2025 NBA Draft Odds: Who Will Win the Cooper Flagg Lottery?

With the NBA almost at the All-Star break, the race to finish at the bottom — and have the best chance at getting Duke star Cooper Flagg — is almost as captivating as the race to finish first.

Jared Hochman - Content Manager at Covers.com
Jared Hochman • Content Manager
Feb 10, 2025 • 14:23 ET • 5 min read
2025 NBA Draft betting odds Cooper Flagg
Photo By - Imagn Images. Duke Blue Devils guard Cooper Flagg (2) drives against Syracuse Orange forward Jyare Davis (13).

We're almost at the NBA All-Star break, which means that NBA Draft betting odds are starting to come into focus.

The goal is simple: Get the first-overall pick and land Cooper Flagg. However, draft position will be important as there are several other impactful players available... but the Duke star is the clear gem of this draft class.

There aren't many draft markets available yet, but here are the latest NBA odds around the 2025 NBA Draft.

2025 NBA Draft odds to go No. 1

Player School DraftKings
Cooper Flagg Duke Duke -2500
Dylan Harper Rutgers Rutgers +1200
Ace Bailey Rutgers Rutgers +2500
Kasparas Jakucionis Illinois Illinois +5000
VJ Edgecombe Baylor Baylor +5000
Tre Johnson Texas Texas  +7500
Egor Demin BYU BYU +7500
Nolan Traore France Saint-Quentin Basket-Ball +10000
Derik Queen Maryland Maryland +10000
Liam McNeeley UConn UConn +25000
Asa Newell Georgia Georgia +25000
Collin Murray-Boyles NFC South Carolina +30000
Khaman Maluach Duke Duke +50000
Jeremiah Fears Oklahoma Oklahoma +50000
Kon Knueppel Duke Duke +50000

Barring some disaster (and/or Cooper Flagg deciding to stay at Duke), the sensational Blue Devils freshman will be the first-overall pick, with his -2500 odds representing an implied probability of 96.15%.

The 6-foot-9 wing is averaging 19.5 points, 7.7 rebounds, and 4.0 assists for the Blue Devils this year, putting him firmly ahead of Rutgers' dynamic duo in Dylan Harper and Ace Bailey, who are 12/1 and 25/1 to go No. 1.

2025 NBA Draft odds to select Cooper Flagg

Player Record DraftKings
Wizards Wizards 9-43 +550
Pelicans Pelicans 12-39 +550
Mavericks Jazz 12-40 +550
Hornets Hornets 13-37 +550
Nets Nets 18-34 +750
Raptors Raptors 16-37 +850
Bulls Bulls 22-31 +1200
Trail Blazers Trail Blazers 23-30 +1300
Spurs Spurs 22-28 +1800
76ers 76ers 20-32 +2800
Rockets Rockets 33-20 +5000
Kings Kings 26-26 +6500
Pistons Pistons 27-26 +10000
Warriors Warriors 26-26 +12000
Hoffenheim Mavericks 28-25 +12000

It's not a surprise that the Wizards are tied for the best odds to land Cooper Flagg, sitting with a pathetic nine wins and projected to finish the season with roughly 12-13 wins.

However, with the NBA Draft lottery rules having the three worst teams with an equal chance (14%) at winning the lotto, the Wizards are tied with the Utah Jazz, New Orleans Pelicans, and Charlotte Hornets — all of which are in a fight for the second and third top lotto slots.

The next group includes the Nets and Raptors, both of which have yet to hit 20 wins this season, while the most curious team on the list is the 33-20 Houston Rockets: They're firmly locked in as a playoff team, but have a right to swap first-round picks with the Phoenix Suns... who are currently 26-26 and clinging to the final spot for the Play-In Tournament.

2025 NBA Draft order

The 2025 NBA Draft order won't be set until the lottery is complete, to which a date has not yet been set.

Based on the inverted current NBA standings, the hypothetical draft order for the lottery would be:

  1.  Washington
  2. New Orleans
  3. Utah
  4. Charlotte
  5. Toronto
  6. Brooklyn
  7. Philadelphia
  8. Chicago
  9. Portland
  10. San Antonio
  11. Atlanta
  12. Orlando
  13. Miam
  14. Golden State
  15. Phoenix

Here are some recent trends you'll want to keep in mind when betting on NBA Draft odds:

  • Positions have been reasonably well-distributed among the No. 1 picks. Over the past 20 NBA Drafts, eight have been forwards, seven guards, and five centers.

  • "One-and-done" college freshmen make up the overwhelming majority of recent top picks, being selected No. 1 in 16 of the past 19 seasons since high schoolers were ruled ineligible.

  • Among NCAA schools, Duke leads the all-time count with five No. 1-overall picks, including Paolo Banchero in 2022.

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History of first overall NBA Draft picks

With Zaccharie Risacher selected first overall in 2024, it marked the second straight year that an international player was taken No. 1 — after just one such player (Andrea Bargnani, 2006) was selected in the previous 17 years. 

Year Player Position
2024 Hawks Zaccharie Riscacher SF
2023 Spurs Victor Wembanyama C
2022 Magic Paolo Banchero PF
2021 Pistons Cade Cunningham PG
2020 Timberwolves Anthony Edwards SG
2019 Pelicans Zion Williamson PF
2018 Suns Deandre Ayton C
2017 76ers Markelle Fultz PG
2016 76ers Ben Simmons PG/F
2015 Timberwolves Karl-Anthony Towns C
2014 Cavaliers Andrew Wiggins G/F
2013 Cavaliers Anthony Bennett PF
2012 Pelicans Anthony Davis PF
2011 Cavaliers Kyrie Irving PG
2010 Wizards John Wall PG
2009 Clippers Blake Griffin PF
2008 Bulls Derrick Rose PG
2007 Trail Blazers Greg Oden C
2006 Raptors Andrea Bargnani F/C
2005 Bucks Andrew Bogut C
2004 Magic Dwight Howard C
2003 Cavaliers LeBron James SF/PF
2002 Rockets Yao Ming C
2001 Wizards Kwame Brown C
2000 Nets Kenyon Martin PF

NBA Draft Odds FAQ

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Jared Hochman Content Manager at Covers.com
Content Manager

Before Jared Hochman joined the Covers team in 2020, he worked for newspaper outlets such as the Chronicle Herald and The Coast, worked in marketing for SkipTheDishes and Vivid Seats, and previously ran a magazine. A journalism graduate from the University of King's College in, Halifax, N.S., "Hoch" brings more than a decade of experience in sports betting, having worked as a freelance handicapper, making appearances on Monumental Sports Network and the Sharp 600 podcast, and now also filling in occasionally as host of Covers' NHL Puck Props. 

Awarded Covers' company MVP for 2023, Jared is an avid bettor of MLB, NFL, NHL, and NBA, while also wagering on some soccer and WNBA. His best advice for sports bettors? Price shop — something he does daily across 10 different sportsbook apps.

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