All 30 MLB teams are in action this Friday, which means there’s a copious amount of player props to sift through. We’ll highlight our three favorite wagers below, looking around the league for the best player props.
We’ll head to the total bases market for a pair of plays featuring two talented young NL sluggers, then set our sights on hitter-friendly Coors Field for an RBI prop wager.
Check out our favorite MLB player prop picks for July 1.
MLB props for July 1
Picks made on 7/1/2022 at 11:15 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Today’s best MLB prop bets
The odds widgets below represent the best odds currently available for each betting market at regulated sportsbooks.
Soaring Cardinal
Dylan Carlson should keep racking up the hits for the Redbirds, as his team visits the Phillies on Friday night.
Philadelphia will trot out Bailey Falter, a southpaw with an uninspiring 4.50 ERA and 1.40 WHIP through 20 innings of work this year, on the mound. Carlson has had only 45 at-bats against lefties this season but is batting a robust .356, compared to a .231 mark over 160 at-bats against righties. His splits told a similar story in 2021, as Carlson raked against portsiders (.341), but was just decent against orthodox hurlers (.243).
Carlson swung a hot bat over the last week of June, batting an even .400 over 20 at-bats. Five of his eight hits in that sample went for extra bases. If he keeps this up, he could clear the 1.5 total bases line on his first safe hit of the ballgame.
Dylan Carlson prop pick: Over 1.5 total bases (-105)
Red-hot Riley
Austin Riley picked up three hits in the Braves’ getaway game with the Phillies on Thursday, good for his ninth multi-hit game of June and his 14th since May 23. The slugging third baseman should have another successful evening in Cincinnati.
Of his 40 total hits since May 23, 18 went for extra bases, a number which includes his 10 home runs in that 35-game sample.
Riley will matchup with Reds lefty Mike Minor in this spot, and it’s been a nightmarish season so far for the veteran starter. Minor owns a 7.71 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP through five outings (25 2-3 innings). Riley doesn’t figure to make his life any easier, as he’s batting .289 against southpaws in 2022, with 13 of his 22 hits going for extra bases.
With the wind projected to blow out at Great American Ball Park — a notorious haven for hitters — taking Riley to hit a homer is tempting, but we’ll stick with a safer play in the total bases department.
Austin Riley prop pick: Over 1.5 total bases (-130)
Walker's runs
Rockies starter Antonio Senzatela has struggled against the Diamondbacks throughout his career, so it figures to be a long night at Coors Field for him. Christian Walker should be among the Arizona hitters helping to break open the floodgates.
Walker is 10-for-21 lifetime against Senzatela with a pair of homers and five RBI. While he seems like a cinch to get a hit in this tilt, the -340 odds on him to do so are hardly appealing. However, he can take advantage of his teammates’ probable success against Senzatela and tally an RBI.
Ketel Marte and Josh Rojas — who typically set the table for Walker — also have solid career numbers against Senzatela. Marte is 10-for-24 (.417), while Rojas is 5-for-13 (.385).
Of course, Walker could also drive himself in. He has 19 home runs on the campaign, good for third in the National League.
Christian Walker prop pick: Over 0.5 RBI (-130)
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