The Colorado Rockies visit the San Diego Padres in an intra-division, four-game series. The Rockies are fresh off winning two of three from another NL West team, the San Francisco Giants.
The Padres spent the last few days beating up on the New York Mets, winning two of the three games while outscoring New York 25-13, which puts San Diego two games behind the division-leading Dodgers.
The Rockies are in last place, but are proving to be a tough out. Can they continue their success and win their third of four games? Or will the Padres show them why they are in the NL West cellar? Find out what we think with our free MLB betting picks and predictions for Rockies vs. Padres on Friday, June 10.
Rockies vs Padres odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.
The Padres are an overwhelming favorite, opening at -238 and going up to -250 at most sportsbooks. The Rockies opened at +205 but the line has gone up as high as +225. The total has stayed at 7, with the Over at -118 and the Under at +100.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until first pitch and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.
Rockies vs Padres predictions
Picks made on 6/10/2022 at 7:15 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Rockies vs Padres game info
• Location: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
• Date: Friday, June 10, 2022
• First pitch: 9:40 p.m. ET
• TV: AT&T SportsNet Rocky Mountains, Bally Sports San Diego
Rockies vs Padres betting preview
Starting pitchers
Chad Kuhl (4-2, 3.17 ERA): The 29-year-old right-hander has had three straight quality starts, dropping his ERA from 3.86 to 3.17. He most recently went six innings against the Braves, allowing no runs and five hits while striking out three. In the other two starts, he went a combined 10.2 innings, allowing three runs on 12 hits while striking out eight.
Joe Musgrove (6-0, 1.60 ERA): Musgrove has been brilliant this season and his manager, Bob Melvin, suggested he is the best pitcher in baseball right now. It’s hard to argue against the 29-year-old right-hander. Musgrove is fourth in the majors in ERA and seventh in WHIP at 0.92. In his last start, against the Brewers, he had a no-hitter through 7.2 innings before surrendering a single. His 10th quality start to start a season tied a franchise record set in 1991 by Dennis Rasmussen.
Weather
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.
Key injuries
Rockies: Kris Bryant OF (Out), Ryan Rolison P (Out), Scott Oberg RP (Out).
Padres: Fernando Tatis SS (Out), Matt Beaty 1B (Out), Wil Myers OF (Out), Robert Suarez RP (Out), Drew Pomeranz RP (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Rockies are 2-9 in their last Game 1s of a series. Find more MLB betting trends for Rockies vs. Padres
Rockies vs Padres picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
Run line analysis
Both the Colorado Rockies and San Diego Padres come into this four-game series having taken two of three from their previous opponent. Oddsmakers, however, have the Padres a strong favorite at -250 so betting San Diego on the moneyline provides little value.
Instead, taking the run line at +105 is a much more potentially profitable bet. The Padres have been winning their previous games by at least two runs — six of their last seven to be exact.
They’ll face a challenge with Rockies ace Chad Kuhl — about the only bright spot in Colorado’s starting pitching rotation. Kuhl began strong, winning three of his first four starts, but cooled in May, going 4.2, 3.0, and 4.1 innings in three of five starts.
Kuhl has turned it around a bit in his last two appearances, allowing just two runs in those contests. Still, Kuhl will have to contend with a Padres offense that seems to have woken up.
San Diego hung 13 and seven runs on the NL East-leading Mets a week ago and outscored the Brewers 21-9 in the series before that. Both of those teams are stronger than the Rockies, so producing similar lopsided victories shouldn’t be an issue.
Prediction: Padres -1.5 (+105 at FanDuel)
Over/Under analysis
With all the offense the Rockies and Padres can bring, I’m putting my faith in the pitchers to keep this game Under seven runs. Both Kuhl and Musgrove have put in solid performances as of late and one or both should be able to keep their opponent’s bats in check.
Musgrove ‘s a lockdown liability. He’s allowed seven runs in his last six games. He can litter hits all over a scoresheet, but manages to leave them on base. He’s also not susceptible to home runs, allowing only four all season.
Kuhl isn’t in Musgrove’s class, but he’s not far off. Colorado’s starter was roughed up twice in May by the San Francisco Giants, allowing five runs in both games, but his other four starts have been stellar, allowing just four runs collectively. He’s another hurler that doesn’t yield a lot of homers, with just five on the season.
It’s concerning that both the Rockies and Padres have been knocking the stuffing out of the ball lately, each scoring five or more runs in four of their last eight. The trends, however, favor the Under, which is 7-3 in the last 10 between the two teams, and 11-5 in the last 16 in San Diego.
The Rockies have hit the Under in three of their last four against division opponents, while the Padres have hit the Under five of the last six against teams with a losing record, and six of their last nine as the favorite.
Prediction: Under 7 (+100 at WynnBET)
Best bet
Chad Kuhl might not get a win in Friday’s game against the Padres, but the Colorado righty should get some strikeouts. Kuhl is in the Top 20 percentile with a K/9 of 6.8 through 54 innings this season.
The Padres should be willing participants — tied for 11th in the majors for the most strikeouts with 485. They average 8.5 strikeouts per game.
Kuhl has been lasting longer in games, which should help him get to more than five strikeouts. Kuhl is averaging five or more innings per start and went more than six innings in each of his last two starts.
Pick: Chad Kuhl Over 5 strikeouts (+176 at DraftKings)
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