The Raptors have lost three straight games if they want to end their skid after early-season success, they'll have to do so on the second night of a back-to-back against the Philadelphia 76ers.
While Toronto may be fatigued, does it still have value as an NBA betting underdog against Philadelphia, who continues to be without Joel Embiid?
Find out in our free picks and predictions for Raptors vs. 76ers on November 11.
Raptors vs 76ers odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
The Raptors opened this matchup of Atlantic Division rivals as two-point underdogs and were quickly moved to +3. The total hit the board at 211.5 and Under has seen the early action, moving the O/U down as far as 210.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until tip-off and be sure to check out the full NBA odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
Raptors vs 76ers predictions
- Prediction: Raptors +3 (-110)
- Prediction: Under 210.5 (-110)
- Best bet: Raptors +3 (-110)
- Best bet: VanVleet Over 2.5 Made Threes (-115)
Predictions made on 11/11/2021 at 11:45 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Raptors vs 76ers game info
• Location: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA
• Date: Thursday, November 11, 2021
• Tip-off: 7:00 p.m. ET
• TV: TSN, NBCSP, NBATV
Raptors vs 76ers betting preview
Injuries
Raptors: Pascal Siakam PF (Questionable).
76ers: Joel Embiid C (Out), Matisse Thybulle SF (Out), Tobias Harris PF (Questionable), Seth Curry SG (Questionable).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Under is 6-1-1 in the Raptors' last eight versus a team with a winning SU record and is 5-1 in 76ers' last six games as a home favorite. Find more NBA betting trends for Raptors vs. 76ers.
Raptors vs 76ers picks and predictions
Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.
Spread analysis
The Raptors' losing streak hit three games with last night’s loss to the Celtics and the reasons for their loss this time were quite obvious. Boston outworked Toronto on the glass and the Raptors shot 6-25 (24 percent) from 3-point range. And now if the Raptors want to end the skid, they’ll likely have to do it without Pascal Siakam, who will be getting the night off for rest.
Meanwhile, the 76ers were cruising this season, even with all Ben Simmons drama, starting the season 8-2. But then Embiid and the Sixers (including Tobias Harris) suffered a COVID outbreak, and the leftover roster subsequently has lost its last two games. To make matters worse, now sharpshooter Seth Curry is questionable with a foot injury.
The Sixers, who lead the NBA in offensive rating and three-point shooting percentage, have scored just 102.5 points per game while shooting 32.5 percent from deep, which would rank 25th in the league. Now, they face a tenacious Raptors defense that will want to bounce back from an uneven performance against the Celtics.
The Raptors should ride that defense and make their presence felt on the glass in order to take control of this game.
Yes, the Raptors might not have Siakam, but they have proven they can win without him this season, so it is a little confusing as to why they are underdogs in this matchup, considering all the pieces the Sixers are missing. That said, let’s take the points after the Raps burned us on the moneyline last night.
Prediction: Raptors +3 (-110)
Over/Under analysis
The Raptors can be a tough team to predict totals for. That’s because they are either creating turnovers and getting out in the transition game, or they are milking the hell out of the clock. In fact, they rank second-to-last in the NBA when it comes to pace. And at just 103.3 points per game, 24th in the NBA in scoring.
And do you know who ranks dead last in pace? You guessed it — the 76ers. The Sixers run a methodical offense, usually through Embiid. But even with their All-Star center gone, they aren’t changing up their offensive philosophies.
We’ve already noted how scoring has been down for Philly without Embiid, but it’s not just his points that are missed. He also works the inside-out game to perfection, finding his teammates for open threes when defenses collapse. So, the Sixers are having a much tougher time getting open looks without him on the floor.
The early money on the total has been on the Under and you should jump on that bandwagon before the number gets much lower.
Prediction: Under 210.5 (-110)
Best bets
For the second straight night, I am unsure as to why the Raptors are underdogs. Yes, they likely won’t have Siakam and are playing their second game in as many nights. But this iteration of the Sixers is not as strong as the Raps. Obviously, that did not work out for me last night, but taking the points seems like the best bet tonight.
But also like yesterday, we are doubling up on the best bets. We're giving Scottie Barnes the night off after coming through on his rebounding prop and tonight we take a look at Fred VanVleet.
The Raptors point guard has had the hot hand from behind the arc lately. VanVleet has hit three or more threes in each of his last five games, hitting on 43.6 percent of his 7.8 attempts per game over that span. That includes games against the Wizards and Nets, who are the NBA's two best teams in terms of opponent 3-point percentage thus far this season.
Going against a Philly team that is middle of the pack in 3-point defense, VanVleet looks like a good value to go Over 2.5 made threes in this one.
Pick: Raptors +3 (-110) and Fred VanVleet Over 2.5 Made Threes (-115)
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