expert golf and hockey advice on Covers’ Before you Bet broadcast.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

Neil’s top pieces of advice for recreational bettors are to stay within your means and to remember sportsbooks aren’t bank accounts. Don’t be afraid to pull those winnings and treat yourself to a lifetime experience courtesy of a big win.

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