Today’s NBA Player Prop Picks: Sabonis Keeps Piling it On

There are seven games on the NBA betting board this Saturday which means hundreds of NBA player prop bets to wager on.

Today we're looking at a trio of seven-footers, including a Hawks big man who has been ignored on the offensive end of the floor, a Cavs forward in a juicy matchup, and Domantas Sabonis, who is thriving with his new team. 

Here are our best free NBA player prop picks for Saturday, February 26.

NBA player props for February 26

• Capela Under 10.5 pts
• Sabonis Over 32.5 pts + rebs
• Markkanen Over 13.5 points

Picks made on 2/26/2022 at 1:15 p.m. ET.
The odds widgets below represent the best odds currently available for each betting market at regulated sportsbooks.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Today’s best NBA player props

Capped total

The Hawks are hosting the Raptors as slim 2.5-point faves this evening. Atlanta center Clint Capela is fresh off a 14-point performance against the Bulls where he went 7-11 from the field. However, the big man has become an afterthought on offense lately and has seen his minutes tick down as well, with Onyeka Okongwu earning a bigger role.

Capela averaged 15.1 points per game in 30.1 minutes last season but is putting up just 8.3 ppg in 24.1 mpg in his last 16 games. He won't find it easy to capitalize off putbacks and lobs against a Raptors team that allows the eighth-fewest points in the paint per game (44.9).

With the O/U on Capela's points total today set at 10.5, a number he has gone below in 13 of his last 16 games, take the Under.

Pick: Clint Capela Under 10.5 points (-105)

Bonis points

We've got a rematch between the Kings and Nuggets tonight after the Nuggets won 128-110 in Sacramento on Thursday.

The Kings might have lost that game, but they got another outstanding performance from Domantas Sabonis who matched up against reigning MVP Nikola Jokic and logged 37 minutes. Sabonis dropped 33 points on 15-23 shooting while adding 14 boards. He's been an excellent fit in Sacramento since joining the Kings at the trade deadline and I'm just sad he didn't get sent to a contender. 

The Over/Under on Sabonis' points total today is set at 32.5, which seems very reasonable when you consider that he's averaging 21.3 ppg and 12.4 rpg since December 31. With his growing offensive role with Sacramento, the heavy minutes he'll likely play tonight against Jokic, and his stellar performance two nights ago, we like the Over.

Pick: Domantas Sabonis Over 32.5 points and rebounds (-110)

Marker's Markannen

The Cleveland Cavaliers are coming off a disappointing loss to the Detroit Pistons, but there was one positive takeaway from that contest: Lauri Markannen returning to the lineup after missing 11 games with an ankle sprain.

Markannen did look rusty, going just 2-7 from deep, but he still took 16 field goal attempts and finished with 22 points. The seven-footer will definitely continue to get looks on the offensive end of the floor today with point guard Darius Garland and shooting guard Caris LeVert sidelined once again.

Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley have been very productive down low, but they can't create their own shot like Markannen can. There's definitely a concern that the Cavs offense might struggle to move the ball without Garland and backup point guard Rajon Rondo (out with a toe injury), but somebody is going to get shot attempts, and Markannen looks like the most likely suspect.

He'll get good looks at the basket today against a Wizards squad that ranks 24th in the league in defensive efficiency and surrendered 157 points (130 in regulation) to the Spurs last night. Expect Markannen to find his rhythm a little bit easier today after shaking off the rust and take the Over 13.5 on his points total.

Pick: Lauri Markkanen Over 13.5 points (-115)

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