Freddie Freeman Props: Will Dodgers Slugger Hit Home Run in 5th Straight World Series Game?

Freddie Freeman made history by hitting a home run in each of the first four games of the 2024 World Series. While I love magic as much as the next guy, I can't bank on him to make it five in a row.

Jason Wilson - Publishing Editor at Covers.com
Jason Wilson • Publishing Editor
Oct 30, 2024 • 12:50 ET • 4 min read
Freddie Freeman Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
Photo By - Photo By - Imagn Images.

With his first-inning home run on Tuesday night, Los Angeles Dodgers first baseman Freddie Freeman made history by becoming the first player in MLB history to hit a home run in each of the first four games of a single World Series.

Dating back to his 2020 run with the Atlanta Braves, Freeman has cleared the fence in each of his last six total World Series games.

The inevitable question for our Dodgers vs. Yankees predictions and MLB picks now is, will the favorite in the World Series MVP odds race hit a home run in a fifth straight game in the 2024 Fall Classic?

Freddie Freeman home run odds

Prediction: Under 0.5 home runs (-700 at BetMGM)

Freddie Freeman entered the World Series looking like a shell of himself. A hobbled ankle kept him out of the starting lineup twice during the NLCS vs. the New York Mets, and it seemed entirely possible, if not likely, that he'd be an afterthought in the Fall Classic.

Well, the World Series is a magical time and he has done his best Kirk Gibson impression by homering in all four games against the New York Yankees, all starting with his walk-off grand slam in Game 1 that will be shown in highlight packages for years to come.

Magical or not, I'm not banking on the Los Angeles Dodgers star to do it again. Game 4 starter Luis Gil has considerably worse command than Yankees ace Gerrit Cole, who toes the rubber tonight. I expect Cole to do everything in his power to avoid allowing Freeman to get to him.

Freeman was technically awarded a triple in his first AB vs. Cole in Game 1, but he barely made contact, flipping it to left field, where it bounced down the line and caromed off the wall, fooling outfielder Alex Verdugo in the process. At best, it should have been a double... and a fluky one at that.

A better betting market to target for Freeman

This is to say Cole won't get beat by Freeman. Not like that, anyway. Instead of going for or against the long ball — no one is betting -700 on Freddie Freeman home run odds and nor should they — I would rather target an MLB player props market like Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI, which can be had at -110 at BetMGM. Conversely, Over 1.5 total bases is a robust +145.

Freeman does not strike out often anyway, and he's been even more consistent at making contact and more aggressive with his swing (walking in 4.0% of his playoff plate appearances compared to 12.2% in the regular season). Small sample size, sure, but he benefits from hitting behind Mookie Betts and Shohei Ohtani. He could drive one of those guys in with a home run, but, more likely, he could get the job done with a clutch single or double. 

I'll tip my cap to Freeman if he can find the bleachers once more. He's already cemented his legacy in baseball lore and it's certainly not out of the question. But when banking on probabilities, this has simply never happened before and I'd want longer odds than +500 to make any significant wager on history being made.

Best bets: Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 H+R+RBI (-110 at BetMGM) and Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 total bases (+145 at BetMGM)

Covers MLB betting tools

Pages related to this topic

Jason Wilson Covers.com
Publishing Editor

Jason Wilson is an experienced journalist who has worked in a variety of roles within the industry for the past 18 years. Working at community newspapers in New Brunswick, Jason wore many hats as a reporter, editor, and photographer, covering everything from sports to courts to municipal politics. After shifting gears and working as an educator for a few years in the 2010s, Jason returned to full-time work in media as an MLB news editor for six years at theScore in Toronto before joining Covers in late 2021.

He has honed his editorial acumen over his years in the industry, showcasing flexibility, patience, and a strong work ethic. While he was relatively new to sports betting upon joining Covers, Jason has taken the plunge with gusto to learn the ins and outs of the industry, both as a method to improve professionally and to add an extra angle to his sports fandom.

In addition to sports, Jason is an avid film nut and former movie critic who monitors the Academy Awards betting odds for Covers. Jason holds a Bachelor of Arts in journalism degree and a Bachelor of Education degree from St. Thomas University.

Popular Content

Legal Canadian sports betting

Best Canadian betting sites Ontario sports betting
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo