NASCAR Pennzoil 400 Predictions, Odds & Race Preview — Las Vegas Motor Speedway

Christopher Bell became the first driver to win three straight races since 2021 last Sunday, and he'll try for a fourth straight victory in the Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas. But is he the best bet on the board?

Eric Smith - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Eric Smith • Betting Analyst
Mar 15, 2025 • 06:00 ET • 4 min read
NASCAR Cup Series Christopher Bell
Photo By - Imagn Images. NASCAR Cup Series driver Christopher Bell celebrates his third straight win at Phoenix.

Christopher Bell will try to make some NASCAR Cup Series history when the drivers descend on Las Vegas Motor Speedway this Sunday, March 16. If he wins his fourth straight race, he'll be the first driver since Bill Elliott (1992) to win four of the first five races of a season.

Will Bell top our free betting picks for the Pennzoil 400? Keep reading to see your best course of action for attacking the first traditional 1.5-mile speedway race of the season.

Odds to win 2025 Pennzoil 400

Driver DraftKings
Christopher Bell +400
Kyle Larson +400
Tyler Reddick +650
William Byron +750
Denny Hamlin +850
Joey Logano +1100
Ryan Blaney +1200
Kyle Busch +1600
Chase Elliott +1800
Ross Chastain +2200
Chase Briscoe +2200
Alex Bowman +2500
Ty Gibbs +3000
Bubba Wallace +3000
Brad Keselowski +3500
Chris Buescher +4500
Daniel Suarez +4500
Carson Hocevar +7000
Austin Cindric +7000
Josh Berry +10000

Odds as of 3-15.

Pennzoil 400 field

The Pennzoil 400 will see the shortest field of the season with only 36 drivers entering. Christopher Bell opened as a +400 co-favorite with Kyle Larson, who is still in search of his first win of 2025. However, he's been third in two straight "left turn only" races and has two wins here in his last four spring attempts.

Rounding out the five drivers at less than +1000 in the pre-qualifying betting are Tyler Reddick, William Byron, and Denny Hamlin. 

Pennzoil 400 expert picks and predictions

Odds listed below courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook as of 3-15.

Pennzoil 400 pre-qualifying favorites

Christopher Bell (+400)
Can Christopher Bell win four straight races on the season? He has five Top-10 finishes in his last seven Vegas starts, including a fifth-place run in the 2023 spring race and a runner-up the last two Fall races, leading 61 laps in 2023 and 155 last year. On a like track at Kansas, Bell also was fifth and third in 2022 and 36th and eighth in 2023 and finished seventh from the pole at Kansas last Fall. 

Kyle Larson (+400)
Kyle Larson finished runner-up (second in both stages, too) after leading 63 laps in the 2023 spring race and won last spring for his fourth straight Top-2 finish in the spring race. In the 2023 fall race, Larson swept both stages and led a race-high 133 of 267 laps in victory.  He finished 11th last fall. At Kansas, a like track, he was second and fourth, respectively, in 2023 and won the spring race last year.

Tyler Reddick (+650)
Tyler Reddick drives a Toyota and was runner-up last spring and qualified second last fall. He has speed and can deliver. 

William Byron (+750)
William Byron dominated the 2023 spring race to the tune of sweeping both stages, leading 176 of 271 laps, and winning. Byron was 10th last spring and fourth last fall. He was seventh in the playoff race in 2023, netting him five Top-7 finishes in his last six Vegas starts. He was also third and 15th in the two Kansas races in the 2023 season and finished runner-up last fall.

Pennzoil 400 sleepers

Kyle Busch (+1600)
Kyle Busch has a pair of third-place finishes in his last five Las Vegas starts to go along with six Top-6 finishes in the last nine overall. He chopped his deficit last year in half going form 26th in the spring to 13th in the fall. At a like track in Kansas in 2023, Busch was also 35th and seventh, respectively. He had a potential victory taken away while leading late in the Kansas race last fall. 

Ross Chastain (+2200)
Too good to ignore at Vegas, especially after a Kansas win last Fall. Ross Chastain has four Top-5 finishes in his last six tries, including results of third and second in 2022 and fourth last spring. He led 151 laps on this track in 2022 and finished seventh in the 2023 fall race.

Alex Bowman (+2500)
He’s finished in the Top-3 the last two spring races, including a 2022 win. He was fifth last fall. At Kansas, Alex Bowman finished ninth, fourth, 10th, seventh, and sixth in the last five races.

