The Warriors will be without Steph Curry tonight when they kick off their six-game road trip at State Farm Arena. Fortunately, Golden State has Jimmy Butler to pick up the slack against a Hawks team that’s won six of its last 10.
My Warriors vs. Hawks predictions expect Butler to do it all. Read my NBA picks to see why you should take the Over on Butler’s combo prop.
Warriors vs Hawks prediction
My best bet: Jimmy Butler Over 14.5 rebounds and assists (-115 at bet365)
My analysis
Jimmy Butler has brought life to a Golden State Warriors team that was treading water, and he’ll continue to lead the charge for the Dubs. Since joining the team, Butler has averaged 17.2 points, 6.2 rebounds and 6.4 assists. He’s scoring at a similar clip to his early-season play with the Heat, but he’s taken things up a notch as a rebounder and especially as a facilitator.
Over his last eight, Butler has turned up his production significantly, averaging 18.3 points, 7.4 rebounds and 7.9 assists. In that span, he’s hit the Over on this combo line three times, posting exactly 14 rebounds and assists in two more. He’s gone Over in two straight. Across his last three, Butler has posted nine rebounds and 9.3 dimes.
Over the last two weeks, Butler ranks fifth in the Association in assists per game, and he posted double-digit assists in each of his last two games. Those two games included a Curry absence and Thursday’s matchup with Toronto in which Curry left early with a hip injury.
Over the last 10 games, the Atlanta Hawks have allowed the fourth-most assists overall and rank middle-of-the-pack in rebounds allowed. Butler will be asked to take on a larger role as a scorer, but with Curry out, Dyson Daniels will likely draw the Butler assignment. The steals leader may be able to slow down Butler, opening him up to find teammates at an elite level, as he’s done in recent contests.
As a member of the Heat, Butler regularly found success against the Hawks. In his last two trips to Atlanta, he delivered lines of 25/8/9 and 34/3/3.
I was tempted to roll with Butler’s PRA line of 37.5 for -105 odds, but Butler has been most effective as a rebounder and playmaker than as a scorer as of late, so that’s the prop I’ll target.
Warriors vs Hawks same-game parlay
Jimmy Butler Over 14.5 rebounds and assists
Onyeka Okongwu double-double
Jonathan Kuminga 15+ points
Okongwu has averaged 14.5 points and 9.8 rebounds since joining the starting lineup in late January. Post All-Star break, he’s upped those numbers to 15.3 points and 10.4 rebounds, and he’s posted a double-double in seven of his last 10. The Warriors have allowed opposing centers to average 20.9 points and 16 rebounds on the season, and Okongwu will continue to operate as Atlanta’s go-to big man with such a thin frontcourt roster.
Kuminga has appeared in five straight games for Golden State, averaging 13.4 points in that span. His scoring line is set at 17.5, but that’s far too high for a guy still playing on a minutes restriction. The Hawks have allowed the most points to forwards this season at 24.1, and I’ll happily take the alt scoring line to add to this parlay.
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Warriors vs Hawks odds
Warriors vs Hawks live odds
Warriors vs Hawks opening odds
- Spread: Golden State -2.5 (-110) | Atlanta +2.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Golden State -135 | Atlanta +115
- Over/Under: Over 228.5 (-110) | Under 228.5 (-110)
Odds courtesy of bet365
Warriors vs Hawks spread and Over/Under analysis
- Golden State is 9-1 straight up and 4-5-1 ATS across its last 10 games.
- Atlanta has won six of 10 and covered five times in that span.
- The Warriors have hit the Under in six of their last 10.
- The Hawks are 7-3 to the Over across their last 10.
Warriors vs Hawks trend
The home team has won each of the last eight head-to-head matchups between the Warriors and Hawks. Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Hawks.
How to watch Warriors vs Hawks
| Location | State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA |
| Date | Saturday, 3-22-2025 |
| Tip-off | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBCS-CA, FanDuel Sports Network-Southeast |
Warriors vs Hawks latest injuries
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