The treads have been coming off the tank for the Toronto Raptors, who have won too many games lately.
This West Coast road trip has helped them get back on track with back-to-back losses, and now they're massive 14.5-point road underdogs against Steph Curry and the Golden State Warriors, who have been one of the hottest teams in the NBA.
Fear not Raps fans, my Raptors vs. Warriors predictions have NBA picks to make this lopsided-looking game worth tuning in to.
Raptors vs Warriors prediction
My Raptors pick: Scottie Barnes Over 6.5 Rebounds (+120 at PointsBet Canada)
My analysis
The Toronto Raptors were winning way too many basketball games for a team that needs to be focused on getting a good draft pick.
It wasn’t for a lack of trying. Weird lineup combinations at the end of games and guys popping on and off the injury report. It didn't matter; the vibes on this team are too good somehow, and Toronto managed to go 15-12 over a 27-game stretch.
This West Coast road trip with matchups against teams trying to win games has halted that success. The Raptors have dropped back-to-back games to the Trail Blazers and Suns, averaging just 95.5 points.
Now, they’ll take on one of the hottest teams in the NBA — the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors look like a completely different team with Jimmy Butler and are 13-2 straight up in their last 15 games. The only team they trail in net rating over that span is the OKC Thunder.
The bright side for the Raptors is that Scottie Barnes should play most of the games down the stretch as he tries to remain eligible for All-NBA teams. I like him to improve his case by putting some work in on the glass tonight.
He's averaging 7.8 rebounds per game this season, but his rebounding prop is set at a modest 6.5 for this matchup, with the Over priced at a nice +120. Barnes has upped that average to 8.6 over the last seven games, where he's hauled down 7+ boards four times.
And while the Warriors have been playing well, they’ve been good-not-great on the boards, ranking 11th in rebounding rate and 10th in opponent rebounds per game over this 15-game period. Plus, the Dubs don’t give a ton of minutes to traditional bigs, so the 6-foot-7 Barnes should have an impact on the glass tonight.
Raptors vs Warriors same-game parlay
Scottie Barnes Over 6.5 rebounds
Immanuel Quickley Over 4.5 assists
Jamal Shead Over 7.5 points
If the Raptors want to keep this game close (or at least within the 14.5-point spread), they’ll have to move the ball well against this Warriors defense.
That has me looking at Immanuel Quickley’s assist prop. IQ is back in action (at least for tonight) and is averaging 5.5 assists per game this season. He has dished out 5+ dimes eight times in his last 11 games, including the last four in a row.
The only thing with Barnes and Quickley is that they may get pulled late in this game, either because it's a blowout or too close.
Someone who should see plenty of minutes is rookie Jamal Shead. Shead is coming off a tough night against the Suns but is averaging 8.4 points over his last nine games, scoring 8+ seven times. His point total for this one is sitting at 7.5.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Bet on Raptors basketball at PointsBet Canada
Looking to bet on some Raptors action?
Sign up now at PointsBet, one of Canada's favourite books for new bettors!
19+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Raptors vs Warriors odds
Raptors vs Warriors live odds
Raptors vs Warriors opening odds
- Spread: Toronto +14 | Golden State -14
- Moneyline: Toronto +600 | Golden State -900
- Over/Under: Over 226.5 | Under 226.5
Odds courtesy of PointsBet Canada.
Raptors vs Warriors spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Raptors opened this game as 14-point road underdogs, with the spread moving slightly in the Warriors' favor now sitting at 14.5.|
- The Raptors have been a great bet all season long at 41-27-1 ATS but have struggled as big dogs, going just 9-12 ATS when getting double-digits this season.
- The total hit the board at 226.5 and has been bet down slightly to 225.5 as of Thursday afternoon.
- This Raptors offense has dried up the last few games and that should continue tonight against a Warriors team that leads the NBA in defensive rating over the last 15 games. The Raptors have gone Under the total in back-to-back games with similar closing numbers.
Raptors vs Warriors trend
The Raptors have covered the first-quarter spread in 17 of their last 23 away games for +11.20 units and a 42% ROI. Find more NBA betting trends for Raptors vs. Warriors.
How to watch Raptors vs Warriors
| Location | Chase Center, San Francisco, CA |
| Date | Thursday, 3-20-2025 |
| Tip-off | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | SN1 |
Raptors vs Warriors latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
