2025 NBA MVP Odds: Jokic Is Done Joking Around

Denver Nuggets star Nikola Jokic is in the pole position to win his fourth NBA MVP trophy in the past five years, but Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is lurking close behind.

Ryan Murphy - Managing Editor at Covers.com
Ryan Murphy • Managing Editor
Nov 19, 2024 • 10:12 ET • 3 min read
Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) controls the ball as Toronto Raptors center Jakob Poeltl (19) guards.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports. Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) controls the ball as Toronto Raptors center Jakob Poeltl (19) guards.

The 2024-25 NBA season is well underway and we've already seen some movement at the top of the NBA MVP odds board with Denver Nuggets superstar Nikola Jokic supplanting Oklahoma City Thunder sensation Shai Gilgeous Alexander for the No. 1 spot.

Joker has somehow found a new gear in his tenth season in the league and is posting career-highs in rebounds (13.7) and assists (11.7) per game while averaging a robust 29.7 points. His six triple-doubles lead all players by a landslide and have the undermanned Nuggets off to an encouraging 7-5 start despite losses to key personnel.

Let's take a peek at the 2025 NBA Most Valuable Player odds as the new season continues to unfold.

2025 NBA MVP odds

Player DraftKings FanDuel bet365
Nuggets Nikola Jokic +210 +210 +210
Celtics Shai Gilgeous-Alexander +275 +290 +280
Celtics Jayson Tatum +450 +470 +475
Celtics Luka Doncic +1,000 +900 +900
Timberwolves Anthony Edwards +1,000 +900 +1,000
Lakers Anthony Davis +1,600 +1,700 +1,600
Knicks Donovan Mitchell +3,000 +3,000 +3,000
Bucks Giannis Antetokounmpo +3,000 +3,000 +2,800
Knicks Stephen Curry +3,500 +4,000 +3,500
Knicks Kevin Durant +6,000 +6,000 +6,000

Odds as of 11-19-2024

2024 NBA MVP favorites

Nikola Jokic (+210)

I mean, what more is there to say about Nikola Jokic at this point?

The man is an elite offense unto himself. He'll score about as efficiently as anyone in NBA history, and do so entirely within the flow of an attack he also coordinates, with passing few have ever had the vision for.

While the loss of Kentavious Caldwell-Pope further stretches a roster that may have already lacked for Bruce Brown last season, we can expect a supremely-efficient triple-double average from Jokic, and 50+ wins for the Denver Nuggets, which is a pretty iron-clad argument for MVP contention, at the very least.

The biggest reason to fade Jokic's MVP chase is, honestly, voter fatigue. The historical implications of a fourth MVP (which is how many LeBron James and Bill Russell each won) may also weigh on ballots come April. 

PTS REB AST FG%
29.7 13.7 11.7 56.3

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (+275 to +290)

As the Clippers bid adieu to Paul George this summer, one couldn't help but notice how well things are going for the Oklahoma City Thunder on the other side of that fateful 2019 PG trade.

Not only did the Thunder pocket a zillion draft picks in the deal, but a young Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who finished second in MVP voting last season and could very well win the damn thing in 2025. Meanwhile, OKC is looking to make a deep playoff run after precociously notching the West's No. 1 seed last season.

SGA is a beast on both sides of the ball; equally impossible to stay in front of and avoid. One of the NBA's best pure scorers, he operates more efficiently than just about any lead ball-handler in the league — all the more impressive given the unconventional nature of his game. 

The Thunder have upside to spare, and might just make the kind of mini-leap that puts them in a class by themselves in the West, which will shine the MVP spotlight on Gilgeous-Alexander even brighter. 

SGA was also the preseason target at BetMGM for lots of MVP bettors, leading both ticket count (14.5%) and handle (24.1%). His NBA odds bear watching as the season unfolds.

PTS REB AST FG%
28.5 5.3 6.3 50.5

Jayson Tatum (+450 to +475)

The NBA is a league of petty superstars, so there was little doubt how Jayson Tatum would start the season after being denied NBA Finals MVP honors and riding the pine at the Paris Olympics. 

The five-time All-Star is averaging 29.7 points, 7.9 rebounds, and a career-high 5.9 assists per game while shooting a blistering 46.1% from the field and 38.1% from deep.

