The San Antonio Spurs have dropped back-to-back games and have fallen back to .500. Tonight features a tough test for a club already sans head coach Gregg Popovich, as they will face a stiff test on the road against the Milwaukee Bucks.
Although Milwaukee has also had its fair share of struggles down the stretch, we expect the home team to pull away in our Spurs vs. Bucks predictions.
Read more in my NBA picks for Wednesday, January 8.
Spurs vs Bucks prediction
My best bet
Bucks -5 (-110 at bet365)
My analysis
Through Christmas, it seemed that the Milwaukee Bucks had turned the corner. They had gone 13-4 in 17 games spanning since mid-November and helped claw their way to a 16-12 record after initially starting 2-8.
Although their offense has largely fallen flat this season, the Bucks should find some traction against the San Antonio Spurs tonight. The Spurs have suffered their own fair share of offense struggles, and they'll face a much taller task of facing off against a Bucks defense that boasts a Top 10 mark in defensive rating.
By comparison, Giannis Antetokounmpo & Co. are set to face off against a 17th-ranked San Antonio defense. Even though the Spurs have allowed the sixth-lowest three-point percentage on the year (34.8%), the Bucks — who have made threes at the second-best clip this year — have found a way to shoot above that mark in each of the three games they've played against the Spurs since Victor Wembanyama was drafted.
Take Milwaukee to prevail and cover in front of its home fans.
Spurs vs Bucks same-game parlay
Bucks -5
Victor Wembanyama Under 25.5 points
Chris Paul Over 9.5 points
The Bucks have allowed the fewest points to opposing centers, clocking in at 19.0 per game. In fact, just one center has posted 20+ points against Milwaukee since December 9.
They have been a bit more porous against point guards, however, as their 25.9 points allowed per game is the fourth-worst mark on the season. Chris Paul has also reached double-digits in all but one of his last four games against Milwaukee.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Spurs vs Bucks odds
Spurs vs Bucks live odds
Spurs vs Bucks opening odds
- Spread: San Antonio +5.5 | Milwaukee -5.5
- Moneyline: San Antonio +180 | Milwaukee -220
- Over/Under: Over 226 | Under 226
Odds courtesy of bet365
Spurs vs Bucks spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Bucks have covered the 2Q spread in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+8.60 Units / 18% ROI).
- The Spurs have only hit the game total Over in 30 of their last 74 contests (-16.20 Units / -20% ROI).
- Tonight's total of 226.5 is relatively high for Milwaukee, a team that has gone 12-6 to the Over in games with totals set at or above this number.
Spurs vs Bucks trend
San Antonio has hit the 1Q game total Under in 43 of its last 72 games (+12.25 Units / 15% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Spurs vs. Bucks.
How to watch Spurs vs Bucks
| Location: | Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI |
| Date: | Wednesday, 1-8-2025 |
| Tip-off: | 9:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ESPN |
Spurs vs Bucks latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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