Suns vs Warriors Picks and Predictions: Steph Has Phoenix's Number

Steph Curry is back from injury and has returned to his ways of torching the NBA. He's fresh off a 36-point game against Milwaukee and looks like the best bet on the board to light it up again Monday night — read more in our NBA betting picks below.

Malcolm R. Banks - Contributor at Covers.com
Malcolm R. Banks • Contributor
Mar 13, 2023 • 09:35 ET • 4 min read
Steph Curry Golden State Warriors NBA
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Tonight's matchup between the Phoenix Suns an d Golden State Warriors will be very interesting to monitor.

The Suns will be without the formidable Kevin Durant, but the Warriors are also feeling the absence of several key rotation players, including Andrew Wiggins, Gary Payton II, and Jonathan Kuminga.

Both teams missing some of their top players creates a fascinating matchup. Who will step up? As always, Steph Curry is as safe a bet in all of basketball. 

Find out your best options with our free NBA betting picks and predictions for the Suns vs. Warriors tonight.

Suns vs Warriors best odds

Suns vs Warriors picks and predictions

If you're looking for a lucrative NBA betting opportunity tonight, consider taking Steph Curry to go Over 4.5 made threes in the Golden State Warriors' matchup against the Phoenix Suns.

With Curry returning to the court last Sunday, he's been quick to get back into his groove. In their last game against the Bucks, he scored a remarkable 36 points, demonstrating that he's back in top form.

Phoenix may be around league average in opponent 3-point percentage, but they've allowed 35.8% of their opponent's 3-point attempts to connect. This indicates that Curry could easily go Over 4.5 threes in tonight's game. Furthermore, with the Warriors needing to win for the remainder of the season, I expect Curry to be even more aggressive. 

Since Curry's return, he has been taking an average of 13 threes per game and connecting on 6.3 of them. With this level of accuracy and frequency, it's highly probable that he'll match that number again tonight. He also hit five when these teams last matched up in January. 

In a November matchup against the Suns, Curry knocked down seven 3-pointers and scored a whopping 50 points. He knows how to get his against this Suns squad.

Tonight’s Warriors and Suns matchup presents a great opportunity for NBA bettors to earn some money. With Curry's quick return to form, his accuracy, and his history of success against the Suns, betting on him to go Over 4.5 threes tonight is a smart move. 

My best bet: Steph Curry Over 4.5 made threes (-108)

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Suns vs Warriors spread analysis

The Warriors are the favorites heading into this matchup with Phoenix, but the absence of key players on both sides makes it hard to predict the outcome of this game.

The Suns will be without Kevin Durant, who's been a significant contributor since being acquired, while the Warriors will be missing Andrew Wiggins, Gary Payton II, and Jonathan Kuminga. This leaves both teams without some of their top players, making the game much more unpredictable.

Despite the absence of Durant, the Suns have dominated the Warriors this season, winning all three matchups and preventing Golden State from covering the spread in each game. The closest game between the two teams this season was still an 11-point victory for Phoenix, which highlights their dominance over the Warriors.

Additionally, Golden State has struggled on the road this season, with a 9-24 ATS record away from home.

However, the Suns have some challenges of their own, with Mikal Bridges and Cameron Johnson no longer in the mix. It remains to be seen who will step up to stop the likes of Curry and Klay Thompson. The Suns have been solid in recent games, though, going 4-0 ATS in their last four games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

Overall, this game is shaping up to be an interesting matchup with both teams missing key players. While the Suns have had the upper hand in previous meetings, the absence of Durant could give the Warriors an advantage. However, with Golden State's poor road record and the Suns' recent success, it's hard to lean either way. 

Suns vs Warriors Over/Under analysis

The Over/Under for this game is currently set at 239 points and looking back at their previous matchups this season, it's not surprising to see such a high total. In fact, the Over has hit in all three games they've played against each other this year. Fans of high-scoring affairs should be excited about this one.

Unfortunately for the Warriors, they'll be without Andrew Wiggins for this game. This is a significant blow to their defense, which has struggled without him on the court. The Warriors' defensive rating drops from 114.2 with Wiggins to 116.3 without him. That's a noticeable difference and one that makes the Over even more appetizing. 

Looking at recent history between these two teams, the Over has hit in four of the last five meetings. With both teams capable of putting up points and the Warriors missing a key defensive player, it's no wonder the sportsbooks have set such a high total. Fans of offensive basketball will be eager to see these two teams put on a show.

Suns vs Warriors betting trend to know

The Over is 4-0 in the Suns' last four games overall. Find more NBA betting trends for Suns vs. Warriors.

Suns vs Warriors game info

Location: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Date: Monday, March 13, 2023
Tip-off: 10:00 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN

Suns vs Warriors key injuries

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Malcolm Banks - Covers
Contributor

Malcolm Rashaad Banks is a multimedia journalist with a concentration in sports and entertainment. A 2016 graduate of Morehouse College, he was tasked during his time on campus with revitalizing the campus newspapers sports content as its Lead Editor. In 2015, Banks interned at NY Amsterdam News, producing weekly think pieces and articles, including a front-page story on Serena Williams. Since graduating from Morehouse, Banks continues to create unique content found in publications including UPTOWN magazine, Prep Hoops, Sports Radio America, Pelican Debrief, and more.

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