2025 NBA Championship Odds: The Thunder Are Ready to Make Some Noise

The Oklahoma City Thunder have emerged as the new favorite in the chase for the 2025 NBA Championship.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan â€ĸ Senior Betting Analyst
Apr 25, 2025 â€ĸ 15:50 ET â€ĸ 5 min read
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Ja Morant Oklahoma City Thunder Memphis Grizzlies NBA
Photo By - Imagn Images. Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (2) drives to the basket as Memphis Grizzlies guard Ja Morant (12) defends.

Say what you want about the regular season but there’s no denying the NBA playoffs are one of the most enjoyable postseasons in professional sports. That also makes them one of the more exciting tournaments to bet on.

Round 1 of the 2025 NBA Playoffs got underway on April 19 and there have already been plenty of attention-grabbing moments including the Lakers getting even with the Timberwolves after their Game 1 upset, the Thunder taking a commanding 3-0 series lead over the Grizzlies, and the Clippers getting ahead of the Nuggets in a 2-1 series.  

Here’s a quick look at the betting favorites to win the NBA title as well as my NBA picks and predictions based on the latest NBA odds.

🏆 NBA Championship odds

Odds as of 4-25.

Who will win the NBA Championship?

Celtics Oklahoma City Thunder (+160)

The Thunder’s 68 wins put them in good company entering the NBA playoffs. Only five other NBA teams have boasted a higher win percentage than OKC’s .829 win rate and four of those clubs went on to claim the NBA Championship. Oklahoma City’s +12.8 net rating is second all-time behind only the 72-win Chicago Bulls. 

Celtics Boston Celtics (+190)

Winning back-to-back NBA titles is an accomplishment reserved for the elite, with Curry’s Warriors, LeBron’s Heat, and Kobe’s Lakers as the most recent franchises to pull it off. Can Jayson Tatum put his name among those legends?

Boston is the No. 2 seed in the East but with the second most tickets and third highest handle to win the Larry O’Brien, books have the Celtics as big faves to make it back to the finals.

Knicks Cleveland Cavaliers (+500)

For the top seed in the Eastern Conference, oddsmakers have little faith in the Cavaliers when it comes to winning the NBA title. Cleveland has the third highest ticket count and second highest handle in the futures book, yet is sitting at 6/1 odds to win it all. The Cavs went 11-5 SU against the four other teams below them in the standings (1-3 vs. Indiana) and enter the postseason as the top-ranked offense in the NBA.

2025 NBA Championship odds contenders

Lakers Los Angeles Lakers (+1800)

The Lakers’ spot in the futures odds has a lot to do with liability. Los Angeles has drawn the most bets and most money in the NBA Championship odds, making L.A. the second worst outcome for bookmakers. So, bookies are adjusting those futures to discourage any more action on the Lakers. That said, the trio of LeBron James, Luka Doncic, and Austin Reaves is a handful – if those stars can stay healthy during the demanding postseason run.

Warriors Golden State Warriors (+2000)

Golden State is another team whose odds to win the NBA title are a little puffed up due to action. The Warriors were as big as +2500 and the move to add Jimmy Butler at the trade deadline put the Dubs back in the hunt. As it stands, another Warriors title would be the worst result for bookmakers. Golden State enters the playoffs as the No. 7 seed (after winning in the Play-In Tournament) but was in contention for the No. 3 seed down the home stretch.

2025 NBA Championship odds live long shots

Knicks New York Knicks (+3500)

There’s a notable gap between the Cavs and Celtics… and then the rest of the East. The Knicks were the best of the rest, finishing third in the conference. Jalen Brunson is a proven playoff performer, who can keep his team competitive, but New York was a combined 0-8 SU versus Cleveland and Boston this season. That’s a big hump to get over if the Knicks want to make the finals.

Nuggets Denver Nuggets (+10000)

The Nuggets are a threat, as long as Nikola Jokic is on the floor. Denver’s title pursuit hit an unexpected speed bump at the end of the schedule with the team surprisingly canning head coach Mike Malone. I mean, at this point in the season the bus kind of drives itself. But you now have an interim coach in David Adelman having to navigate the playoff waters.

Clippers Los Angeles Clippers (+2000)

The Clippers should scare the crap out of the Western Conference. Los Angeles enters the postseason as one of the hottest teams, riding an eight-game win streak and jumping up the standings to finish fifth. This is the second-best defense in the league and Kawhi Leonard has looked like his old self since the All-Star break (averaging 25 ppg). The Clips did, however, go 2-10 SU against the Top 3 seeds in the West.

📈 2025 NBA Finals odds over time

Here's a visual representation of how the NBA championship odds have evolved over the course of this season.

â˜˜ī¸ My NBA Championship pick: Boston Celtics

As a Lakers fan, this pick hurts my soul. There’s a reason bookies are giving Boston the benefit of the doubt with his price. The Celtics’ seeding was of no concern to Joe Mazzulla’s team. Getting to the tournament healthy and with all key pieces intact was. Jaylen Brown has had an extended break to rest his wonky knee and the C’s playoff experience will pay off over the course of a seven-game series. Light the cigars and hang another banner in the rafters of the Garden.


â›šī¸ Popular NBA futures odds


💰 Sportsbook betting splits and insights

  • The Lakers (16.2%), Celtics (13.4%), and Cavaliers (10.3%) have the highest NBA Championship ticket percentage.
  • The Celtics (17.6%), Lakers (15.2%), and Thunder (15.0%) have the highest NBA Championship ticket handle percentage.
  • The sportsbook considers the Warriors, Lakers, and Pistons its biggest liabilities. 

All data courtesy of BetMGM.

"The Lakers and Warriors are the biggest liabilities to win the NBA Championship," said Christian Cipollini, Trading Manager, BetMGM. "As a result, the sportsbook gets to cheer for the Thunder and Celtics, both favorites to win their respective conferences."

👑 NBA Finals MVP odds

Player bet365
Thunder Shai Gilgeous-Alexander +190
Celtics Jayson Tatum +270
Cavaliers Donovan Mitchell +800
Lakers Luka Doncic +2200
Celtics Jaylen Brown +2500
Celtics Kristaps Porzingis +2500
Nuggets Nikola Jokic +2500
Warriors Stephen Curry +2500
Cavaliers Darius Garland +4000
Cavaliers Evan Mobley +4000

The 2024-25 season was a coming out party for Shai Gilgeous Alexander, whose prolific scoring and prodigious playmaking powered the Thunder to the best record in the NBA. The three-time All-Star led the league with 32.7 points per game and scored 50 points or more three times over a seven-game stretch. His ability to score any time against anyone has OKC favored to be the last team standing in June.

Visiting our NBA Finals MVP Odds page for more detailed analysis.

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🏅 NBA conference winner odds

Western Conference odds

  • Thunder: -140
  • Lakers: +550
  • Warriors: +650
  • Nuggets: +1200
  • Clippers: +1200
  • Timberwolves: +1600
  • Rockets: +2200
  • Grizzlies: +8000
  • Mavericks: +50000
  • Kings: +50000

Eastern Conference odds

  • Celtics: -145
  • Cavaliers: +185
  • Knicks: +1000
  • Pacers: +2200
  • Bucks: +4000
  • Pistons: +10000
  • Magic: +25000
  • Hawks: +50000
  • Bulls: +50000
  • Heat: +50000

NBA Championship Odds FAQs

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
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In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst “JLo” has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

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