Tatum is locked in to a degree we haven't seen this early in the season before and appears hellbent on reminding the world (or at least Steve Kerr) just how dominant he really is.

PTS REB AST FG%
29.7 7.9 5.9 46.1

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Luka Doncic (+900 to +1,000)

Luka Doncic dragged the Dallas Mavericks to the NBA Finals on one good leg a few months ago, and now armed with the confidence of a deep playoff run, and even more support arriving in the offseason, 2025 may finally be the year for him to snag that elusive MVP.

A three-time preseason MVP odds favorite, Doncic had seen Dallas' overall body of work betray his individual brilliance, finishing well short of the Top-3 seed that's, unofficially, but quite consistently required to make a winning MVP case.

With the Mavs proving themselves legit title threats after last season's trade deadline, there's no reason, barring injury, why new arrivals Klay Thompson and Naji Marshall can't propel the Mavs to an elite regular-season run and give Luka's MVP chase some undeniable cred.

PTS REB AST FG%
28.2 7.8 7.8 42.5

NBA MVP odds over time

This year's MVP chase is sure to be a heavyweight melee. Follow along all season as we update this graphic with contenders rising and falling. 

How to read NBA MVP odds

Most sportsbooks will display odds in the American format as listed above. Nikola Jokic had all but locked up the award by the end of the 2024 season, so his odds were listed with a minus (-) sign ahead of the number. 

  • Nikola Jokic -1,000

The (-) meant that Jokic was an odds-on favorite, and a bettor needed to wager $1,000 to win $100. Other contenders in the MVP race had plus (+) odds to win.

  • Luka Doncic +650

Here, a bettor stood to profit $650 for a $100 wager on Doncic if he had won the award. 

If American odds aren't your thing, simply use a tool like our odds converter to switch the odds to decimal or fractional format. Most online sportsbooks also give you the option to change the odds format that you see.


Popular NBA futures odds


NBA MVP betting trends

Here are some trends you may want to consider before placing a bet on the NBA MVP:

  • Repeat winners are somewhat common. Jokic's 2022 win marked the 13th different player to have won the award two (or more) years in a row.
  • The MVP usually comes from an elite team. Since 1985, only five MVP winners have come from a team that didn't finish first or second in its conference.
  • The award is usually given to a player with a few years of experience. A rookie hasn't won MVP since Wes Unseld in 1969, and only four MVPs have been younger than 23 years old.
  • Centers have historically dominated the MVP award. While they went on a two-decade drought between Shaquille O'Neal (2000) and Nikola Jokic (2021), centers have now won the last four MVPs.

NBA MVP voting criteria

The NBA's Most Valuable Player award is voted on by a panel of 100 media members, comprised of both national and local analysts.

Only regular-season games are taken into account (ballots are due shortly after the schedule concludes), and the league has intentionally not included specific criteria to guide voters, leading to a more open interpretation of "value", and the type of debate that now dominates media cycles and podcasts every March-April.

Despite the absence of a rubric, voters have generally trended towards awarding an MVP who leads a dominant team campaign (the "best player on the best team" is a popular contender argument).

Statistics are also a crucial factor to consider. However, with the rise of analytic models, traditional stats like points, rebounds, and assists have begun to carry less raw weight, despite still being part of the equation. Advanced stats like win shares, plus-minus, and VORP (value over replacement player) are leaned upon heavily in most discussions.

A player who has MVP moments throughout the season will resonate with voters too: monster stat lines in big games, outperforming rivals in head-to-head matchups, clutch performances — anything to add extra appeal to their MVP case.

In today's age of load management, how much an MVP plays is of increasing importance. The league's newly-imposed 65-game minimum for award contenders will help curb the debate here, but a player who suits up every night is inherently more valuable.

And, while it's unfortunate to admit, voter fatigue absolutely governs this process when a player wins several awards and the media perform mental gymnastics to vote for another player, whether out of boredom or contrarianism. It happened to Michael Jordan. It happened to LeBron James. It possibly just happened to Nikola Jokic. It will happen again. 

Past NBA MVP awards by position

Position NBA MVP wins
Point guard 11
Shooting guard 8
Small forward 9
Power forward 10
Center 30

Centers owned the NBA MVP award in the early days of the Association, winning the trophy in 21 of the first 25 years it was presented.

