It's back to square one for the NASCAR circuit, as the drivers once again gear up for the madness of Daytona International Speedway as this weekend's Coke Zero Sugar odds take shape.
Tyler Reddick has been on an utter heater over the past two months, and has overtaken the NASCAR Cup Series odds lead. Can he win again on a superspeedway after taking Talladega in the spring?
Check out this week's NASCAR odds and our Coke Zero Sugar 400 betting picks for the Saturday, August 24 race.
Odds to win 2024 Coke Zero Sugar 400
| Driver |  |
 |
 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | +1,200 | +1,200 | +1,300 |
| Brad Keselowski | +1,200 | +1,300 | +1,300 |
| Ryan Blaney | +1,200 | +1,200 | +1,300 |
| Joey Logano | +1,200 | +1,200 | +1,300 |
| Chase Elliott | +1,400 | +1,600 | +1,700 |
| Kyle Busch | +1,400 | +1,600 | +1,700 |
| Bubba Wallace | +1,400 | +1,600 | +1,700 |
| William Byron | +1,400 | +1,600 | +1,700 |
| Michael McDowell | +1,500 | +1,600 | +2,100 |
| Chris Buescher | +1,600 | +1,600 | +1,700 |
| Ross Chastain | +1,800 | +2,200 | +2,700 |
| Kyle Larson | +1,800 | +1,800 | +2,100 |
| Christopher Bell | +2,200 | +2,000 | +2,100 |
| Tyler Reddick | +2,200 | +2,000 | +2,100 |
| Martin Truex Jr. | +2,200 | +2,200 | +2,700 |
| Alex Bowman | +2,500 | +2,200 | +2,700 |
| Ty Gibbs | +2,800 | +2,500 | +2,700 |
| Austin Cindric | +3,000 | +3,000 | +2,700 |
| Todd Gilliland | +3,000 | +4,000 | +3,200 |
| Austin Dillon | +3,000 | +4,000 | +4,400 |
Odds as of 8-24-2024.
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Coke Zero Sugar 400 field
Denny Hamlin sits atop Coke Zero Sugar 400 odds boards at most major outlets, and understandably so. The three-time Daytona 500 champ has been a perennial superspeedway beast, despite disappointing results on the high-variance tracks this season. He rebounded from his worst stretch of the season to finish second in two fo the past four races.
Superspeedway specialist Brad Keselowski likewise finds himself with co-favorite status at multiple books. Keselowski broke a three-year winless streak earlier this season, and he's a past Daytona champ who finished second at Talladega in the spring.
Defending Cup Series champ Ryan Blaney can also count himself among the favorites. Blaney won this race in 2021 and has two wins in as many months this season.
Overall, the unpredictable nature of superspeedways leads itself to a more neutral odds distribution, with no drivers opening below +1,100 at major sportsbooks. Other tracks would typically see multiple drivers (often as many as nine or 10) available below that number, meaning the track will make for a much more level battlefield on Sunday.
Coke Zero Sugar 400 expert picks and predictions
Odds listed below courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook as of 8-21-2024.
Coke Zero Sugar 400 pre-qualifying favorites
Brad Keselowski (+1,100)
He was in the Top 2 with five laps left last February, was runner-up in Atlanta 1 and here last year, fifth in Talladega and sixth in Atlanta 2. If not for rain in the summer race at Atlanta, Keselowski likely wins. This year, Keselowski was 33rd at both Daytona and Atlanta, but runner-up in Talladega.
Ryan Blaney (+1,200)
Blaney’s superspeedway finishes a year ago were eighth, seventh, second, ninth, 36th, and first. This year, he finished 30th, second and seventh, respectively.
Kyle Busch (+1,400)
Worth a look. Coming into this race last year, he had finished 20th or worse in seven of his last 10 Daytona starts. He then nearly won the last two Daytona 500s. Busch finished 12th, third, and 26th this season on superspeedway tracks after finishing 10th and fifth in Atlanta last year, seventh in this race last year, and winning the 2023 spring Talladega event.
Coke Zero Sugar 400 sleepers
Bubba Wallace (+1,600)
The bad? His superspeedway finishes a year ago were 20th, 27th, 28th, 25th, 12th, and 23rd respectively. This year, he’s finished fifth, fifth, and 36th, respectively. He has a shot.
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (+3,500)
31st, sixth and fourth, respectively, on superspeedways for last year’s Daytona 500 champion. Could be worth the play.
Chase Briscoe (+3,500)
10th in the Daytona 500, a pole and 67 laps led in this race last year. Watch out for Briscoe Saturday night. He also finished 12th this spring in Talladega.
Noah Gragson (+3,500)
This car he’s driving has been fast, including a front-row start and third-place finish last season. In the August race of 2022, Gragson finished fifth. He’s won an Xfinity Series race at Daytona as well as the 2022 NXS race at Talladega, too. He finished ninth in the Daytona 500 and third this year at Talladega.
