The Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles close out their divisional series tonight at Muncy Bank Ballpark in Williamsport, PA — the home of the Little League World Series.
After Baltimore prevailed in a 15-10 slugfest on Friday, the Red Sox got the last laugh on Saturday with a 4-3 win at Camden Yards.
Tonight's SNB props include us backing the Over on Cedric Mullins' total bases, fading Austin Hays in a matchup against Nick Pivetta, and taking the returning Enrique Hernandez to drive another runner home.
Be sure to also check out our full game betting analysis for Sunday Night Baseball.
MLB props for Red Sox vs Orioles
Picks made on 8/21/2022 at 10:00 a.m. ET.
The odds widgets below represent the best odds currently available for each betting market at regulated sportsbooks.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Today’s best Red Sox vs Orioles prop bets
Cedric the Entertainer
After hitting just .237 through the first 50 games of the season, Cedric Mullins is back to looking more like his 2021 self and has since bumped his batting average up to .265.
For the month of August, the Orioles' centerfielder is slashing .323/.377/.581 and has recorded a hit in seven of his last nine games. In 21 at bats against Red Sox starter Nick Pivetta, Mullins is hitting .381/.409/.619 with three extra-base hits.
Mullins has only drawn one walk during that span, which makes sense as his BB rate ranks below the league average this season. Considering walks don't count when it comes to total bases, this works further to our advantage as we hammer the Over tonight.
Pick: Mullins Over 1.5 total bases (+110 at bet365)
Fade Hays
While Cedric Mullins has a fantastic track record against Pivetta, Austin Hays fares the opposite.
Hays is 0/13 against Pivetta in his career, with five of those at bats resulting in a strikeout. In the last 28 days, Hays is hitting just .213 with 16 hits in 82 PA. The 27-year-old outfielder ranks horribly in chase rate according to BaseballSavant, as evidenced by his 90 Ks in 444 plate appearances this season.
I expect Pivetta to dominate Hays again tonight, so it'll come down to O's outfielder getting a hit against Boston's bullpen. At +165 value, I'm willing to take that risk.
Pick: Hays Under 0.5 hits (+165 at bet365)
Kiké, do you love me
Enrique Hernandez missed most of June and all of July with a hip flexor strain. Hernandez returned to the Red Sox lineup on Aug. 16 and, in the four games since, has 6 RBI.
Hernandez is not a guy who will hit for average but has been known to come up with clutch hits with men in scoring position. Last night, Hernandez went deep over the vaunted Camden Yards left field wall. Although Hernandez was hitting seventh on Saturday, he follows Rafael Devers, J.D. Martinez, and Eric Hosmer in the lineup.
Tonight, Dean Kremer takes the mound for Baltimore. Kremer holds a respectable 3.58 ERA on the year, but the Orioles' right-hander allowed six runs through 5 2-3 innings against Boston just 10 days ago. Kremer relies mainly on a fastball and cutter, and Hernandez is crushing the cutter in 2022 (.316 BA).
I'm expecting the Red Sox to get their fare share runners on base tonight, so Hernandez should be able to drive at least one runner home on the big stage. For all we know, it may be himself crossing the plate on another longball.
Pick: Hernandez Over 0.5 RBI (+165 at bet365)
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