Nuggets vs Mavericks Prediction, Picks, and Odds for Today's NBA Game

Klay Thompson's coming off an 0-for-4 night beyond the arc, but our Nuggets vs. Mavericks predictions expect him to refind his shooting touch tonight.

Phil Naessens - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Jan 12, 2025 • 09:03 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 1 hrs
DAL
39 %
DEN
61 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Klay Thompson 4+ Threes (+150) Klay Thompson 4+ Threes (+150)
Read Analysis
Klay Thompson Dallas Mavericks NBA
Photo By - Imagn Images.

Get set for an exciting Western Conference clash when the Denver Nuggets invade American Airlines Center for a matchup with the Dallas Mavericks.

Mavs guard Klay Thompson is coming off a 0-4 shooting night from downtown, and my Nuggets vs. Mavericks predictions expect Thompson to come roaring back today. Read on as I explain my NBA picks for Sunday, January 12.

Nuggets vs Mavericks prediction

My best bet
Klay Thompson 4+ threes (+150 at bet365)

My analysis
The Dallas Mavericks won’t have Luka Doncic or Kyrie Irving this afternoon when they host the Denver NuggetsThe two are responsible for over 50% of the team's scoring, and they’ll need someone to step up today and knock down some shots. That someone is Klay Thompson.

The future Hall of Famer drains 38% of his eight attempts from long range per night. He’s landed nearly three triples per game across his past five, and I like his chances of knocking down 4+ against the Nuggets.

Thompson is coming off a 0-4 home stinker from downtown against the Trail Blazers. Denver doesn’t defend the arc well (35%), and Thompson — coming off a lousy night — won’t improve the Nuggets’ percentages.

He's knocked down 4+ triples in two of his last five and is averaging nearly three made threes per night at home. The Mavericks will need buckets from Thompson and I expect him to deliver. 

Nuggets vs Mavericks same-game parlay

Klay Thompson 4+ threes

Klay Thompson Over 14.5 points

Quinton Grimes Over 14.5 points

I like Thompson to score big, and knocking down four triples should take him past his scoring line of 14.5. He's cleared that number in three of his last five and since he can’t score all the buckets, I like Quintin Grimes to knock down a pair of threes.

Grimes has dropped 2+ triples in three of his last five. He’s a 40% shooter from downtown and has made 2+ in three of his last five at American Airlines Center.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Nuggets vs Mavericks odds

Nuggets vs Mavericks live odds

Nuggets vs Mavericks opening odds

  • Spread: Denver -3.5 | Dallas +3.5
  • Moneyline: Denver -165 | Dallas +140
  • Over/Under: Over 228.5 | Under 228.5

Odds courtesy of bet365.

Nuggets vs Mavericks spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The Nuggets have covered the number in three of their last five.

  • The Mavericks are 1-6-1 ATS across their last seven games.

  • The Over/Under is 3-2 across the last five meetings. 

Nuggets vs Mavericks trend

The Mavericks have covered the spread in 55 of their last 93 games (+15.40 Units / 15% ROI).  Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Mavericks.

How to watch Nuggets vs Mavericks

Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Date: Sunday, 1-12-2025
Tip-off: 3:00 p.m. ET
TV: ALT, KFAA

Nuggets vs Mavericks latest injuries

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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the tennis betting podcast, This Week in Tennis.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications including SB Nation, FanSided and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. Phil curates the Chip and Charge Tennis Newsletter and pens a weekly tennis column called “10 Things About the ATP Tour," for Passing Shot Productions. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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