The Atlanta Hawks are one of the toughest teams — and best NBA betting picks — at home this season, riding a seven-game SU and ATS home win streak into Monday’s matchup with the visiting Washington Wizards.
On the season, Atlanta is 21-11 ATS inside State Farm Arena, owning an average margin of +5.3 points per home game. Washington limps into this key Eastern Conference clash down star guard Bradley Beal. That injury is ill-timed with the Wizards sitting ninth in the East—and just one game back of No. 8.
Here are our free NBA picks and predictions for Wizards vs. Hawks on May 10.
Wizards vs Hawks odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
Compare NBA odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
NBA Sharp Money and Line Movement Report
By Patrick EversonPointsBet USA pegged Atlanta as 6.5-point chalk overnight, moved to -7.5 early this morning, then later this morning went to -8, where the number stands at 4:30 p.m. ET. That said, it's two-way point-spread action, with the Wizards drawing 63 percent of tickets and the Hawks 52 percent of money. The total moved from 236.5 to 237.5, with the Over taking 60 percent of tickets/77 percent of dollars.
Check out the full line movement for this gameWizards at Hawks betting preview
Injuries
Wizards: Bradley Beal G (Out).
Hawks: De’Andre Hunter F (Questionable), Tony Snell F (Questionable), Cam Reddish F (Out).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Hawks are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 home games. Find more NBA betting trends for Wizards vs. Hawks.
Against the spread (ATS) pick
Washington’s late-season surge continues thanks to back-to-back overtime wins last week, improving the team to 15-4 SU and 14-4-1 ATS since April 7. But the loss of Beal (hamstring) and the team’s fourth straight road game (actually playing a pair of games in Atlanta this week) could snuff out that momentum.
Beal is second in the league in scoring at 31.4 points per game and has helped fuel this postseason push, leading Washington to an average of 125 points a contest during this run. He left late into Saturday’s win at Indiana, after scoring 50 points, and is expected to miss at least one game.
That’s a big break for Atlanta, which gets to come home after a one-game speed bump in Indiana. The Hawks, who have lost five in a row on the road, are a different beast in the ATL. The biggest uptick is on defense, where they allow just 109.3 points against at home versus close to 114 on the road.
Washington was playing solid two-way ball for the past month, but its defense has started slipping in the last five games, allowing an average of 128 points in regulation during that span. Opponents are shooting close to 50 percent from the field and without Beal there to counter on the scoreboard, the Wizards will find themselves outgunned.
The Hawks, who have posted 128 points per game in their last three outings, have a bounty of scoring options, with seven active players putting up 11.7 points per game or higher on the year. There’s hope forward De’Andre Hunter could return on Monday after practicing this weekend, adding a huge two-way talent back into the mix.
Atlanta is facing a lofty spread with Beal on the Wizards’ bench but is 18-7-2 ATS in its last 27 games as a home favorite.
PREDICTION: Atlanta -7.5 (-110)
Over/Under pick
Since Nate McMillan took over the coaching reigns in Atlanta, the Hawks have played a more controlled tempo. Atlanta owns a pace rating of 97.17 since March 1, which sits fifth slowest in the league during that time frame.
The Hawks have to be careful not to get sucked into Washington’s frantic style, which has thrived on chaos, turnovers and points from those mistakes. The Wizards will miss Beal greatly on Monday — and the total reflects that — but could make up for some of those buckets by translating turnovers into transition points.
Atlanta, however, is a sure-handed team, coughing up the ball only 12.2 times per home game since making the coaching switch. The possible return of Hunter also bolsters the frontcourt and protection in the paint against a Wizards team that relies on getting to the rim.
The Hawks have leaned Over in recent home stands but are still 5-13 Over/Under in their last 18 outings when giving the points as hosts. They’ll want to drop this game into a low gear and grind it out.
PREDICTION: Under 236.5 (-110)
Player prop pick
The return, and improving health, of Bogdan Bogdanovic makes Atlanta a very dangerous team heading into the postseason.
The 6-foot-6 shooting guard is scoring almost 16 points a night for this deep offensive attack and has been stellar since mid-April, scoring 20 or more points in nine of his last 13 games including a 25-point performance in the loss at Indiana on Thursday.
The Wizards don’t push back much on defense and with Beal out of action, Bogdanovic won’t have to work as hard on the defensive end of the floor, leaving plenty of pop for piling up the points.
PREDICTION: Bogdan Bogdanovic points Over 18.5 (-104)
Wizards vs Hawks betting card
- Atlanta -7.5 (-110)
- Under 236.5 (-110)
- Bogdan Bogdanovic points Over 18.5 (-104)
Picks made on 5/10/2021 at 10:01 a.m. ET
Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NBA Wizards vs. Hawks picks, you could win $61.49 on a $10 bet?
Use our NBA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.
Where can I bet on the NBA?
You can bet on NBA odds at every online and casino sportsbook, including NBA moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals, and a ton of NBA prop odds. Head over to our best sportsbooks for NBA betting in your area.
