Alabama vs Auburn Picks and Predictions: Spread Too Lofty in Tigers' Favor

While Auburn has certainly earned its spot as the top-ranked team in the country, laying seven points against a potent Alabama squad is too much to bank on. Even if the Crimson Tide lose, we expect these teams to go bucket-for-bucket in our betting picks.

JD Yonke - Contributor at Covers.com
JD Yonke • Contributor
Feb 1, 2022 • 09:21 ET • 4 min read
Jahvon Quinerly Jaden Shackelford JD Davison Alabama Crimson Tide College Basketball
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

My, how things change in just a few short weeks. On Jan. 11, the Tide were favored by 3.5 points at home against Auburn, but the Tigers came away with an 81-77 victory.

Fast forward to today, and Auburn is ranked No. 1 in the country. The Tigers are 7-point favorites at home in this heated rivalry contest and enter holding the nation’s longest winning streak at 17 games.

Will the winning streak continue comfortably at home, or will the Tide keep things close in this rivalry game?

Check out our best free college basketball betting picks and predictions for the Alabama Crimson Tide and the Auburn Tigers on Tuesday, February 1 to find out.

Alabama vs Auburn odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

Alabama opened +7.5, but the line has dipped slightly to +7 across most books. The total has remained steady at 155.5.

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until tip-off and be sure to check out the full college basketball odds before placing your bets.

Alabama vs Auburn predictions

Predictions made on 2/1/2022 at 8:20 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Alabama vs Auburn game info

Location: Auburn Arena, Auburn, AL
Date: Tuesday, February 1, 2022
Tip-off: 9:00 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN

Alabama at Auburn betting preview

Injuries

Alabama: Darius Miles F (Questionable), Nimari Burnett G (Out).
Auburn: Lior Berman G (Questionable).

Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Over is 6-1 in Alabama’s last 7 road games. Find more NCAA betting trends for Alabama vs. Auburn.

Alabama vs Auburn picks and predictions

Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.

Spread analysis

We have no qualms with Auburn, the No. 1 team in the country riding a red hot 17 game winning streak. The Tigers have prevailed night in and night out thanks to the adaptability of styles that will prove useful come March. That said, this feels like simply too many points to be laying in a heated rivalry game.

It was only a few weeks ago, on Jan. 11, that oddsmakers marked Alabama as the superior team. The Tide were 3.5-point favorites at home in the first meeting. Although they fell 81-77, they proved capable of hanging close with the nation’s top-ranked team. Future early-lottery pick Jabari Smith had himself a day in that meeting, finishing with 25 points, seven rebounds, and four blocks to lead Auburn to victory.

Alabama has been up-and-down this season, but those results are expected when playing the toughest schedule in the nation (per KenPom). The Tide are in the thick of a brutal stretch of games where they face three Top-12 teams in eight days. On Saturday, the Tide secured a massive 87-78 win over Baylor, the then-ranked No. 4 team in the country. 

The Baylor win showed this Alabama team is rounding into form, even though the Tide is still a difficult team to read on the whole. Who loses to Georgia (dead-last in the SEC) and beats Baylor in the same week? Averaging 81.4 points per game, this team can score on anyone and that will give them a chance on any occasion. The win over Baylor is a momentum-builder, and you know this team is fired up to play in a huge rivalry game. We're expecting a big effort.

A trio of guards leads the way for Alabama. Jaden Shackelford, Jahvon Quinerly, and Keon Ellis each average over 12 points per game, while freshman JD Davison is capable of influencing the game.

Auburn has been fantastic this season, but the throes of an SEC schedule will eventually catch up to the Tigers. We’re catching seven points in a rivalry game in the middle of conference play, which we believe is too good to pass up even if it means fading one of the most profitable teams in the country.

Prediction: Alabama +7 (-110)

Over/Under analysis

These two teams want to get out and run, run, run. Both teams rank within the Top-40 in possessions per game, so this should be a high-octane affair featuring plenty of scoring. Alabama comes in at No. 28 with 74.5 possessions per game, while Auburn is No. 36 with 74 flat.

Alabama is 6-1 to the Over in its last 7 road games and 4-0 to the Over in its last 4 games as an underdog. Both of those trends fit the bill in this game, with the Tide coming in as 7-point road underdogs. The Tide have scored at will all season long, ranking No. 10 nationally with 81.4 points per game and are 14-7 to the Over.

Auburn has been exceeding the total as well in recent weeks, going 6-2 to the Over in its last 8 games. The Tigers have a Top-20 offense, averaging 79.7 points per game. Jabari Smith Jr., K.D. Johnson, Wendell Green Jr., and Walker Kessler all average double-digits.

Prediction: Over 155.5 (-105)

Best bet

These two teams have similar identities in that they want to get out, push the tempo, and run. 

If this total seems high, consider that the first meeting had a total of 156.5 and the Over still cashed. These teams are combining to average over 160 points per game and will push the tempo until the final buzzer sounds.

Give us the Over.

Pick: Over 155.5 (-105)

College basketball parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed our Alabama vs. Auburn picks, you could win $27.27 on a $10 bet?

Use our college basketball parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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JD Yonke
Contributor

JD is a diehard college football fan with five years of experience writing betting and fantasy content for publications such as SportsGrid, Fantasy Points, Fantrax, and Devy Watch. An avid reader, he uses his inclination to look at things with an exhausting and in-depth, analytic viewpoint combined with a love for statistics and metrics to form a well-rounded handicapping approach.

e's an integral member of the niche (but growing!) college fantasy football community, twice traveling to Canton, OH for the Fantasy Football Expo as a member of the CFF King's Classic drafting squad. His specialization in college football DFS and prop betting taught him that there are exploitable markets to be found and that narrowing your focus is integral to being a profitable bettor.

A lifelong Californian who grew up playing baseball, basketball, football, and lacrosse, he's glad to share a passionate love for sports with this wonderful community.

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