The Philadelphia Phillies are looking to hold down a Wild Card spot in the National League as the season hits the stretch run.
With a 73-58 record, Philadelphia is in current possession of the second Wild Card spot. The San Francisco Giants have played their way into irrelevance, falling to 10.5 games back in the Wild Card standings with a 61-68 record.
The Giants have won just two of their last 10 games, while the Phillies have won seven of 10.
Check out our best MLB picks and predictions for Phillies vs. Giants on Saturday, September 3.
Phillies vs Giants odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.
The Giants opened +115 at home. Currently, they reside between +105 and +115 depending on the book. The total has been set at 8 across all locations.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until first pitch and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.
Phillies vs Giants predictions
Picks made on 9/3/2022 at 12:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Phillies vs Giants game info
• Location: Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA
• Date: Saturday, August 3, 2022
• First pitch: 4:05 p.m. ET
• TV: NBC Bay Area, NBCSP, MLBN
Phillies vs Giants betting preview
Starting pitchers
Noah Syndergaard (3-1, 4.40 ERA): Thor had a rough outing against the Pirates in his last appearance, surrendering five earned runs in a loss. He has a 4.40 ERA since joining the Phillies but has a 3.98 ERA on the season. His 4.45 xERA is not a positive sign, and his 17.6% strikeout rate is by far the lowest of his career.
Jakob Junis (4-4, 4.04 ERA): Junis has been just fine for the Giants this season. His 3.85 xERA is encouraging, as is his 3.836 FIP. Both are the lowest marks of his career, so he’s enjoying a breakthrough with San Francisco. He doesn’t get many whiffs (20.9% strikeout rate) but has counteracted that with a low 4.7% walk rate. Last time out, he allowed six earned runs across 4.1 innings against the Twins.
Weather
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Key injuries
Find our latest MLB injury reports.
Betting trend to know
Giants are 6-21 in their last 27 vs. a team with a winning record. Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Giants
Phillies vs Giants picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
Moneyline analysis
The Giants have been in free fall and appear to be just biding time until the end of the season. The team has faltered to a 61-68 overall record, winning just two of its last 10 games. After a promising 2021 season in which the club won 107 games, 2022 has been a crash back down to earth.
The bats have gone lifeless in the Bay, as San Francisco ranks 28th in wOBA and 27th in wRC+ over the last 15 days. With seven straight losses, it’s fair to question when the suffering will end.
The Giants are only 1-10 in their last 11 games against a right-handed starting pitcher. Syndergaard may not be the ace that he once was, but it’s not like Jakob Junis is a tier above him in this matchup.
Think that the Giants have an advantage because they’re playing at home? Think again — San Francisco is 0-5 in its last five games at Oracle Park. They’ve also struggled when playing quality opposition, going just 6-21 in their last 27 games against a team with a winning record.
The Phillies currently hold the second Wild Card bid in the National League. Every game matters to them as they continue toward a playoff push, so this should be a more motivated team than the Giants over the stretch run.
The Phillies are 10-3 in their last 13 road games against a team with a losing record and I’m picking that trend to continue on Saturday afternoon.
Prediction: Phillies moneyline (-125 at WynnBet)
Over/Under analysis
Neither starting pitcher has a very encouraging profile, but neither is terrible, either. Syndergaard isn’t striking out batters anymore, as his 17.6% strikeout rate is a far cry from what it was in his heyday.
Thor doesn’t have a fearsome matchup on Saturday, as the Giants have been ice cold. Ranking 28th in wOBA and 27th in wRC+ over the last 15 days is far from an encouraging sign.
The Under is 5-2 in the Giants’ last seven home games and 6-0 over their last six Game 2s.
The Phillies have been much better offensively lately, ranking fourth in wOBA and sixth in wRC+ over the last 15 days They have been trending to the Over, cashing in four of their last five away games.
So, which way does that lead us?
The Giants lineup has been so lifeless that I can’t take an Over with them at this time. I have to look the other way in this one. Junis’ 3.85 xERA and 3.83 FIP are both good enough that we can expect a bounce-back after a down performance his last time out.
I lean with the Under.
Prediction: Under 8 (-110 at FanDuel)
Best bet
I’m siding with the Phillies as Saturday’s best bet.
The Giants have lost seven straight games and are now far enough out in the Wild Card standings that the team is abandoning its goals of returning to the postseason. That kind of losing streak is a backbreaker.
The Phillies are 7-3 in their last 10 games and continue to surge toward the postseason. I’m taking them on the money line to keep rolling against a flat Giants squad.
Pick: Phillies moneyline (-125 at WynnBet)
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