Daniel Suarez (+4500)
He finished 11th and third, respectively, last year. Worth a look. In the fall, Daniel Suarez led 57 laps. 

Pennzoil 400 fades

Joey Logano (+1100) 
Joey Logano won the 2022 and 2024 playoff races but those are his only Top-5 finishes in his last nine Vegas starts. He’s also finished 14th, 36th, 12th, and ninth here in the Next Gen car. 

Ryan Blaney (+1200) 
Ryan Blaney has 10 Top-7 finishes in his last 16 starts in Vegas. While he was sixth in the 2023 Fall race and third last spring, his other four Next Gen finishes are 36th, 28th, 13th and 32nd. At Kansas, he finished 16th, 12th, 12th, and fourth in his last four starts. 

Chase Elliott (+1800) 
Prior to a runner-up in the 2021 playoff race, Chase Elliott had just two career Top 5s on this track. He was 21st and 32nd in 2023 without a lap led or stage point accumulated. Seven of his 15 Vegas finishes are 21st or worse. He was only 29th, 11th, seventh, sixth, third, and ninth at Kansas with the Next Gen car, too. 

Pennzoil 400 prop pick: Denny Hamlin Top 3 Finish

While Denny Hamlin has just one win in 26 Las Vegas starts, he does have four Top-5 finishes in his last eight starts, including results of 11th and 10th in 2023 and eighth in both races last year. He’s led 379 of his 397 career Vegas laps in this span too. Also, he has finished fourth, second, first, second, and eighth in his five Kansas Speedway tries, the closest track comparison to Las Vegas, with the Next Gen car.

Pick: Denny Hamlin Top 3 Finish (+250 at DraftKings)

Popular motor sports futures odds

Las Vegas Motor Speedway track analysis

Las Vegas has become a track that's produced a ton of lead changes lately. It has character with some bumps in the turns and has morphed into a track that can reward pit strategy in the event you can take two tires later, or even gamble with fuel only.

It's no secret, when you come to the four annual stops between Las Vegas and Kansas, you have to go through Hendrick Motorsports and Toyotas in general if you want to win on these 1.5-mile tracks. 

Toyota's led 397 of 802 laps in the last three Kansas spring races and 317 of 802 in the fall. Hendrick Motorsports led 164 of the same 534 laps in the pair of Kansas spring races and 292 of the 802 in the fall. 

For Vegas, their records are just as good. In the last two spring races, Toyota led 123 of 541 laps while HMS led 292 laps themselves.

  • There’s only been two polesitters to ever win in Vegas history (33 races). They were Kyle Busch back in 2009 and Kyle Larson in the Fall of 2023.
  • Of the last 28 Vegas races, 23 were won by a past champion.
  • Penske, SHR, HMS, and JGR/Furniture Row have won the 18 of the last 19 Vegas races. Roush/Fenway Racing's Carl Edwards was the exception in 2011.

Not intended for use in MA.
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Pennzoil 400 info

Location: Las Vegas Motor Speedway, Las Vegas, NV
Date: Sunday, 3-16-2025
Start time: 3:30 p.m. ET
TV: FS1

Previous Pennzoil 400 winners

Hendrick Motorsports has taken each of the last four spring races at Las Vegas. Prior to that, Ford had taken four of the last five renewals of this race, with Martin Truex Jr.'s victory in a Toyota interrupting that run in 2017.

Year Winner
2024 Kyle Larson
2023 William Byron
2022 Alex Bowman
2021 Kyle Larson
2020 Joey Logano
2019 Joey Logano
2018 Kevin Harvick
2017 Martin Truex Jr.
2016 Brad Keselowski
2015 Kevin Harvick

How to make Pennzoil 400 picks

NASCAR betting is a nuanced process that can take any number of factors into account, and spans several different types of bets. Fortunately, our How to Bet NASCAR guide walks you through the basics, including how to read odds, different markets that are available, and what to consider when making your bets. 

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Eric Smith - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Eric Smith has over a decade of experience in motorsports. Beginning with Bleacher Report in 2011 to becoming a nationally accredited motorsports journalist, Eric has been featured in numerous publications. His love of the sport helped spark a path to Covers in 2019 as an auto racing analyst providing insights into how to bet and who to be on the NASCAR scene.

NASCAR is a unique sport to wager on with the percentages of a win less than the 50-50 venture of stick-and-ball sports. However, Eric found a method to wager on multiple drivers to come away profitable in the end. His experience in the sport and his aforementioned technique has allowed Eric to decipher pages of data to compute a winner at a 70% clip.

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