MLB Player Props & Best Bets Today for April 16: Tucker's a Thumper

Kyle Tucker continues to impress in his first season with the Cubs, and while Nick Pivetta is pitching well, the outfielder can easily clear his hits + runs + RBI prop. It's one of our favorite MLB player props on today's board.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Apr 16, 2025 • 09:30 ET • 4 min read
Kyle Tucker Chicago Cubs MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images.

There’s afternoon baseball on the diamond, and all 30 teams are in play on Wednesday, April 16. 

My top MLB player props have you covered throughout and begin with Milwaukee Brewers lefty Jose Quintana going up against the Detroit Tigers in the early wave before shifting to two more NL Central players later in the slate.

Best MLB player props today

MLB props for April 16

Jose Quintana Under 4.5 strikeouts (+120 at Caesars)

Milwaukee Brewers veteran Jose Quintana was brilliant in his 2025 debut with seven scoreless innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks to open in winning fashion. Still, the 36-year-old lefty only fanned two batters and pitched to contact with Diamondbacks hitters connecting on 94.3% of their swings.

The Detroit Tigers are definitely strikeout happy and have fanned at the ninth-highest rate against lefties (26.4%) to start the season, but Quintana doesn’t profile as a consistent, swing-and-miss hurler. Plus, he isn’t going to limit opposing hitters to a .182 batting average and .200 BABIP long term.

Kyle Tucker Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (+105 at DraftKings)

Chicago Cubs outfielder Kyle Tucker has cleared this benchmark in 13 of 20 games to start the season and sports an elite .398 wOBA, .397 on-base percentage, and .263 ISO against right-handed hurlers dating back to the 2023 campaign.

Additionally, Tucker has been held without a run or RBI through the first two games of this series. That changes this afternoon.

We’re landing a nice price on this prop because San Diego Padres righty Nick Pivetta has been solid to start the season. Still, his .214 BABIP, 6.3% HR/RB rate, and 87.3% strand rate are unsustainable, and the 33-year-old righty’s velocity is down across the board through three 2025 starts.

Nick Martinez Under 17.5 Outs Recorded (-105 at DraftKings)

The Seattle Mariners have traveled well this season and pace the majors in on-base percentage (.366) and sport a second-ranked .349 wOBA on the highway. They also have a solid .325 OBP against righties overall. A big part of the success has been an excellent walk rate (12.0% vs. RHP and 12.1% on the road).

As a result, hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park should be kind to the Seattle bats, and Cincinnati Reds righty Nick Martinez hasn’t been sharp with just 16 1/3 innings across his three starts. While there’s definite improvement coming because his 3.77 xFIP is far below his 6.06 ERA, both his hard-hit rate and barrel percentages are up from last year, too.

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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs with Sportsbook Review, USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook, and RotoWire, among many others. He also co-hosted the Daily Fantasy Edge podcast and can now be seen offering expert golf and hockey advice on Covers’ Before you Bet broadcast.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

Neil’s top pieces of advice for recreational bettors are to stay within your means and to remember sportsbooks aren’t bank accounts. Don’t be afraid to pull those winnings and treat yourself to a lifetime experience courtesy of a big win.

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