NBA MVP history

A quick look at recent NBA MVPs and the position they played.

Season Player Position Team
2023-24 Nikola Jokic Center Browns Denver Nuggets
2022-23 Joel Embiid Center 76ers Philadelphia 76ers
2021-22 Nikola Jokic Center Browns Denver Nuggets
2020-21 Nikola Jokic Center Browns Denver Nuggets
2019-20 Giannis Antetokounmpo Power forward Browns Milwaukee Bucks
2018-19 Giannis Antetokounmpo Power forward Browns Milwaukee Bucks
2017-18 James Harden Shooting guard Rockets Houston Rockets
2016-17 Russell Westbrook Point guard Thunder Oklahoma City Thunder
2015-16 Stephen Curry Point guard Browns Golden State Warriors
2014-15 Stephen Curry Point guard Browns Golden State Warriors

Best NBA MVP betting sites

Scouting basketball betting websites should be a breeze, but new bettors often feel overwhelmed by the sheer number of options available. Here are the must-have basketball betting site features you should target before placing your wagers.

Best odds: Not all sportsbooks are created equally, especially when it comes to odds. Finding the best price for your basketball bets is key to a successful betting strategy. 

Live betting: Watching betting lines move in real-time and comparing statistics allows you to jump into the action at just the right moment.

Fast payouts: Accessing your hard-earned funds shouldn't feel like breaking a full-court press. It's important to choose a sportsbook that offers fast and reliable money withdrawals post game.

Safe money transactions: The days of placing bets with bookies in shadowy back rooms are long over. Major online sportsbooks boast state-of-the-art security measures like SSL data encryption, and each holds a legal operating license from registered authorities.

Best NBA MVP betting promos

Betting boosts are special promotions offered by legal sports betting sites that increase the odds for a specific game, event, or prop, designed to give you better value on your bets or encourage you to sign up for a new sportsbook with unique rewards and offerings.

They can be a great way for bettors to get better value for their wagers, as the odds are temporarily increased, thereby increasing a potential payout. The promotions are usually limited to a specific period and are subject to terms and conditions, so it's always important to read the fine print for more details.

Types of odds boosts

There are a number of different types of betting boosts available, with some targeting specific games, some aimed at specific leagues, and some just enticing users to try a new sportsbook. Here are the most common types of betting boosts:

  • Odds boost: When a sportsbook enhances the value of a specifically chosen player prop or a curated parlay/SGP, offering better odds than if you normally bet or created the wager yourself.

  • Profit boosts: When you are given a token that increases the value of any bet you want (such as a 25% boost on one Super Bowl bet). Sometimes these tokens are for all bets, while sometimes they have specific criteria (such parlays/SGPs only or bets above a certain price).

  • Sign-up offers: Operators offer benefits such as free bonus bets after your first wager, bonus bets offered as insurance if your first bet loses, an initial account deposit match, or even giving you discounts on other services for signing up with a sportsbook.

Take advantage of our best NBA betting promos — from our best NBA betting sites — to see if any other promotions appear that you can place a wager on!

NBA MVP odds FAQ

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Ryan Murphy Managing Editor at Covers
Managing Editor

Ryan Murphy began his love affair with sports journalism at the age of nine when he wrote his first article about his little league baseball team. He has since authored his own weekly column for Fox Sports and AskMen and has created successful campaigns for some of the biggest and most trusted brands in the world including Walt Disney, HBO, the WWE, the NHL, and the NFL.

“Murph,” as he’s known to friends, began his journey in sports betting in 2017, and enjoyed a highly rewarding tenure at Churchill Downs, where he oversaw the creation of the TwinSpires Edge and served as the publication’s first editor-in-chief. His nose for news and ability to find and nurture talent helped turn the site into a major player within the online gambling industry.

Although Ryan loves examining odds movement and breaking down matchups, he’s also a prolific creative writer whose critically acclaimed stories have been published in 21 books and have been featured on more than 170 radio stations and 40 newspapers. His latest book, My Life’s a Joke, is a laugh-out-loud memoir about the epic fails that thickened his skin and paved the way for a successful 15-year career as a touring stand-up comedian.

Ryan’s top piece of advice to sports bettors: “Bet with your head, not your heart. It pains me to be pragmatic, but blind loyalty has no place in sports wagering.”

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