Coke Zero Sugar 400 fades
Hendrick Motorsports
They're tied with the Wood Brothers for most Daytona wins in the NASCAR Cup Series at Daytona. Each have 15. Both have also won those 15 races with seven different drivers. However, HMS’ once-dominance prowess has since cooled. They won 11 races between 1995 and 2015. In fact, seven of those 11 occurred from July 2004 and July 2015. They’ve won this race six times.
Since 2016 though, they have just one win. What’s bizarre is, it’s not like they’ve shown up here without speed. They’ve arguably had the fastest cars off the truck. It’s just that they’ve not had race day speed to correlate with race day handling. Hendrick Motorsports teammates Kyle Larson and Chase Elliott shared the front row of this race in 2022. It was actually the fourth-straight HMS pole at Daytona and 12th in the last 18 tries on the high banked 2.5-mile Florida superspeedway.
Still, HMS failed to win, with just one victory in the last 17 Daytona races now.
- Chase Elliott (+1,400) He was 38th, 12th, 13th and fourth on drafting tracks last year. He’s finished 30th or worse in almost half of his 16 Daytona starts. He was 14th in the Daytona 500, 15th in Atlanta, and 15th at Talladega.
- William Byron (+1,600) The last two times for a Daytona sweep? 1982 and 2013. Buddy Baker and Jimmie Johnson accomplished those feats. I don’t see Byron adding his name to that list on Saturday night. However, he has three Top-8 finishes in his last six Coke Zero Sugar 400 starts and first, 18th and seventh, on superspeedways this season.
- Kyle Larson (+1,800) has never won a superspeedway race and has just one Top-5 finish in 44 starts on them, at that. At Daytona, he finished 32nd, 37th, 18th, 27th and 11th, respectively in his last five tries.
- Alex Bowman (+2,000) is always quick on superspeedways but he has just two Top-5 finishes in his career at Daytona. He has two Top-4 finishes in the three drafting track starts this season, but do you trust him and HMS?
Denny Hamlin (+1,100)
He's never won the summer Daytona race, and his four superspeedway finishes this season are 17th, sixth, 17th, and 14th, respectively.
Joey Logano (+1,200)
He’s finished 32nd, 28th, and 19th, respectively, on drafting tracks this season.
Martin Truex Jr. (+1,800)
He’s 0-for-82 in drafting races — if you include both Atlanta events since they converted to this package — and has scored just six Top 5s in those 82 starts. He has just three Top 5s in 38 points-paying Daytona tries at that.
Coke Zero Sugar 400 prop pick
Erik Jones Top-5 finish
He won this race in 2018 and won the Clash in 2020. He also had a Top 5 going in the 2022 and 2023 Daytona 500 before being caught up in that late race crashes. His last seven superspeedway finishes are eighth, sixth, 11th, 18th, eighth, 25th and 35th, respectively.
Pick: Erik Jones Top-5 finish (+800 at bet365)
Popular motor sports futures odds
Daytona International Speedway track analysis
While it’s a superspeedway, it differs from Talladega. It’s .16 miles shorter and not as wide either. The most you can get is three-wide on this track, but even that gets hairy. The race looks like Talladega though in terms of a pack race with similar strategy. It’s more about handling and drafting help rather than outright speed.
Winning at one of NASCAR’s most prestigious tracks, Daytona International Speedway, is a major accomplishment too. So, it’s not all that surprising that the Top 10 winningest drivers at Daytona are all also in the NASCAR Hall of Fame.
For the Coke Zero Sugar 400, three of the last seven winners have earned their first career Cup victories — one of the other three was just his second.
For the Daytona 500, Denny Hamlin has won three of the last nine years but the other five winners were Austin Dillon (second career win), Kurt Busch (first career restrictor plate win), Michael McDowell (first career Cup win), Austin Cindric (first career Cup win), Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (third career win) and William Byron (third tapered spacer win).
Coke Zero Sugar 400 trends
- Each of the last 17 Daytona winners started fifth on back. Only one Daytona pole winner has won here since 2011 (Dale Earnhardt Jr. 2016).
- None of the last 14 points-paying Daytona races were won by a series champion entering that race.
- There have been 14 different winners in the last 14 Coke Zero Sugar 400s.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Previous Coke Zero Sugar 400 winners
Repeat winners in this race have been hard to come by, with 14 different winners in the last 14 Coke Zero Sugar 400s.
| Year | Winner |
| 2023 | Chris Buescher |
| 2022 | Austin Dillon |
| 2021 | Ryan Blney |
| 2020 | William Byron |
| 2019 | Justin Haley |
| 2018 | Erik Jones |
| 2017 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 2016 | Brad Keselowski |
| 2015 | Dale Earnhardt Jr. |
| 2014 | Aric Almirola |
How to make Coke Zero Sugar 400 picks
NASCAR betting is a nuanced process that can take any number of factors into account, and spans several different types of bets. Fortunately, our How to Bet NASCAR guide walks you through the basics, including how to read odds, different markets that are available, and what to consider when making your bets.
