Losers of four straight — including the first three of a five-game homestand — it doesn’t get any easier for the Miami Heat, who host a Los Angeles Clippers side Wednesday that's owned them of late.
The Clippers are coming off a loss to the Pelicans on Tuesday, and will be playing the second night of a back-to-back, a big reason why they’re 2.5-point road dogs in the NBA odds.
Our Clippers vs. Heat predictions and NBA picks think both teams will lack the offensive juice to top the Over at the Kaseya Center.
Clippers vs Heat prediction
My best bet: Under 209.5 (-110 at bet365)
My analysis
The Miami Heat are coming off an embarrassing 105-102 loss to the Hornets — a team in extended garbage time since before the All-Star break. Offense continues to be an issue for the Heat, who only average 110 points on the season, which ranks 25th.
During this four-game slide, the Heat haven’t been able to crack the 110-point plateau, averaging 105.5 points, shooting 44.4% from the field and 34.7% from 3-point range. Even a Top-7 defense that’s allowed 110.5 points per game can’t bail them out.
The Los Angeles Clippers enter Wednesday with their modest 3-game win streak cooked with a 127-120 loss to the Pelicans, another team that wants to lose more in a lost season.
If there’s a soft spot for them to land, it’s in Miami, as they’ve beaten the Heat three straight games while running a sharp 8-2 record against the spread in the last 10 matchups.
However, there’s a major shortage offensively for them, as Norman Powell (hamstring) is still about 10 days away from being re-evaluated, while Ben Simmons (knee) didn’t come on the trip and Drew Eubanks (hip) missed the NOLA game and his status is still unknown for Miami.
This is all on top of Kawhi Leonard not yet being cleared to play back-to-back games.
The Clippers aren’t a great team on the second night of a back-to-back, going just 5-8 ATS. Then again, Miami isn’t great at capitalizing, going 6-6 ATS when they have a rest advantage.
That leads me to the total: L.A. has cashed the Under in nine of their 13 games playing on a consecutive night, while Miami’s stagnant offense had led them to a 5-0 Under record in its last five. In their only game this season, the teams combined for just 207 points in an L.A. 109-98 win.
Clippers vs Heat same-game parlay
We’re focusing on the big men for our SGP. Bam Adebayo has been one of the few offensive bright spots for the Heat, and he should continue that role Wednesday. He's led the team in scoring in six straight games and scored 22+ points in five. He should be around his 19.5-point line again against L.A.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Clippers vs Heat odds
Clippers vs Heat live odds
Clippers vs Heat opening odds
- Spread: Los Angeles -1 | Miami +1
- Moneyline: Los Angeles -115 | Miami -105
- Over/Under: Over 212.5 | Under 212.5
Odds courtesy of bet365.
Clippers vs Heat spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Heat are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games.
- The Clippers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games.
- L.A. has cashed the Over in four of its last five games.
- These teams have gone Under the total in four straight meetings.
Clippers vs Heat trend
The Clippers have won seven of the lat 10 meetings. Find more NBA betting trends for Clippers vs. Heat.
How to watch Clippers vs Heat
Location | Kaseya Center, Miami, FL |
Date | Wednesday, 3-12-2025 |
Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
TV | FanDuel Sports Network SoCal, FanDuel Sports Network - Sun |
Clippers vs Heat latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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